Extreme Temperature Diary- Thursday September 18th, 2025/Main Topic: Estimated 16,500 Climate Crisis Deaths in Europe This Summer

Extreme Temperature Diary- Tuesday September 16th, 2025/Main Topic: Europe’s Summer of Extreme Weather Caused €43bn of Short-Term Losses – Guy On Climate

#Heatwaves – #europe:"The actual death toll could be even higher." New rapid attribution studies bring in the human cost of #ClimateCrisis phys.org/news/2025-09… @phys.org.web.brid.gy

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T14:40:01.368Z

Estimated 16,500 climate change deaths during Europe summer: Study

 The GIST

Estimated 16,500 climate change deaths during Europe summer: Study

edited by Andrew Zinin

Rome had the highest number of deaths linked to climate change this summer, according a new rapid study.

Scientists estimated Wednesday that rising temperatures from human-caused climate change were responsible for roughly 16,500 deaths in European cities this summer, using modeling to project the toll before official data is released.

The rapidly produced study is the latest effort by climate and health researchers to quickly link the death toll during heat waves to global warming—without waiting months or years to be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

The estimated deaths were not actually recorded in the European cities, but instead were a projection based on methods such as modeling used in previously peer-reviewed studies.

Death tolls during heat waves are thought to be vastly underestimated because the causes of death recorded in hospitals are normally heart, breathing or other health problems that particularly affect the elderly when the mercury soars.

To get a snapshot of this summer, a UK-based team of researchers used climate modeling to estimate that global warming made temperatures an average of 2.2 degrees Celsius hotter in 854 European cities between June and August.

Using historical data indicating how such soaring temperatures drive up mortality rates, the team estimated there were around 24,400 excess deaths in those cities during that time.

They then compared this number to how many people would have died in a world that was not 1.3C warmer due to climate change caused by humans burning fossil fuels.

Nearly 70%—16,500—of the estimated excess deaths were due to global warming, according to the rapid attribution study.

This means climate change could have tripled the number of heat deaths this summer, said the study from scientists at Imperial College London and epidemiologists at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.

The team had previously used similar methods to find a similar result for a single European heat wave that started in late June.

The researchers said they were not able to compare their estimates to actual excess deaths recorded in European cities this summer because most countries take a long time to publish that data.

“It’s impossible to get real-time statistics right now,” however, the estimates are “in the right ballpark,” study co-author Friederike Otto told a press conference.

‘Even more alarming’

The estimates did reflect previous peer-reviewed research, such as a Nature Medicine study which determined there were more than 47,000 heat-related deaths during the European summer of 2023.

Numerous prominent climate and health researchers also backed the study.

“What makes this finding even more alarming is that the methods used in these attribution studies are scientifically robust, yet conservative,” said atmospheric science researcher Akshay Deoras at the UK’s University of Reading.

“The actual death toll could be even higher.”

The study said that Rome had the most estimated deaths attributed to climate change with 835, followed by Athens with 630 and Paris with 409.

More than 85% of the estimated excess deaths were among people aged 65 or over.

The researchers emphasized the study did not represent Europe as a whole because some areas—such as the Balkans—were not included.

“An increase in heat wave temperature of just 2-4C can be the difference between life and death for thousands of people—this is why heat waves are known as silent killers,” study co-author Garyfallos Konstantinoudis said.

This year was Europe’s fourth-hottest summer on record.

‼️MEDITERRANEAN HISTORIC HEAT WAVE >40cInsane, unprecedented heat in SPAINwith 39/40C from South to North even above 500m asl including Canary Islands !40.5 Navalmoral40.2 Merida39.6 Plasencia39.3 Candeladaetc37.9 Portela GALICIACANARY I: Tasarte min 28.6! Max 39.5

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T16:49:44.709Z

EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN PORTUGAL >40C !Unprecedented heat wave in Europe for mid September BY FAR the harshest ever seen in European history.40.2C Portel, 40.1C Reguengos, 39.5C Pinhao (North !)12 stations >38C and today will be the same or worse

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T12:09:47.557Z

Exceptional warm night in the NETHERLANDSRecords of September highest overnight minimums broken at:18.3C Gilze Rijen18.1C WoensdrechtThe night was humid and rainy with warm humid air from the South and no cool irradiation at all.

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T14:01:29.264Z

HISTORIC HEAT IN MIDDLE EAST48.1C Jahra KUWAIT47.7C Semawa IRAQCrazy MINIMUMS up to 32C at 600m asl at Iranshar,IRAN.It's the harshest heat wave IN WORLD HISTORYfor this time of the yearAnd tomorrow it can be even hotter:World record (just broken) at risk again !

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T19:02:33.370Z

EAST ASIA HEAT WAVERecord heat has been relentless also in the KOREA Peninsula since June and sauna-like conditions continue in South Korea.After Minimums >27C, Seongsan rose to 33.7C ,its September highest temperature on record.More records are expected on Thursday

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T22:23:57.471Z

Record heat never ends in INDONESIA:Today the Minimum temperature at Lhokseumawe (Aceh,Sumatra) was 25.5C, its warmest September night in history.

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T10:22:55.715Z

EXCEPTIONAL HEAT IN CANADACrazy heat for the second half of September with up to 34.6C at Kamloops today (terrible forecasts again by ECC understimated by 3C/4C).The heat will continue for the rest of the week:This month in inner British Columbia is being ABSURDLY HOT.

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T01:08:50.246Z

#ClimateCrisis – The climate models got a lot of things right, even from the earliest days. The evidence is clear. Read more: theconversation.com/5-forecasts-…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T14:32:02.903Z

#ClimateCrisis: "The report notes that multiple lines of evidence now show that human activities such as the burning of fossil fuels and deforestation are producing greenhouse gases that are heating the planet" No surprise More:www.nytimes.com/2025/09/17/c…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T14:35:05.289Z

Risky Risky Summer Heat; Europe Summer Records Beat; Arabia Shows Up in Red; 16-thousand #ClimateChange Dead; Arctic Permafrost Acts Strange; Droughts are Threatening the Grange; #Gabrielle is Coming Soon. While Trump fiddles to the same old tune. Read more 👇guyonclimate.com/2025/09/17/e…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T02:12:21.584Z

#ClimateCrisis – #EnergyPrices:"They chalked it up to multiple heat waves, and their preference to sleep in the cold, she said. They’re crossing their fingers for cooler fall weather."www.inquirer.com/business/ene…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T14:36:53.594Z

A great graphic on why #Democrats shouldn’t downplay climate change, an issue that ties in to jobs (we need more #greenjobs) and the economy, as well as basic survival on the planet. Also, this is why we need independent #journalism …

L Forte (@lforte26.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T14:17:16.073Z

#ClimateAction: Bills covering Mortgages, Incarcerated Firefighter Pay, Building Permits and California Safe Homes Act amongst those that await the Governor's Signature. Review: www.mercurynews.com/2025/09/18/t…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T14:13:07.586Z

As the low pulls away from the area, any morning cloud cover scatters out and become mostly clear later this morning and into the afternoon. Highs this afternoon into the upper 70s to mid 80s. #NYwx #NJwx #CTwx

National Weather Service (@nws.noaa.gov) 2025-09-18T13:44:40.708Z

I see you blushing ☺️#Gabrielle Exposed!

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T03:13:46.866Z

Despite Gabrielle, the 2025 season is slacking! And that's just how we (I) like it. By now we should have 4 hurricanes and accumulated energy of 74 units. Instead we've only had 1 hurricane and 1/2 the normal energy (most was Erin). If Gabrielle becomes a hurricane it would be 3 weeks late!

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T01:06:19.876Z

In a normal climate, the % of days above -or- below average is ~50%Below: % of low temps above normal. Used to be 50-50. Now 80% of AMs are above normal in Tampa.It's not coincidence, it's climate change!Locally: More concrete, more asphalt. Regionally: Warmer Gulf. Globally: Warmer greenhouse.

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T20:25:14.223Z

Slides from my testimony on Sept 16, 2025 in Missoula, MT, in @youthvgov.bsky.social gov's request for a preliminary injunction against Executive Orders declaring a fossil-fuel emergencyweb.stanford.edu/group/efmh/j… @woods.stanford.edu @stanforddoerr.bsky.social @stanfordenergy.bsky.social

Mark Z. Jacobson (@mzjacobson.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T01:53:45.375Z

It calls the legislation a #climate law disguised as a #health law and, most strikingly, it claims there is “no association between gas stoves and adverse health outcomes.”grist.org/accountabili…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T14:22:24.207Z

The Trump Administrations efforts to deliberately create a dangerous lack of data, and what that means for you. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/18/c…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T14:38:22.589Z

“Bob started speaking out on environmental issues way before it was popular,” The life and legacy of Robert Redford. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/18/u…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T14:20:04.234Z

#Parks: on the Parkways, a new art and open space: have a look at Calder Gardens. www.inquirer.com/arts/inq2/ca…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-18T14:16:45.011Z

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