Extreme Temperature Diary- Thursday May 8th, 2025/Main Topic: New Paper Reminds Us that Rich Nations Are Responsible for Most Global Warming

Who's responsible for the climate crisis? Two new studies try to answer this question: but whichever way we slice it, the answer doesn't change much. The wealthiest are disproportionately responsible for the greatest emissions, and that's why climate change is so unfair.An explanatory thread 🧵

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-05-07T20:53:34.532Z

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/07/two-thirds-of-global-heating-caused-by-richest-study-suggests

Two-thirds of global heating caused by richest 10%, study suggests

Paper in Nature Climate Change journal reveals major role wealthy emitters play in driving climate extremes

Climate crisis

Damien Gayle Environment correspondent

While researchers have previously shown that higher income groups emit disproportionately large amounts of greenhouse gases, the latest survey is the first to try to pin down how that inequality translates into responsibility for climate breakdown. It offers a powerful argument for climate finance and wealth taxes by attempting to give an evidential basis for how many people in the developed world – including more than 50% of full-time employees in the UK – bear a heightened responsibility for the climate disasters affecting people who can least afford it.

“Our study shows that extreme climate impacts are not just the result of abstract global emissions; instead we can directly link them to our lifestyle and investment choices, which in turn are linked to wealth,” said Sarah Schöngart, a climate modelling analyst and the study’s lead author.

“We found that wealthy emitters play a major role in driving climate extremes, which provides strong support for climate policies that target the reduction of their emissions.”

It has been clearly established that wealthier individuals, through their consumption and investments, create more carbon emissions, while poorer countries located near the equator bear the brunt of the resulting extreme weather and rising temperatures.

The new research attempts to specifically quantify how much that inequality in emissions feeds into climate breakdown. To produce their analysis, the researchers fed wealth-based greenhouse gas emissions inequality assessments into climate modelling frameworks, allowing them to systematically attribute the changes in global temperatures and the frequency of extreme weather events that have taken place between 1990 and 2019.

By subtracting the emissions of the wealthiest 10%, 1% and 0.1%, they modelled the changes to the climate and frequency of extreme weather events that would have taken place without them. By comparing those with the changes that have occurred, they believed they would be able to calculate their responsibility for the crisis the world finds itself in today.

In 2020, the global mean temperature was 0.61C higher than 1990. The researchers found that about 65% of that increase could be attributed to emissions from the global richest 10%, a group they defined as including all those earning more than €42,980 (£36,472) a year. That includes all those on the UK median salary for full-time employees, which is £37,430.

Wealthier groups bore more disproportionate responsibility still, with the richest 1% – those with annual incomes of €147,200 – responsible for 20% of global heating, and the richest 0.1% – the 800,000 or so people in the world raking in more than €537,770 – responsible for 8%.

“We found that the wealthiest 10% contributed 6.5 times more to global warming than the average, with the top 1% and 0.1% contributing 20 and 76 times more, respectively,” the write in their paper, published on Wednesday in the journal Nature Climate Change.

Co-author Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, said: “If everyone had emitted like the bottom 50% of the global population, the world would have seen minimal additional warming since 1990.” On the other hand, if the whole world population had emitted as the top 10%, 1% or 0.1% had, the temperature increase would have been 2.9C, 6.7C or a completely unsurvivable 12.2C.

The researchers said they hoped the analysis would inform policy interventions that recognise the unequal contributions to climate breakdown made by the world’s wealthiest, and foster social acceptance of climate action.

The research comes amid intense pushback from countries such as the US, and even cuts from the UK and other European countries, to providing finance for poorer countries to adapt to climate breakdown and mitigate its worst effects.

“This is not an academic discussion – it’s about the real impacts of the climate crisis today,” added Schleussner. “Climate action that doesn’t address the outsize responsibilities of the wealthiest members of society risks missing one of the most powerful levers we have to reduce future harm.”

I wrote the email in the screenshot. Please consider doing the same if you support the collection of snow and ice data.

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-05-07T06:22:27.500Z

"Rigorous studies have shown the best way to reduce emissions worldwide is to vastly increase the use of fossil fuels to reduce poverty in the 3rd world because when poor people's income increases, emissions decrease." – man commenting on my newsletterUm no sir. Quite the opposite in fact.

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-05-07T23:53:27.561Z

There’s so much happening right now, I thought I’d put together a running thread on the dismantling of #climate and research and knowledge infrastructure in the United States 🧵

Bob Kopp (@bobkopp.net) 2025-05-07T12:11:03.354Z

1. Cancelling of US support for the @ipcc.bsky.social Working Group 3 (mitigation) Technical Support Unit (Feb. 10, 2025)

Bob Kopp (@bobkopp.net) 2025-05-07T12:11:03.355Z

2. Cancellation of $4M of NOAA cooperative agreement funding for Princeton, for “Cancellation of select NOAA cooperative agreement funding for Princeton, for promoting “exaggerated and implausible climate threats” and “climate anxiety” (April 8, 2025)

Bob Kopp (@bobkopp.net) 2025-05-07T12:11:03.356Z

3. Cancelling of the contract for the support staff for the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and National Climate Assessment (April 9, 2025)

Bob Kopp (@bobkopp.net) 2025-05-07T12:11:03.357Z

4. Dismantling of State Department Office of Global Change, which among many other roles leads US government participation in the IPCC (April 24, 2025)

Bob Kopp (@bobkopp.net) 2025-05-07T12:11:03.358Z

5. Eviction of NASA GISS (April 24, 2025)

Bob Kopp (@bobkopp.net) 2025-05-07T12:11:39.170Z
https://twitter.com/climateguyw/status/1920210600950419833

What happens when we include other heat-trapping gases like CH4 and N2O in the national inventory? Different gases have different lifetimes so cumulative data isn't as meaningful. Also, historical data is harder to track than CO2.Overall, though, the picture isn't much different.

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-05-07T20:53:34.537Z

Climate-related cocoa shortages put strain on the global chocolate industryAs #ClimateChange transforms agriculture worldwide, the commodity price of cocoa has surged.

Conejo Climate Coalition (@conejoclimate.bsky.social) 2025-05-07T22:59:46.503Z

Hey Calgarians! Want to hang out with an amazing climate hero? Dr. Katherine Hayhoe is coming to town!June 22nd. from the @calgaryclimatehub.ca www.calgaryclimatehub.ca/an_evening_w…

🇨🇦Joe Vipond🇨🇦 (@jvipondmd.bsky.social) 2025-05-07T22:02:05.881Z

Catawba College in North Carolina is hiring an assistant or associate level climate science faculty member who loves teaching and collaborative research. Check it out!

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-05-07T21:03:36.008Z

Most US fires are started by people.But once they're ignited, climate change is making them worse. They're burning faster and over greater area thanks to hotter, drier, and windier conditions.Read more from @climatecentral.org here: www.climatecentral.org/graphic/more…

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-05-07T21:38:52.468Z

Federal policies can slow action and make it tougher, but many states, cities, companies, tribal nations, organizations, and schools are still chugging.Currently, groups representing 2/3 of the US population and 3/4 of US GDP is still in on the Paris climate goals. Source: www.americaisallin.com

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-05-07T20:56:45.893Z
https://twitter.com/CCLSVN/status/1920502650308596032
https://twitter.com/CCLSVN/status/1920501886215500084
https://twitter.com/CCLSVN/status/1920500540997333101
https://twitter.com/CCLSVN/status/1920501336757408202

Asthma is on the rise. Rates are soaring in the oil sands region: patients feel it, data confirms it. Canada’s new government must prioritize clean air and health equity. Read our op-ed in @TheHillTimes. Accessible only today! 🔗 loom.ly/rP6GcwU#WorldAsthmaDay #OilSands

Canadian Association of Physicians for the Environment (@cape-acme.bsky.social) 2025-05-07T21:20:13.901Z
https://twitter.com/newscientist/status/1920543850373718338

How little we’ve seen: A visual coverage estimate of the deep seafloor | Science Advances www.science.org/doi/10.1126/…

Nagissa Mahmoudi (@nagissa.bsky.social) 2025-05-08T00:49:59.961Z
https://twitter.com/FeliciaCombsTWC/status/1920543993797963833
https://twitter.com/chandraxray/status/1920540820588957898
https://twitter.com/Grimnien/status/1748391679348834613

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *