Extreme Temperature Diary- Sunday December 10th, 2023/Main Topic: Another Hot Record Streak Due to El Niño?

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The main purpose of this ongoing blog will be to track planetary extreme, or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials).😉

Main Topic: Another Hot Record Streak Due to El Niño?

Dear Diary. My statistics involving ratios of counts of reported records are a little wonky, but they are indicating that our climate is becoming out of balance with more heat affecting people than typical chill. This has real world consequences as survivors from a tornado outbreak in Tennessee might tell you after yesterday’s event:

We are now in the midst of an El Niño ocean and weather pattern, which is starting to add heat to the atmosphere that is already riddled with mankind’s carbon pollution. It has been proven that strong El Niño’s, of which the current pattern is one, greatly increase the chances for many countries seeing record heat. The last time we saw a strong El Niño was the 2015/2016 event. During that time and afterwords as the globe slowly cooled, the United States had a record streak by my count of 34 consecutive months of more daily record high maxes than low mins. There has not been such a streak that comes close to 34 months in a row from March 2015 to December 2017 in my database that starts in January 1890:

My question is, now that we have another strong El Niño, will we see a similar streak again? If so, the United States is in for monster heatwaves during the summer with real health implications during 2024 and 2025. Already during 2023 that streak of more daily record high maxes than minimums has hit five consecutive months, and December 2023 will probably be added to that total:

DHMX= Daily High Max Reports. DLMN= Daily Low Min Reports. DHMN= Daily High Min Reports. DLMX=Daily Low Max Reports.

Bold red, blue, or purple colored months, such as January 2020 and June 2021, that have ratios of >10 to 1 daily warm low records or <1 to 10 daily warm to low records are either historically hot or cold, most of which have made news. NCEI rankings are for the lower 48 states with the warmest ranking since 1895 of average temperatures being 128 (for ties) or 129 and 1 being the coldest as of 2023. Blue colors represent cold months and red warm. Those months and years with counts close to a 1 to 1 ratio of highs to lows are colored black. All-time record hottest or coldest months and years are boldly colored in purple. NCDC rankings have been color coded (under tabs in each file) such that values of 54 to 74 are black representing neutral months or years (+ or – 10 from the average ranking of 64).

We will watch trends for scientific purposes as the calendar turns from 2023 to 2024.

Here are more “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks, as well as any extreme precipitation reports:

Here is more new November 2023 climatology:

More news and notes from COP28:

Here is More Climate and Weather News from Sunday:

(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity. In most instances click on the pictures of each tweet to see each article. The most noteworthy items will be listed first.)

Today’s News on Sustainable Energy, Traditional Polluting Energy from Fossil Fuel, and the Green Revolution:

More from the Weather Department:

More on the Environment and Nature:

More on Other Science and the Beauty of Earth and this Universe:

If you like these posts and my work on record temperature ratios, please contribute via my PayPal widget on this site. Thanks in advance for any support. 

Guy Walton… “The Climate Guy”

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