Extreme Temperature Diary- Wednesday May 28th, 2025/Main Topic: Latest Hurricane Trends Due to Climate Change

https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-matters/hurricanes-and-climate-change-2025?lang=en&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=CM%20Reporting%20Resources%20Hurricanes%20and%20Climate%20Change%202025%20EN&utm_content=CM%20Reporting%20Resources%20Hurricanes%20and%20Climate%20Change%202025%20EN+CID_c62018113dfce549daa0803894e17069&utm_source=Climate%20Central%20Email%20Campaign%20Monitor&utm_term=READ%20THE%20RELEASE%20%20CONTACT%20EXPERTS%20%20FIND%20REPORTING%20RESOURCES

KEY FACTS

  • Oceans made warmer by human-caused climate change are fueling more intense hurricanes in the Atlantic — that bring heavier rainfall and higher storm surge when they make landfall.
  • Climate Central resources bring the latest climate science into hurricane season coverage.
  • Climate Central’s new hurricane attribution system will calculate how much stronger each named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season became due to ocean temperatures made warmer by climate change. 
  • Climate Central’s new RiskViewer site provides a curated set of photorealistic storm surge visualizations in coastal locations across 20 Atlantic and Gulf Coast states.
  • Updated graphics show that, from 1980 to 2024, 186 landfalling Atlantic tropical cyclones rapidly intensified.

This Climate Matters analysis is based on open-access data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), including the National Hurricane Center. See Methodology for details.

Hurricanes and climate change: Five new reporting resources

Oceans made warmer by human-caused climate change are fueling more intense hurricanes in the Atlantic. In our warming climate, these storms also bring heavier rainfall and higher storm surge when they make landfall.

Here are five new reporting resources that bring the latest climate science into coverage of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season (June 1 – November 30):

1. Attribution analysis for every 2025 Atlantic hurricane

Climate change is warming oceans worldwide. Those warm waters fuel stronger hurricane winds and more powerful hurricanes. 

Climate Central’s Climate Shift Index: Ocean tool (Ocean CSI) measures how climate change affects ocean temperatures. 

Our latest hurricane attribution system, Climate Shift Index: Tropical Cyclones, is powered by the Ocean CSI and based on peer-reviewed methods. This new system can now show how much more intense a storm’s winds became because of climate change-fueled warmer waters. Learn more here about how the science works.

Climate Central will compile this attribution data to tell the climate change story of each named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.  

Sign up for Climate Matters to receive these hurricane analyses in your inbox throughout the season. 

Global sea surface temperature, 1982-2025
Click here to view and download this graphic showing daily global mean sea surface temperature (°F) from NOAA’s OISST dataset. This graphic will update daily around 6 a.m. ET.

2. RiskViewer: Visualizations of local storm surge

Sea level rise can amplify storm surge during hurricanes, putting coastal residents at heightened risk. 

Climate Central’s newly-launched RiskViewer site provides a set of photorealistic visualizations of storm surge in coastal locations across 20 states along the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts.

RiskViewer is powered by Climate Central’s FloodVision technology, which generates science-based visualizations of local flood risk from storm surge and sea level rise. 

The FloodVision team’s 2024 Edge of America Tour drove through coastal communities from Maine to Texas capturing images of local landmarks. Now you can see how those landmarks would fare with storms and sea level rise — including the kinds of storm surge events that could occur this hurricane season. 

Contact the FloodVision team to request additional visualizations of locations at risk near you.

3. Hurricane rapid intensification

About 80% of major hurricanes (Category 3-5) undergo rapid intensification — defined as an increase in the maximum sustained winds of a tropical cyclone of at least 30 kt (about 35 mph) in a 24-hour period. 

Research suggests that warmer sea surface temperatures may contribute to an increased fraction of tropical cyclones that undergo rapid intensification. 

From 1980 to 2024, 186 landfalling Atlantic tropical cyclones rapidly intensified above the 30 kt threshold. 

Nearly one-quarter of these 186 storms (42 or 23%) experienced extreme rapid intensification: an increase in maximum sustained winds of at least 50 kt (about 58 mph) in a 24-hour period.

Forecasting rapid intensification can be challenging, which contributes to the high human and economic toll of such storms.

Tropical cyclones, which include hurricanes and tropical storms, are the most costly weather and climate disasters in the U.S. by far — accounting for over $1.4 trillion in damages since 1980.

Most (72%, or 48) of the 67 total billion-dollar tropical cyclones in the U.S. since 1980 rapidly intensified. 

4. Extreme Weather Toolkit: Tropical Cyclones

Climate Central’s Extreme Weather Toolkit: Tropical Cyclonesprovides quick facts in English and Spanish on hurricanes and climate change — along with a collection of reporting resources. 

The toolkit reviews the connections among ocean warming, sea level rise, and heavier rainfall in our warming climate and observed trends in tropical cyclone intensity and impacts.

Warmer air can hold more moisture, increasing the chances of heavier downpours that contribute to flooding.

Analysis by World Weather Attribution found that human-caused climate change intensified Hurricane Helene’s record-breaking rainfall, which led to catastrophic flooding in both coastal and inland regions. 

Tropical cyclone rainfall rates have increased globally and in the Atlantic, with further increases expected as warming continues. 

This higher rainfall intensity, combined with the fact that climate change is enabling tropical cyclones to maintain more of their strength after making landfall, increases the risk of inland flooding.

Rainfall flooding accounted for 57% of all U.S. deaths from tropical cyclones during 2013–2022, according to a 2023 report from the National Hurricane Center. 

5. Official 2025 hurricane season resources

Official outlook: NOAA’s 2025 Atlantic hurricane season outlook predicts above-normal activity. 

Real-time updates: NOAA’s National Hurricane Center monitors current conditions and provides 2-day and 7-day tropical weather outlooks for the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, and Central Pacific.

Early outlook: Colorado State University’s 2025 Atlantic seasonal hurricane forecast, released in early April and available in English and Spanish, anticipates above-normal activity this season. Updates are expected on June 11, July 9, and August 6.

Hurricane safety: NOAA’s Hurricane Preparedness hub provides safety information and resources to help communities stay safe before, during, and after hurricanes. The Ready.gov hurricanes site provides guidance in 13 languages. 

New products and services: For 2025, the National Hurricane Center’s cone graphic will also depict inland tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings in effect. The NHC will also provide a national rip current risk map when active tropical systems are present. Check the National Hurricane Center Products and Services Update for 2025 Hurricane Season for details. 

Risk screening: NOAA’s National Storm Surge Risk Maps can be used to assess risk in hurricane-prone coastal areas. FEMA’s National Risk Index maps hurricane risk levels for counties and census tracts in the contiguous U.S. 

I strongly encourage folks to check out the rest of the event, which will feature dozens of speakers over a 5 day period. The line-up is genuinely impressive–a veritable who's who of the American #weather and #climate world in 2025–so I'll be watching! wclivestream.com/schedule

Daniel Swain (@weatherwest.bsky.social) 2025-05-28T00:40:03.935Z

Global temperatures could break heat record in next five years #Climate

Climate Tracker (@climate.skyfleet.blue) 2025-05-28T04:25:36.047Z

What does climate change have to do with your skin? More than you might think—and the good news is, you can do something about it.Read the full edition of the newsletter here: www.talkingclimate.ca/p/the-climat…

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-05-28T16:49:12.030Z

Many folks tell us that the hurricane coverage Jeff Masters and I post at Yale Climate Connections helps them stay safe. YCC receives no direct Yale support. If you can, please help us keep our work going by becoming a sustaining donor today: yaleclimateconnections.org/donate/

Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2025-05-28T03:49:12.335Z

Australia’s future generations have again been betrayed by the Albanese ALP GovtEnvironment Minister Murray Watt approved Woodside's proposal to extend its North West Shelf project in Western Australia on Wednesday, despite concerns about climate and Aboriginal rock art.#auspol #Climate #WTFAlbo

Eric Bananarama (@ericbanana.bsky.social) 2025-05-28T04:38:02.864Z

Good news: EU capitals are planning to reach the #climate target of 55% by 2030. The aggregate of the 27 national plans get us to 54% according to the Commission.These findings cut through the political noise of a 'backlash' and reveal a more consistent reality of progress.My full take here ⬇️

Linda Kalcher (@lindakalcher.bsky.social) 2025-05-28T06:54:32.696Z
https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/1927786959788753111
https://twitter.com/NWSLosAngeles/status/1925312844876161499
https://twitter.com/NWS/status/1925217333108265394

With hurricane season just 5 days out, don't be surprised if something tries to develop in S. Gulf/ C. America area in 10-15 days. Climate signal is favorable w/ rising air. This time of year Central American Gyre can be active. There also appears to be a disturbance in the mix. Stay tuned!

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-05-27T19:31:05.013Z

I worked at NOAA and FEMA. I've had long, exhaustive conversations in recent months with those inside at high levels. Staffing is depleted, resources are critically low, and morale is rock bottom. Our hurricane defenses are down, and it's only a matter of time before we take an uppercut to the chin.

Michael Lowry (@michaelrlowry.bsky.social) 2025-05-28T15:33:33.117Z

The Kentucky tornadoes spur mounting anxiety over weather service warning systems.Trump weakened understaffed National Weather Service offices. Some people in the storms' path wonder if budget cuts contributed to the death and destruction.grist.org/extreme-weat…#Weather #Climate #Kentucky

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-05-27T13:13:08.039Z

Net Zero doesn't cost money, renewable energy is 8x cheaper than fossil fuel.Not doing Net Zero is what is costing us money.

BladeoftheSun (@bladeofthes.bsky.social) 2025-05-28T11:28:03.809Z

Commentary: Renewable energy can carry more of the demands of our energy future if we can modernize our power grid. minnesotareformer.com/2025/05/28/a…

Minnesota Reformer (@minnesotareformer.com) 2025-05-28T17:31:44.772Z

In approving Woodside's North West Shelf gas export plant extension, the Government has put big gas ahead of Australians.“This expansion will do vast damage and deliver almost no benefit to Australia or Australians," said @rodcampbell.bsky.social #climate #auspol

The Australia Institute (@australiainstitute.org.au) 2025-05-28T05:25:29.430Z

Scotland has vast renewable energy resources – and it's vital that our communities are able to own it, and benefit from it.We're investing £8 million to support more local renewable energy projects, which will help keep wealth in local areas and reduce energy costs.

John Swinney (@johnswinney.bsky.social) 2025-05-28T14:57:33.436Z

🧵 REVEALED: Community energy projects in Scotland are generating 100x more local wealth than privately-owned wind farms.But just 0.5% of the renewable power is community-owned. Why this staggering imbalance?

Platform (@platform1983.bsky.social) 2025-05-28T08:19:02.010Z

I’m still trying to understand why the UK allows the price of renewable electricity to be set by the price of gas, when renewable electricity is so much cheaper. I mean I understand why energy companies do it, to make more money, I don’t understand why we let them www.carbonbrief.org/factcheck-wh…

Jack Wallington (@jackwallington.com) 2025-05-28T06:36:01.238Z

What a surprise. Recent polling showing that most Republican voters in Texas *oppose* moves to squash the state’s booming renewable energy sector. Texas’s combined wind and solar power output is nearly double that of its closest rival, California.www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-i…

Josie Glausiusz (@josiegz.bsky.social) 2025-05-28T13:31:29.909Z

Chevron investors reject stockholder proposals on human rights, renewable energy reut.rs/4dyt8ZA

Reuters (@reuters.com) 2025-05-28T16:05:05.949Z

Chalk streams are rare, ancient ecosystems getting a second chance in Norfolk, through nature-based solutions! Local communities and TNC are re-wiggling rivers and launching the Norfolk Water Fund. “Re-wiggling” restores a stream while protecting biodiversity and supporting sustainable water use🏞️.

The Nature Conservancy Science (@science.nature.org) 2025-05-23T15:06:34.884Z

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *