Extreme Temperature Diary- Wednesday July 30th, 2025/Main Topic: Trump’s Energy Deal With the E.U. Will Further Sink Our Climate

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/29/climate/trump-trade-deal-europe-energy.html?searchResultPosition=1

Trump’s E.U. Trade Deal Comes With Impossible Energy Promises

The European Union pledged to buy billions of dollars’ worth of energy resources from the United States. Experts say that’s unrealistic and could hurt Europe’s climate goals.

Somini Sengupta
Max Bearak

By Somini Sengupta and Max Bearak

When the Trump administration reached a trade deal with the European Union this week, the tariffs got much of the attention. But the agreement also includes a remarkable provision that could more than triple the amount of oil and gas America sells to the European Union.

Under the trade deal, the 27-country bloc says it will buy $250 billion in energy resources from the United States every year through the end of President Trump’s term. That’s a huge jump from the $70 billion it now buys, mainly in the form of crude oil and liquefied natural gas.

Analysts say it would be almost impossible to meet that sales target. Nevertheless, the terms, even if realized only in part, could have far-reaching effects on Europe’s economy and politics.

A significant change in fossil fuel use in Europe, one of the world’s biggest economies, could affect how quickly the Earth’s atmosphere continues to heat up, and thus, the fate of billions of people around the world. The burning of fossil fuels has raised global temperatures and aggravated heat waves, fires and floods, including in the United States and Europe.

Fossil fuels have shaped America’s interests abroad for decades. But rarely has an American administration used fossil fuel exports so aggressively as a political and economic tool in the energy choices countries make.

“This will strengthen the United States’ energy dominance, reduce European reliance on adversarial sources, and narrow our trade deficit with the E.U.,” the administration said in a fact sheet, referring to the European Union’s stated objective to reduce, if not eliminate, its purchasing of fuel from Russia.

A deal to buy so much energy from one country flies in the face of Europe’s other worry: energy security. Europe has been succeeding at weaning itself off Russian gas.

But the Trump deal could risk locking in dependence on the United States, and that’s not the only question surrounding the details of the agreement.

No, according to energy industry analysts. The dollar figure is “so far away from what is really possible that it has the hallmarks of something said just to get an agreement over the line,” said Chris Aylett, a research fellow at Chatham House, a foreign policy think tank based in London.

The European Union’s official statistics show that it imported an estimated $70 billion of oil and gas from the United States and $26 billion from Russia last year. So even if the European Union replaced all its Russian imports with American ones — which is a tall order on its own, given that U.S. fuels are shipped rather than piped — it wouldn’t make it halfway to the agreement’s target.

Europe is also rapidly adding renewable energy infrastructure. The countries of the European Union together are the leading importers of Chinese-made solar panels, and China now sells one in five electric vehicles bought in Europe. The European Union has adopted a law to have renewable energy sources make up at least 42.5 percent of its energy consumption by 2030, up from a quarter currently.

“Europe is well on its way to independence, thanks to the rapid growth of renewables,” said Laurence Tubiana, a former French climate diplomat who now heads the European Climate Foundation, an advocacy group. “It doesn’t need more high-price, high-risk L.N.G.,” she added, referring to liquefied natural gas.

There’s another hitch. It’s unlikely that E.U. political leaders have authority to dictate whom private companies buy energy from.

The agreement says it could also include the export of American nuclear technology to Europe. But analysts said the most promising technologies around a new generation of reactors were still years away from being ready to deploy.

It could, in two ways.

First, if Europeans end up buying more oil and gas over the next three years, it would increase Europe’s climate pollution. Second, U.S. gas is in liquefied form, and its carbon dioxide emissions are 10 times that of an equivalent volume of piped gas from Russia and elsewhere. That’s because more energy is required to liquefy it, transport it by ship and turn it back into gas.

The Trump deal could also bolster the president’s far-right political allies in Europe, who have sought to scuttle the European Union’s targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions over time. The European Commission, the bloc’s executive arm, has proposed reducing the bloc’s planet-warming emissions by 90 percent by 2040, compared with 1990 levels. The European Parliament has yet to agree on the proposal.

Fossil fuels were a central focus of the United States’ other recently announced trade deals. Japan, for instance, agreed to invest billions of dollars in the United States, including on a major expansion of U.S. energy imports, according to the White House.

The Trump administration has been pressuring Japan, South Korea and other Asian nations for months to finance a $44 billion liquefied natural gas project in Alaska. The project has been stalled for many years over questions of who will pay for it and whether Asian demand will last long enough into the future to justify it.

Most liquefied natural gas projects have an estimated life span of 40 to 50 years, and countries like Japan and South Korea have pledged to make their economies carbon-neutral by 2050.

My latest for Bloomberg: the #PragmaticClimateReset. Part I: The transition is not dead – in fact it's on track as long as you think like a tortoise, not like a hare.(Before you ask, Part II will be out over the summer)about.bnef.com/insights/cle…#ClimateChange #Climate #Energy #NetZero

Michael Liebreich (@mliebreich.bsky.social) 2025-07-29T08:59:04.166Z

Don't expect food prices to drop ever againExtreme weather driven by #climate breakdown will just keep on driving them upAnd then will come the shortagesAnd then we will be fighting for what's left on the shelveswww.bbc.co.uk/news/article…

Prof Bill McGuire (@profbillmcguire.bsky.social) 2025-07-29T09:34:36.133Z

Anchorage (Airport) days per winter with a low temperature of 0F (-17.8C) or lower since 1953-54. A 73 percent decrease over the past seven decades in the average number of cold days per winter. It's almost as if something has changed. #akwx #Climate @climatologist49.bsky.social

Rick Thoman (@alaskawx.bsky.social) 2025-07-26T23:58:08.964Z

The Greenland ice cap is losing around 30 MILLION tonnes of ice an hour due to the climate crisis – 20% MORE than what scientists originally thought.No time to waste. Stopfossifuels. #ActOnClimate #climate #energy #renewables #go100re

Mike Hudema (@mikehudema.bsky.social) 2025-07-29T18:07:07.356Z

Barnaby's anti-net zero bill is doing Labor a favour. The Nats/Coalition are entirely irrelevant in parliament now, but media coverage breathing life into their nonsense will just help make whatever the Albanese govt says/does about climate look ambitious in comparison. #auspol #climate

Polly Hemming (@pollyjhemming.bsky.social) 2025-07-28T08:57:20.579Z

A long-awaited rule to protect workers from heat stress moves forward, even under Trump.While labor experts say the regulation is progressing quickly, advocacy groups wonder what has taken so long.grist.org/labor/federa…#OSHA #Policy #Politics #Farms #Workers #Unions #Climate #Heat

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-28T17:04:05.934Z

Climate change has sent coffee prices soaring. Trump’s tariffs will send them higher.From drought-stricken farms to rising trade barriers, the global coffee industry is facing unprecedented strain.grist.org/food-and-agr…#Economics #Climate #Coffee #Brazil #Vietnam #Ethiopia #Tariffs #Farms

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-30T16:28:11.500Z

This Indian rapper is spitting bars about climate justice, caste, and Indigenous rights.In her latest single, Mahi G spotlights the outdoor workers vulnerable to extreme heat.grist.org/arts-culture…#Climate #India #Indian #Rap #Rapper #Music #Art #Culture

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-29T14:17:37.861Z

What ‘the world’s loneliest whale’ may be telling us about climate change.A mysterious whale that has puzzled scientists for decades may not be an anomaly, but a clue to what climate change is doing beneath the waves.grist.org/oceans/what-…#Whale #Whales #Climate #Seas #Ocean #Water

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-27T16:16:00.334Z

How musicians and concert venues are upping the tempo on climate action.As sustainability initiatives in other industries stall out, big acts like Coldplay, Dave Matthews, and Billie Eilish are pushing live music to go green.grist.org/arts-culture…#Climate #Music #Art #Culture #Coldplay

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-29T20:55:44.208Z

Introducing the dairy tycoons – they're making millions while cooking the climate.Take action against the intensive dairy industry's destruction of the climate – greenpeace.nz/b95joo #nzpol #climate

Greenpeace Aotearoa (@greenpeace.org.nz) 2025-07-28T22:40:04.792Z

Rising seas, vanishing voices: An Indigenous story from Martha’s Vineyard.In "Nothing More of This Land," writer Joseph Lee reflects on being Wampanoag in a place shaped by colonization.grist.org/indigenous/r…#Climate #BosPoli #Islands #Wampanoag #Colonization #Indigenous

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-29T15:35:37.187Z

Hurricane data reversal? www.nytimes.com/2025/07/30/c…

Capital Climate (@capitalclimate.bsky.social) 2025-07-30T18:29:30.213Z

Unless we pass comprehensive #climate reform, climate change will continue to harm our environment – and our wallets. Companies like State Farm are already raising rates in Illinois by over 27% to account for damages from extreme weather.

Mike Quigley (@quigley.house.gov) 2025-07-29T15:05:01.926Z

What Zoe sez! #climate #auspol #netzero www.theguardian.com/commentisfre…

Blair Palese (@blairpalese.bsky.social) 2025-07-27T20:30:44.413Z

A huge week for Nanna #Climate good news, which might explain why we're a little late reporting it. Enjoy! knittingnannas.org/2025/07/25/g…

Sydney Knitting Nannas and Friends (@knitnannassyd.bsky.social) 2025-07-26T22:23:46.598Z

In the black- my #climate cartoon for @australia.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com/commentisfre…

Fiona Katauskas (@fionakatauskas.bsky.social) 2025-07-29T02:46:10.229Z

The renewable energy revolution is a feat of technology | Rebecca Solnit #Climate

Climate Tracker (@climate.skyfleet.blue) 2025-07-30T11:16:02.378Z

This mobile solar container unfolds and provides solar power, anytime, anywhere.We have so many solutions. Implement them. #ActOnClimate#climate #energy #renewables

Mike Hudema (@mikehudema.bsky.social) 2025-07-27T18:08:15.441Z

Trump’s environmental policies are reshaping everyday life. Here’s how.The president’s rollbacks and funding cuts are affecting your food, water, and air — even if you don’t realize it.grist.org/politics/tru…#Politics #Policy #Food #Climate #Water #Health

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-30T13:29:25.374Z

Seaweed brought fishers, farmers, and scientists together. Trump tore them apart.A Puget Sound project turned seaweed from a nuisance into a “climate-smart commodity.” That inserted it into the president’s culture wars.grist.org/food-and-agr…#Climate #Food #Agriculture #USDA #Farms #Seaweed

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-29T20:53:55.372Z

The guerilla campaign to save a Texas prairie from ‘silent extinction’.“This is a war between us and the developers, and nobody’s calling uncle or throwing up white flags.”grist.org/solutions/th…#Texas #TX #Environment #Climate #Prairie #Nature

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-28T13:31:55.551Z

Atlanta is embracing a cheap, effective way to beat urban heat: ‘cool roofs’.White or reflective roofs significantly reduce temperatures. Atlanta is the latest city to mandate their adoption.grist.org/cities/atlan…#Climate #ATL #GA #Georgia #Atlanta #Roofing #Housing

Grist (@grist.org) 2025-07-26T22:12:20.672Z

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *