Extreme Temperature Diary- Wednesday September 17th, 2025/Main Topic: Risky Summer 2025 Heat Added by Climate Change

Risky Summer 2025 Heat Added by Climate Change | Climate Central

Risky Summer 2025 Heat Added by Climate Change

KEY FACTS

  • Climate Central’s latest global analysis shows where people felt the strongest influence of human-caused climate change on daily average temperatures between June and August 2025.
  • Every day during the last three months, at least one in five people on the planet felt a strong climate change influence.
  • In 193 (out of 247) U.S. cities, people experienced at least a week’s worth of days with temperatures strongly influenced by climate change.
  • More than 21 million people in the U.S. experienced at least 30 days of risky heat driven by carbon pollution. Risky heat days are hotter than 90% of those recorded in a local area from 1991-2020.
  • In 112 U.S. cities, climate change accounted for at least half of the risky heat days people experienced this summer.

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Billions experienced summer heat fueled by carbon pollution

According to Climate Central’s latest report, People Exposed to Climate Change: June to August 2025, the effects of carbon pollution (mainly from burning coal, oil, and methane gas) influenced temperatures in nearly all regions of the world during the past three months. This was especially true for locations in the Northern Hemisphere during their meteorological summer, including the U.S.

This Climate Central analysis used the Climate Shift Index (CSI) to quantify the influence of human-caused climate change on daily average temperatures experienced in 240 countries and 940 cities (including 247 U.S. cities) from June 1 to August 31, 2025. See Methodology for details.

Click the downloadable graphic: Summer 2025 Daily Anomalies and CSI

Climate change strongly influenced daily temperatures

CSI levels, developed by Climate Central’s scientists, quantify the influence of climate change on local daily temperatures. Positive CSI levels 1 to 5 indicate temperatures that are increasingly likely because of climate change. A CSI level 2 means temperatures that day were made twice as likely by climate change. This analysis focuses on the average person’s experience of unusually warm conditions strongly influenced by climate change (CSI level 2 or higher). 

  • Each day during the last three months, at least 1.8 billion people (22% of the global population) experienced temperatures made at least twice as likely because of climate change (CSI level 2 or higher).
  • Across the U.S., the average person experienced about 21 days with a strong influence of climate change (CSI 2 or higher) during meteorological summer (June-August).
  • The average person in Hawaii experienced temperatures strongly influenced by climate change nearly every day this summer (90 out of 92 days).
  • In 193 U.S. cities, people experienced at least a week’s worth of days at CSI 2 or higher.

Explore interactive maps for more data on U.S. states and cities.

Click the downloadable graphic: Risky Heat Days Added By Climate Change

More risky heat added by climate change

Risky heat days are hotter than 90% of temperatures observed in a local area compared to the 1991-2020 period. Heat-related health risks rise when temperatures climb above this local threshold. Climate Central analyzed the number of risky heat days that were added by climate change globally, including in 247 U.S. cities and all U.S. states.

  • Nearly 955 million people on the planet experienced 30 or more days of risky heat added by climate change in June to August 2025.
  • In all 50 U.S. states, Puerto Rico, and Washington, D.C., the average person experienced at least one additional weeks’ worth of risky heat this summer because of climate change.
  • Thirty-two U.S. cities — home to more than 21 million people collectively — experienced 30 or more risky heat days added by climate change. 
  • Locations that experienced the most days of risky heat because of climate change include: West Palm Beach, Fla. (49 risky heat days added by climate change); Anchorage, Alaska (48); Miami, Fla. (47); and San Juan, Puerto Rico (46).
  • In 112 U.S. cities, climate change accounted for at least half of the risky heat days people experienced this summer.
  • In some cities, climate change added all of the risky heat days experienced this summer, including: Honolulu, Hawaii (38 risky heat days, all added by climate change); McAllen, Texas (24); Houston, Texas (21); and Waco, Texas (9).

Explore interactive maps for more data on U.S. states and cities.

Exceptional summer heat

  • On average, the U.S. was about 0.6°F warmer than normal during June to August (compared to the 1991-2020 average).
  • Nearly 45% of U.S. cities (111 out of 247) saw temperatures that were at least 1°F warmer than normal this summer.
  • Many U.S. cities that experienced at least a week’s worth of days at CSI 2 or higher also experienced exceptionally warm temperatures during the past three months (Table 1).

Table 1. Cities with the highest seasonal temperature difference from normal during June-August 2025.

CityStateSeasonal temperature difference from normal (°F)Days at CSI 2 or higher
LewistonIdaho3.415
SpokaneWashington3.414
MissoulaMontana3.314
FresnoCalifornia342
YakimaWashington2.725
Salt Lake CityUtah2.651
Grand JunctionColorado2.641
BristolTennessee2.547

LOCAL STORY ANGLES

Is climate change influencing daily heat extremes in your local area?

Climate Central’s Climate Shift Index (CSI) system provides tools, data, custom maps, and local alerts to answer this question in real-time. Here are three ways to use the CSI:

  • Use the tools. Climate Central’s Climate Shift Index map tool shows which parts of the world are experiencing high CSI levels, every day. Explore the global CSI map for today, tomorrow, and any day in the recent past.
  • Access KML to create custom CSI maps. Get access using the panel links in the map tool.
  • Sign up for alerts. Sign up here to receive custom email alerts when significant CSI levels are detected in your local area.

To request an interview with a Climate Central scientist about this analysis, please contact Abbie Veitch, aveitch@climatecentral.org.

FIND EXPERTS

Submit a request to SciLine from the American Association for the Advancement of Science or to the Climate Data Concierge from Columbia University. These free services rapidly connect journalists to relevant scientific experts. 

Browse maps of climate experts and services at regional NOAA, USDA, and Department of the Interior offices.  

Explore databases such as 500 Women ScientistsBIPOC Climate and Energy Justice PhDs, and Diverse Sources to find and amplify diverse expert voices. 

Reach out to your State Climate Office or the nearest Land-Grant University to connect with scientists, educators, and extension staff in your local area. 

METHODOLOGY

All Climate Shift Index (CSI) levels reported in this brief are based on daily average temperatures and ECMWF ERA5 data from June 1, 2025 to Aug. 31, 2025. See the frequently asked questions for details on computing the Climate Shift Index, including a summary of the multi-model approach described in Gilford et al. (2022)

For the set of local graphics included in this release, daily average temperature anomalies (relative to 1991-2020 normals) from June 1, 2025 to August 31, 2025 were obtained from the Applied Climate Information System, which is developed, maintained, and operated by NOAA’s Regional Climate Centers. Three locations do not have localized graphics due to incomplete data: Chico, Calif.; Clarksburg, W.Va; and Laredo, Texas.

Values shown in maps and tables across this website have been rounded for clarity. For exact data values, please download the full dataset above.

A detailed methodology can be found in the full report.

MEDITERRANEAN HISTORIC HEAT WAVE Extraordinary hot day in #Spain40.7 El Granado,dozens of stations >35C allover the country including the highlands.Unprecedented heat for this time of the year and next days can be even hotter.Record heat also in MOROCCOMINIMUM 30.6 Semara

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T18:02:27.442Z

49.2C at Jeddah is the new WORLD RECORD HIGHEST TEMPERATURE between Sept 16th and Dec 19th !

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-16T20:02:22.435Z

RECORD HEAT ALLOVER EAST ASIAJapan🇯🇵:33.1C Chichijima IslandThailand🇹🇭:35.0C SatunVietnam🇻🇳:Minimum 29.0C Ca MauTaiwan🇹🇼:39.3C Wagu (0.3C from Taiwanese September record !)

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T09:29:57.939Z

HISTORIC HEAT IN CHINAExtraordinary temperatures up to 40C in Hunan and Jiangxi Provinces (never happened this time of the year).Dozens of monthly records smashed including:40.0 Hengnan39.4 Ningxian39.3 Shaoshan39.3 Hengshan39.2 Hengyangand many more…Absolutely Unprecedented

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T12:24:32.416Z

SOUTH AMERICA vs. SOUTH AFRICA: The heat race !Double brutal heat waves >40C in both Continents in this first weeks of spring !After a week always >40C in South America, South Africa also returns >40C on the coast, valleys and highlands:Up to41.1C today at Mbazwana

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-16T22:46:23.318Z

Today the Bolivian town of Camiri, located in a valley and with always cool night, had an unusual warm night with a Minimum temperature of 23.8C, by far its Highest Minimum ever recorded in SeptemberJust a little appetizer of what's coming on the weekendMins >30C in Paraguay and HEMISPHERE record

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-16T23:57:07.154Z

Yesterday max. temperature at Lytton, Canada was 33.4C.After the unprecedented heat >40C, September continues abnormally hot in British Columbia, being the most anomalous area in the world so far this month.Map Kudos: Dr. Ryan Maue

Extreme Temperatures Around the World (@extremetemps.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T15:44:19.694Z

#Heatwaves – #europe:"The actual death toll could be even higher." New rapid attribution studies bring in the human cost of #ClimateCrisis phys.org/news/2025-09… @phys.org.web.brid.gy

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T14:40:01.368Z

I know my Bluesky friends will appreciate this. Carl died in the mid 90s at Cornell, my Alma Mater. Carl was a role model of mine. Not sure who controls his account but they made my day!

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-09-16T21:07:57.077Z

Tough news for the Arctic: “Permafrost thaw exposes sulfide-bearing rocks, oxidation generates acidity, and the resulting acid mobilizes a suite of metals. At higher concentrations the metals become toxic to aquatic life.”www.earth.com/news/alaskas…

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-09-13T14:45:39.427Z

Drought is climate change’s biggest threst. “Experts agree that Syria and the broader region appear headed toward worse climate shocks, which they aren't prepared to absorb.” www.independent.co.uk/news/syria-m…

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-09-07T01:04:16.398Z

Germany’s famous study showed over 80% insect declines in farmland over 27 years. “Those findings were often blamed on pesticides and habitat loss. Sockman’s work shows something different. Insects are collapsing even in a meadow with little human pressure. Climate itself may be enough.”

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-09-09T15:13:44.951Z

The climate crisis will continue making lightning-sparked wildfires more frequent for decades to come — putting public health, forests, and communities at greater risk.My latest for @theguardian.com, quoting experts from @uofcalifornia.bsky.social:www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025…

Eric Holthaus (@ericholthaus.com) 2025-09-06T16:10:50.536Z

@ThirdActOrg.bsky.social Co-Founder @BillMcKibben.bsky.social explains: We’re at a dire point in the human story, with temps higher than they’ve been in 125k years, but we have one secret weapon: the sudden & rapid drop in the price of energy from the sun. ☀️ Keep watching: buff.ly/MpiS776

Bioneers (@bioneers.org) 2025-09-14T14:02:26.787Z

We're setting the kind of records we like seeing this hurricane season! The latest from @bhensonweather.bsky.social and I on newly-formed Tropical Storm #Gabrielle: yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/09/the-…

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T16:10:27.251Z

TD 7 forms. Should be TS Gabrielle soon. Then perhaps a Hurricane over the weekend. Btw… this would only be the 2nd hurricane of the season. On average the 2nd cane forms Aug 26… so if it forms, it will be 3 weeks + late. No threat to the US, but Bermuda needs to monitor.

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T11:32:51.838Z

The Tropical wave – soon to become #Gabrielle – is HUGE. 1000 miles across, equal to the distance between Tampa and New York City. Waves with big envelopes often take longer to organization and strenghten. So even if this develops today, it will "lumber" for days.

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-09-16T19:23:55.170Z

Not a smart way to treat what they acknowledge is a critical public safety agency. “Terminating the CBA right now potentially adds another layer of instability to an agency already struggling with the effects of staffing cuts/shortages and insufficient resources.”

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-09-03T17:34:15.953Z

Not counted as a heat death: “A 72-year-old Arizona man died days after falling on a sidewalk last year, with the hot surface burning 16% of his body. Cause of death: complications of thermal injuries because of prolonged exposure to elevated environmental temperatures on a hot surface.”

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-09-02T00:17:06.668Z

#ClimateCrisis – #EnergyPrices:"They chalked it up to multiple heat waves, and their preference to sleep in the cold, she said. They’re crossing their fingers for cooler fall weather."www.inquirer.com/business/ene…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T14:36:53.594Z

#Refinery- "While Valero is a big part of Benicia business, is it not without its critics — particularly after the refinery became the site of a series of air pollution incidents." City of Benicia to close refinery. www.mercurynews.com/2025/09/16/g…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T14:07:37.392Z

"Amazon spokesperson Steve Kelly said the company regularly tests various vehicle options. The BrightDrop testing does not change its work with Rivian."www.reuters.com/sustainabili…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T14:56:58.845Z

Some great ideas: “Recovery should start with a vision for a stronger place, not just a rebuild of what was lost…improve upon metrics such as job creation, school enrollment, transit availability and population retention.”

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-08-27T14:19:47.197Z

“particles spewed by Canadian wildfires killed 82,000 people in 2023, according to a study published in Nature on Wednesday. The long tendrils of smoke choked towns not just in Canada and the US, but also across the Atlantic. The pollution was responsible for 22,000 early deaths in Europe alone.”

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-09-11T03:10:22.250Z

#Pollution + #Wildfires: “It’s not a heart attack a day or three after the exposure. It’s, like, a cancer risk way down [the road]…The long-term exposure [risk] can be insidious.” Where There's Fire There's Smoke. More:eos.org/features/whe…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T14:20:14.725Z

Dr. Rob Young: "This is unsustainable over the long run. I mean, we cannot hold every beach in the U.S. in place forever by doing these projects. We're going to run out of sand, it's going to get too expensive, so it really is a crisis, I think, that we haven't completely come to terms with."

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-09-06T13:11:29.555Z

USDA Releases Farm-to-School Funding After Earlier Cancellation and more stories on @civileats.com civileats.com/food-policy-…

Silicon Valley North – Citizens Climate Lobby (@cclsvn.bsky.social) 2025-09-17T14:55:11.016Z

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