Extreme Temperature Diary- Thursday November 20th, 2025/Main Topic: Keeping Promises on Renewables, Energy Efficiency and Methane ‘Would Avoid Nearly 1C of Global Heating’

Keeping promises on renewables, energy efficiency and methane ‘would avoid nearly 1C of global heating’www.theguardian.com/environment/…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2025-11-19T06:35:17.660Z

Keeping promises on renewables, energy efficiency and methane ‘would avoid nearly 1C of global heating’ | Cop30 | The Guardian

Cop30

Keeping promises on renewables, energy efficiency and methane ‘would avoid nearly 1C of global heating’

Analysis published at Cop30 summit shows adhering to pledges offers world hope of avoiding climate breakdown

Fiona Harvey and Jonathan Watts in BelémWed

Sticking to three key climate promises – on renewables, energy efficiency and methane – would avoid nearly 1C of global heating and give the world hope of avoiding climate breakdown, analysis published at the Cop30 climate summit suggests.

Governments have already agreed to triple the amount of renewable energy generated by 2030, double global energy efficiency by then, and make substantial cuts to methane emissions.

If they follow through on these promises – still a big if, even though countries are meeting for climate crisis talks in Brazil this week – it would be a “gamechanger”, shaving 0.9C from projected temperature rises this century, according to the Climate Action Tracker coalition.

Achieving all of these measures, among G20 countries alone, would reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by 18bn tonnes in 2035 – enough to cut the rate of global heating by a third in the next decade, and halve it by 2040.

Bill Hare, chief executive of Climate Analytics, one of the organisations behind the report, said: “If [governments] achieve this by 2035, it would be a gamechanger, quickly slowing the rate of warming in the next decade and lowering global warming this century from 2.6C to about 1.7C.”

This is close to the target of limiting global heating to 1.5C above preindustrial levels that is at the core of the 2015 Paris climate agreement. Hare said: “The [findings] are really quite stunning. It would be the first big improvement, and a major step forward.”

Stopping deforestation is another climate pledge that has yet to be fulfilled. This would also be essential to avoid further reducing the world’s “carbon sinks”, which absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and balance out the remaining greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels.

Hare said these targets had already been negotiated, and now just needed to be put into practice: “The whole emphasis of this Cop is implementation so I would say the parties need to get on and do it.”

Pledges to triple renewables and double energy efficiency were made at Cop28 in Dubai in 2023. Since then, global investment in renewables has continued to rise, to more than $2tn (£1.5tn) last year, according to the International Energy Agency, which was more than twice the investment into fossil fuels.

China’s renewable energy sector has surged ahead, and India reached its goals five years early, with huge investment in solar and wind energy.

Cutting methane looks to be much harder, however. More than 150 governments are nominally signed up to the global methane pledge, and are supposed to cut their emissions of the gas by 30% by 2030, compared with 2020 levels.

But methane emissions have continued to rise, and many countries have been found to have underreported their output. Even persuading countries to capture the methane from their oil and gas operations – or close abandoned coalmines and oil wells to stop methane escaping – looks unlikely to happen, with Russia, China and the US three of the biggest culprits.

Hare said: “Governments need to start right now [on all the promises]. The real question is political: can governments bring themselves to resist pressure from the fossil fuel industry, and will richer countries agree to accelerate financial support for the countries that need it?”

At the Cop30 summit in Belém, governments are supposed to come up with a response to the fact that their current emissions-cutting plans would allow temperatures to rise to 2.5C, instead of the 1.5C they have committed to.

On Wednesday, countries were expecting a new draft text from the Brazilian presidency that would address many of these issues – and the question of a “transition away from fossil fuels”, which was also promised at Cop28.

Some countries are hoping to begin the process of drawing up a roadmap for the fossil fuel phaseout, but they are likely to face stiff opposition from petrostates and their allies.

Niklas Höehne from the NewClimate Institute said: “The changes in the energy system would be so significant from tripling renewables, doubling efficiency, reducing methane, that they would actually trigger the transition away from fossil fuels.

“If you look at the numbers, it shows really significant reductions in fossil fuel use by the mid-2030s from these measures. So that would also go a long way towards implementing the agreement done in the first world stock take to transition away from fossil fuels.”

Global warming is like a human fever: https://nature.ly/4igz104"If our body temperature spiked by 2°F in a very short period of time, which is exactly what the Earth's temperature has done, then we'd be feeling really achy." @katharinehayhoe.com for @axios.com

The Nature Conservancy (@nature.org) 2025-11-20T16:09:09.197739108Z

Since petrostate Saudi Arabia and its efforts to sabotage the #COP30 climate summit is currently in the news, an excerpt from #ScienceUnderSiege by @peterhotezmdphd.bsky.social & yours truly: bookshop.org/p/books/scie…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T17:45:42.578Z

So, what SEEMS to have been agreed, at this late stage, on who will host COP31, given we're very nearly at the end of #COP30 in Belém, Brazil – and the Australia v Türkiye psychodrama has been quite the sideshow throughout the talks so far?www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDgR…

Gareth Redmond-King (@gredmondking.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T15:53:27.583Z

As I was just saying! bsky.app/profile/scie…

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-11-19T19:21:43.861Z

#Wind-powered #Denmark plans to cut planet-heating pollution by at least 82% by 2035 from 1990 levels.#climate www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T11:33:15.226Z

Hazzah! Today, my colleagues at @virginiaclimate.bsky.social released the first-ever Virginia Climate Assessment, a "comprehensive, science-based evaluation of how past, current, and anticipated climate conditions have and will impact Virginia and its people." Please join me in thanking them.1/2

Ed Maibach (@maibached.bsky.social) 2025-11-19T19:25:07.071Z

As it pertains to weather preference, Are you boots or bikini type?

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T04:39:58.684Z

While parts of Texas have a reputation for drought and dryness, a large stretch of the state has been deemed “Flash Flood Alley.” The area follows Dallas-Fort Worth along the I-35 corridor through Austin and San Antonio in the Hill Country and curves toward Del Rio in southwestern Texas.

The Dallas Morning News (@dallasnews.com) 2025-11-19T19:30:07.862Z

Coal Transition Commission outlines opportunities to deliver a rapid, secure and affordable coal transitionwww.renewableenergymagazine.com/panorama/coa…

Renewable Energy Magazine (@renewablesnews.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T10:27:59.457Z

£150m investment in 100 MW Scottish floating wind. #Scotland #RenewableEnergy www.energyvoice.com/renewables-e…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T11:35:39.274Z

Econergy expands its German footprint with 435 MW storage option agreementwww.renewableenergymagazine.com/storage/econ…

Renewable Energy Magazine (@renewablesnews.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T12:10:04.782Z

'Reducing the UK’s energy demand could help the country reach its net zero target faster and at half the cost compared to relying mainly on supply-side technologies, according to new research by energy experts.'www.nature.com/articles/s41…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T11:39:40.168Z

Wind energy CFOs are turning to AI to de-risk multi-billion-dollar projects, new industry report revealswww.renewableenergymagazine.com/wind/wind-en…

Renewable Energy Magazine (@renewablesnews.bsky.social) 2025-11-19T10:12:26.375Z

Nuclear Stocks Crash, With A Potential Payoff Still Years Away | OilPrice.com oilprice.com/Alternative-…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T11:47:34.193Z

Saudi govt has made clear in the past that they want #nuclear weapons capacity. Trump's deal sets #Saudi on the way to fulfilling that ambition.www.bloomberg.com/news/article…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T11:28:52.227Z

Corruption involving #Ukraine’s #nuclear energy body, Energoatom, that runs three nuclear power plants. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T11:22:27.303Z

#Scotland First Minister John Swinney absolutely rules out changing SNP’s no #nuclear stance: ‘there is no way on this planet that I am going to change that policy’. New nuclear “economic and environmental folly” that would lead to more expensive bills. www.johnogroat-journal.co.uk/news/first-m…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T11:10:22.741Z

And then there's coastal #nuclear …www.theguardian.com/environment/…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2025-11-20T12:06:10.856Z

"The chemtrail theory is ultimately prideful. It’s a way for theorists to feel powerful + smart when they face things beyond their comprehension and control."People cling to ridiculous theories to meet their emotional needs – great explanation by @dratropos.bsky.social for @theconversation.com

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-11-19T20:30:50.918Z

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