Extreme Temperature Diary- Wednesday April 1st, 2026/ Main Topic: Trump’s Energy Crisis Is Going to Change the World

Opinion | This Energy Crisis Is Going to Change the World – The New York Times

Opinion

This Energy Crisis Is Going to Change the World

Sri Lanka and Myanmar are rationing fuel. The Philippines has instituted four-day workweeks to conserve gasoline and electricity. Bangladesh briefly closed its universities to reserve power for homes and businesses. Across India, families and restaurants are cooking over wood fires for want of gas. Airlines are canceling flights.

As painful as the first phase of the energy crisis set off by the war with Iran has been, what comes next will be worse. This week, the final deliveries of oil and liquefied natural gas to Asia that passed through the Strait of Hormuz before it was closed are expected to arrive. The last tanker shipments to Europe should land by mid-April. After that, many countries’ reserves of gasoline, diesel, liquid petroleum gas and natural gas will dwindle. The price of oil could soar as high as $200 a barrel if the war drags on.

Fatih Birol, the head of the International Energy Agency, has called this “the greatest global energy security threat in history” — much worse than the 1970s oil crisis, the Covid pandemic or Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. This conflict has disrupted a bigger share of the global oil and gas trade, and there is no way to quickly fill the gap.

Countries such as India, Indonesia and Vietnam are responding to higher gas prices by burning more coal. But over the long term, this shock will accelerate a turn toward cleaner technologies, especially in Asia and Europe. This is the first oil crisis in which clean alternatives to oil and gas — solar panels, wind turbines, electric vehicles and batteries — are both inexpensive and widely available.

The fuel supply crunch has already spurred consumers to embrace these technologies. As the Philippines declared a national energy emergency on March 24, car shoppers in Manila were crowding into showrooms of the Chinese carmaker BYD and purchasing E.V.s . Solar vendors and installers are reporting a sharp rise in interest from German customers. Heat pump installations are on the rise in Britain. Electric rickshaw sales are booming in Pakistan. Induction cooktops are selling out at online retailers in India. In Vietnam, a conglomerate reportedly wants to abandon plans to build the country’s biggest liquefied natural gas-fired power plant and instead pursue a renewables and battery storage project.

Since the war started, the stock market valuation of each of China’s three biggest battery companies has increased by roughly 20 percent, or $70 billion altogether.

For governments weighing how quickly to pivot to clean energy, Pakistan’s recent history may offer some lessons. The country was hit hard by the energy shock that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. It was unable to afford suddenly exorbitant gas imports, so many of its scheduled shipments were rerouted to wealthier European buyers.

But a deluge of inexpensive solar panels from China has transformed Pakistan’s energy system and helped insulate it from the current scarcity of liquefied natural gas. Solar now generates nearly 30 percent of its electricity, up from just 3 percent in 2020. The Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air has estimated that the solar boom will help Pakistan avoid $7 billion in fossil fuel imports this year. That’s shielding Pakistanis from real pain.

With solar, “you can make a major dent on your fossil fuel reliance in a matter of a couple of years,” Lauri Myllyvirta, the research center’s lead analyst, told me.

That’s important because it could be years before the oil and gas supply is restored to prewar levels. After Iranian missiles struck the Ras Laffan liquefied natural gas export facility in Qatar, the country ceased production of the fuel entirely, suddenly taking 20 percent of the world’s supply off the market. Officials predict it will take three to five years to bring that plant, the world’s largest, fully online again. Other operators in the region also cut back on producing oil and gas because they are running out of places to store it all. Those wells can’t just be flipped back on like a light switch; it will take months to ramp production back up, creating more pressure to find alternatives.

The war will, in some ways, strain the clean energy sector, too. As inflation and interest rates go up, some project developers may struggle to finance new energy installations and grid projects. Supply chains for key items, such as transformers, aluminum and copper wire, now face their own bottlenecks and disruptions. Chaos makes everything — whether you’re building polluting energy infrastructure or clean — harder and more expensive.

Countries such as India will have to make electric grids built for coal flexible enough to incorporate large amounts of wind and solar. To meet the surge in demand for clean tech, governments must decide how much to invest in their own factories to churn out all those solar panels, heat pumps and E.V.s and what tariffs to levy on imported versions, according to Tim Sahay, the co-director of the Net Zero Industrial Policy Lab at Johns Hopkins. But countries and firms can build out renewables much faster than they can construct, say, huge gas liquefaction terminals, pipelines and power plants.

Achieving energy security is now an overwhelming imperative. That means not just installing more wind, solar and batteries but developing domestic clean tech manufacturing capacity and electrifying home heating and transportation. As their energy autonomy improves, more countries will see drastic reductions in health-damaging air pollution and climate-warming emissions.

China has made the most progress along this path: Over the last decade it electrified large shares of its transportation and industrial sectors and cut its oil consumption by over a million barrels per day, giving it a good-sized cushion during the Iran crisis. Chinese companies have pledged to invest more than $227 billion in other countries’ capacity to manufacture E.V.s, chargers, batteries, solar, wind and other clean technologies, according to a recent report by Mr. Sahay’s lab at Johns Hopkins.

China’s reduced exposure to energy turmoil is the fruit of careful planning, Mr. Sahay pointed out, dating back to the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq, which prompted a long-term rise in oil prices. Future oil shocks are inevitable. “Electrification will be seen as the shock absorber,” he said.

That option remains available to American consumers, too, who may soon find themselves eyeing electric vehicles and heat pumps — even though the Trump administration has ripped away the incentives that made them more affordable.

Just last week, I listened as the U.S. energy secretary, Chris Wright, speaking in Houston at the world’s biggest annual energy conference, framed the Trump administration’s efforts to encourage oil and gas production as a kind of humanitarian project. “The truth is simple: Energy is life and the world needs massively more of it,” he declared.

If there’s irony here, it’s the tragic kind. The administration’s war of choice has made energy dangerously expensive in nearly every corner of the globe, causing needless suffering. The most fossil fuel-friendly government in recent U.S. history has shown us all just how risky reliance on oil and gas can be — and taught the world that true energy security lies in accelerating toward a cleaner, electrified future.

More on the war and the energy transition

The Iran War Is Revealing the Messy Middle of Our Renewable Energy Transition

March 27, 2026

Opinion | Ezra Klein, Annie Galvin and Jack McCordick

What Happens if 20 Percent of the World’s Oil Disappears?

March 24, 2026

Opinion | Michael Grunwald

Now Is the Perfect Time to Buy an Electric Vehicle

March 23, 2026

Jonathan Mingle is a journalist and the author of “Gaslight: The Atlantic Coast Pipeline and the Fight for America’s Energy Future.”

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🌡️Every single weather station we have recorded the warmest March on record. Most would have been the warmest April too. More sites below🧵 https://x.com/NWSBayArea/status/2039348328870129861

NWS Bay Area Bot (@nwsbayareabot.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T14:29:57.694111Z

Number of 80°+ days in March in Denver: 1972-2025: 7 days2026: 8 days#COwx

Chris Bianchi (@bianchiweather.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T16:39:59.746Z

Warmest March on record for the US! Prelim numbers show 2026 beat its nearest competitor (March 2012) by a big margin ~.5°F (March 2012)Some cities averaged 15° degrees above norm for March 2026. NOAA shows over 15,000 location heat records (max & mins), 3,000 were all-time monthly March records 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T14:29:55.706Z

Warmest March on record for the Nation on average and specifically for much of the West!

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T17:11:44.803Z

In case you missed this yesterday, the recording is available below!

Daniel Swain (@weatherwest.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T17:47:02.974Z

In today's @sfchronicle.com, @petergleick.bsky.social takes stock of this year's snowpack. "Without the snowpack, we will draw down our reservoirs earlier, cutting into our reserves and worsening the impact of the inevitable droughts we suffer."www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/open…

David Knowles (@writerknowles.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T14:13:10.382Z

Colorado's statewide snow water equivalent is 3.3". That's our average snowpack level on…May 30th.In other words: Colorado is currently on pace to melt off its snowpack (or just about) in mid-late April, roughly two *months* earlier than average.#COwx

Chris Bianchi (@bianchiweather.bsky.social) 2026-03-31T21:27:45.632Z

Nearly every day in March had a climate fingerprint on Finland's record, snow-melting warmth.🔴Attribution science shows that between March 10-15 and again March 19-27, the extreme heat would have been RARE (4x more likely) to VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE (5x more likely) without human-caused warming.

Shel Winkley (@shelwinkleywx.bsky.social) 2026-03-30T23:46:16.754Z

Are climate policies all hot air? An analysis of policies in action across 40 nations says no – they are reducing emissions, and the strongest effects come from “packages” combining carbon pricing, subsidies and regulations, rather than single measures. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10….

Angus Hervey (@angushervey.com) 2026-04-01T13:03:46.566Z

Did you know that making the moral case against fossil fuel use has been identified as a societal tipping point?Glad to see @greenfaith.bsky.social doing it this week in the US!

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2026-03-31T23:33:06.792Z

Congrats to Fairbanks for having their coldest Dec-Mar on record. 🥳 @alaskawx.bsky.social

Climatologist49 (@climatologist49.bsky.social) 2026-03-31T16:04:04.427Z

There is a sizeable difference between the average high temperature departure from normal and the average low temperature departure from normal this month (thru 3/30). From a long-term climate perspective, we generally use average temperature (departures) and do not separate out highs versus lows.

Climatologist49 (@climatologist49.bsky.social) 2026-03-31T17:51:32.104Z

Well, I do have some good news to report: yesterday's weather system "overperformed" somewhat in NorCal! Convective activity and even some stronger thunderstorms developed in the unusually warm/moist/unstable airmass, bringing some more widespread downpours than expected.

Daniel Swain (@weatherwest.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T18:25:29.000Z

But from broader snowpack perspective, it's simply too little, too late. This week's cooler temperatures & mountain precipitation will allow snow water equivalent to flatline or even tick upward a few percentage points. But SWE will generally remain near or below record lows.

Daniel Swain (@weatherwest.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T18:25:46.000Z

After this cooler & wetter interlude, there are once again strong signals than anomalous April warmth will dominate the West for much of rest of April. It won't be as extreme as March, relatively speaking, but return of warmth & dryness will likely allow rapid snowmelt to resume.

Daniel Swain (@weatherwest.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T18:25:52.000Z

Experts have poo-pooed the idea, but the new Google Deepdoodoo seasonal hurricane forecast model, trained on poop data from sea turtles, outperforms the traditional models from CSU, NOAA, and TSR. I have the details:yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/04/ai-t…

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T16:09:29.463Z

The Canary Islands enveloped in dust as waves and vortices swirl off of them.A fascinating, complex view.

Dakota Smith (@weatherdak.bsky.social) 2026-03-31T22:02:26.321Z

Renewables grew to almost 50% of global electricity capacity in 2025 after solar boostwww.reuters.com/business/ene…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T09:27:20.651Z

In 2025, more power was generated worldwide from renewable energy than from coal, and 91% of new renewables are now cheaper than fossil fuels.Each year nuclear adds only as much net global power capacity as renewables add every two days.

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T10:47:25.493Z

"If ever there were a time to double down on renewable energy, it is now." inews.co.uk/opinion/plug…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T09:19:19.606Z

"The bottom line is that if England had no need for Scotland’s oil and gas or huge #renewableenergy capacity, energy policy would already be devolved."www.heraldscotland.com/politics/vie…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T09:12:34.115Z

UK now has nearly twice as many public EV chargers as petrol pumps.More than 118,000 public charge points are now available nationwide compared with around 60,800 fuel pumps.www.independent.co.uk/cars/electri…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T09:22:28.238Z

Clear and present danger of radioactive sea-water pollution following an accident or incident at #Barakah and / or #Bushehr #nuclear power plants.All #Gulf desalination plants (and, hence, Gulf state drinking water) would be at significantly increased risk.#Iranwww.laka.org/docu/boeken/…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-03-31T18:43:43.911Z

Despite all evidence to the contrary, all the scandals, the knowing disinformation, the endless game-playing, the levering of capital by nefarious means, the vast cost ramps and time over-runs – our #nuclear bros still have the gall the keep on doing it.www.globenewswire.com/news-release…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T15:57:59.064Z

Here's my Op Ed related to EPA's efforts -not based on science- to repeal the Endangerment Finding on #climatechangewww.yahoo.com/news/article…@maibached.bsky.social @docsforclimate.bsky.social @globalecoguy.bsky.social @katharinehayhoe.com @cchyale.bsky.social @climatechangepost.bsky.social

Jonathan Patz, MD, MPH (@jonathanpatz.bsky.social) 2026-03-31T15:09:00.156Z

Emission scenarios inevitably embed assumptions about fairness. Tracking these assumptions is genuinely difficult, but making them transparent matters.We developed a framework to do just that. @ic-cep.bsky.social #IIASA @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social 1/2

Karl Scheifinger (@karlscheifinger.bsky.social) 2026-04-01T12:37:47.229Z

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