Extreme Temperature Diary- Friday April 18th, 2025/Main Topic: Focus On Houston Which Is Becoming Financially Stressed Due to the Climate Crisis

Climate change+proposed changes to municipal bond tax rules are a huge threat to cities. “If Congress repeals the tax-exempt status, it would drive up borrowing costs for Houston by 15 to 20 percent, at a time when one out of every six general fund dollars already goes to debt service.”

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2025-04-17T14:08:25.847Z

https://susanpcrawford.substack.com/p/global-temperatures-are-going-sharply

Global temperatures are going sharply up while US cities’ financial ability to cope with the ravages of accelerating climate change is going sharply down

Maybe people are hoping to buy the city dip

Susan Crawford's avatar

Susan Crawford

The buildup of risk being caused by our nationwide reluctance to deal with the consequences of climate change is becoming more obvious. The bill will likely end up being paid by ordinary Americans, and particularly people who live in cities.

It turns out that 2015 was an important year for the intersection of climate change and finance. That year, global warming began speeding up—a long-lasting anomaly that hasn’t stopped since and likely won’t stop in 2025 (although scientists won’t know that until the year ends). And that was the year Mark Carney, then the Bank of England governor and now Canada’s prime minister, made a famous speech about the temporal mismatch between financial planning and accelerating climate impacts—something he called the “tragedy of the horizon”—and the need to find ways to incorporate longterm climate risks into financial decision-making.

We have learned since then that the physical risks of climate change are both greater (with doubling of C02 likely causing higher temperatures than current IPCC models show) and coming sooner than we thought ten years ago—making the “horizon” in Carney’s phrase much closer than anyone thought in 2015.

The ongoing, ferocious transition in where and how we live is unquestionably underway, whether or not officials are planning for it: chronic, extreme climate-related effects are already happening, and many of these nearer-term risks are being priced in by the most liquid elements of the financial markets, like insurance and reinsurance. Still, many decisions being made now by policymakers about how to prioritize, measure, and withdraw investments inadequately reflect the known physical risks of rapidly accelerating climate change. (I talked to Louie Woodall about this larger picture earlier this week on a Climate Proof podcast.)

Meanwhile, the constraints keeping cities from adjusting are markedly increasing.

Most people in America live in cities. Our economy is built on what happens in cities. But the current federal administration, it is fair to say, is not focused on the needs of cities. Earlier this week, the administration issued executive orders “encouraging agencies to move out of downtown districts,” according to Bloomberg’s Gregory Corte, reversing Carter/Clinton directives aimed at moving them into downtowns. Members of the House Budget Committee have pointed to eliminating or trimming the tax-exempt status of municipal bonds as a source of revenue. State governors, wary of retribution, are not speaking up in favor of the exemption. Events are moving quickly. The threat is real, and it would have enormous consequences for cities and their residents.

Here is Houston’s independently-elected Chief Financial Officer, Chris Hollins, speaking at a Bond Buyer conference last week:

Municipal bonds are one of the most important tools we have for funding major infrastructure projects—public safety, roads, water systems, schools. If Congress repeals the tax-exempt status, it would drive up borrowing costs for Houston by 15 to 20 percent, at a time when one out of every six general fund dollars already goes to debt service.

If that happens, it means fewer dollars going to critical city services and more going to interest payments. It means more pressure on property taxes. And it means Houstonians will be paying more for less. It’s almost like…an unnecessary tariff coming out of nowhere for no reason.

Houston is already facing billions in costs for rebuilding its wastewater system, and Hollins wants the city to rein in overtime spending for the city’s sanitation, fire, and police departments. All of this is happening at the same time federal aid is drying up. Houston is facing severe financial headwinds.

At the same time, some parts of Houston are, like Florida, facing both declining real estate prices and severe physical risks associated with climate change. Here is a snapshot of Houston from an article this week in the Washington Post (“Home prices are dropping in some cities. See what it’s like in your neighborhood”).

From the Houston Chronicle a year ago:

The acceleration of extreme climate and weather disasters in the United States has wrought a death toll thousands deep while inflicting billions in economic losses over the past four decades, and data show that Harris County sits at the epicenter of the devastation. . . .

A National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) study ranked Harris County as having the highest weather and climate hazard risk after considering its physical exposure to natural disasters, along with the vulnerability and resilience of its population and infrastructure, including homes, businesses, vehicles and crops.

It’s not just Houston. Put yourself in a city CFO’s shoes. You’re trying to plan ahead to avoid building in floodplains, encourage flood mitigation, and generally keep people safer from chronic flooding, extreme weather, extreme heat, wildfires, and all the other harms predictably coming your city’s way. Meanwhile, federal aid is evaporating, some of your property values are going down (affecting property tax revenues), insurance is exiting or becoming unaffordable for many (affecting property values), and now reliable federal tenants in your downtowns are pulling up stakes and leaving. Borrowing money may become sharply more expensive at the same time that construction costs—profoundly affected by tariffs as well as inflation generally—are climbing. All of this makes for a truly difficult job, the costs of which will end up on residents’ shoulders one way or another.

The current federal administration does not seem to have the interests of ordinary city residents in mind, even though something like 90 percent of the country’s GDP comes from cities, with the top 25 metro areas accounting for roughly half of our economic activity.

A cynic would say that the people actually benefiting from these policies must have other plans. Maybe they are hoping to hire private security forces and ride out the ruckus, then snap up distressed but beautiful city properties at lower prices.

Buying the city dip. It’s an unthinkable thought.


*More from Hollins’s remarks last week:

And let me be even more direct—Houston doesn’t have the luxury of inaction. We must invest in public safety. We must repair our aging infrastructure. These aren’t optional. They’re essential to our residents’ safety, quality of life, and the long-term economic growth of the city I call home.

At a time when families and businesses are already grappling with rising costs—from groceries to housing—the last thing we need is for government to make things worse by increasing the cost of critical services and investments.

We haven’t seen atmospheric CO2 levels consistently this high in 14 MILLION years.We’re in so so SO much trouble, & pretty much every politician & journalist has just decided to ignore it.No time to wait. #ActOnClimate #climate #energy(graph by Dr Thomas Ronge)

Mike Hudema (@mikehudema.bsky.social) 2025-04-16T19:25:49.014Z

This is the road we are on: buff.ly/3x3EXnj We can't solve this crisis if we keep expanding the problem. Time to keep fossil fuels in the ground. #ActOnClimate#climate #energy #stopfossilfuels #go100re

Mike Hudema (@mikehudema.bsky.social) 2025-04-16T18:07:16.732Z

"Without NOAA research, National Weather Service (NWS) weather models and products will stagnate, observational data collection will be reduced, public outreach will decrease, undergraduate and graduate student support will drop, and NOAA funding for universities will plummet."

Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2025-04-17T19:24:46.716Z

Why Trump’s executive order targeting state climate laws is probably illegal.President Trump continues dismantling climate policy with a move of questionable legality that benefits fossil fuels. States are sure to sue.grist.org/politics/why…#Trump #Law #Climate #Environments #states #Trump

Grist (@gristnews.bsky.social) 2025-04-17T19:49:15.233Z

Looking for a new local science Podcast. USF has a new series called “The Rising Tides” featuring USF professors talking about the science and their research. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t…

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-04-18T11:57:52.271Z

Climate change is not just a problem of physics but a crisis of justice #Climate

Climate Tracker (@climate.skyfleet.blue) 2025-04-18T09:33:47.529Z

Nannas were pleased to hear the PM use the word “climate” in Wednesdays election debate but the question remains “Why should voters support your government while it continues to exacerbate #climate boiling through Australia’s increasing export of #FossilFuels ?

Sydney Knitting Nannas and Friends (@knitnannassyd.bsky.social) 2025-04-17T21:39:27.093Z

#Climate change is literally shifting Earth's axisAs Earth warms, ice from glaciers and ice sheets migrates from land into the sea (as water), which majorly redistributes weight on the globe. This shifts the planet's axismashable.com/article/eart…

Go Green (@ecowarriorss.bsky.social) 2025-04-17T19:29:45.905Z

Coverage our event happening now from The Daily Pennsylvanian with quotes from @heatherkostick.bsky.social on what PCSSM Research Day is all about:www.thedp.com/article/2025…

Penn Center for Science, Sustainability & the Media (@penncssm.bsky.social) 2025-04-18T14:11:01.545Z

I will be delivering a seminar on #OurFragileMoments at the @exeter.ac.uk, UK on Thursday, May 8th from 4-5PM local time:www.exeter.ac.uk/events/detai…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2025-04-18T17:58:28.738Z

What do climate protests actually achieve? More than you think.The evidence is in: Protests can persuade people, and maybe even change how they vote.grist.org/protest/clim…#Protest #Climate #Environment #Trump #Greensky

Grist (@gristnews.bsky.social) 2025-04-18T16:25:08.561Z

Weather analysis used by a wide array of businesses and governments across the US have gone dark after funding for long-running regional hubs nixed. @bloomberg.com has the story here with @laurenthal.bsky.social and myself: www.bloomberg.com/news/article…#doge #climate #extremeweather #weather

(@weathersullivan.bsky.social) 2025-04-17T17:59:55.713Z

The proposed NOAA budget gutting would also eliminate the Climate Adaptation Program (CAP). The Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy, the org I work for, is the CAP for Alaska and has been working for Alaskans since 2006. #akwx #climate #NOAAalaskapublic.org/news/alaska-…

Rick Thoman (@alaskawx.bsky.social) 2025-04-18T17:28:23.476Z

April is snowiest month on Beartooth Front climatologically (for now). Upper low undercuts over S ID/WY induces cool N-NE upslope flow, generates thick powder. 35-40cm our place so far. Back to 1895 now. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025… #climate #montana #dogs #running #skiing #gye #winter #snow

Michael Richmond (@beartoothskier.bsky.social) 2025-04-17T22:34:32.386Z

PCSSM Senior Research Fellow Dr. Joe Romm wrote a recent piece for the @latimes.com www.latimes.com/opinion/stor…

Penn Center for Science, Sustainability & the Media (@penncssm.bsky.social) 2025-04-18T14:31:34.703Z

a bit of good news for climate…maybe.❄️🧪💙📚#scicomm#climate#science 🌎 🔬 ⚒️#geosky#ClimateHealth#ClimateActionwww.scientificamerican.com/article/shif…

Paul Bierman (@paul-bierman.bsky.social) 2025-04-17T23:56:05.706Z

Happy earth day, green groups, your tax status is revokedThat's the rumor around DC & maybe just focused on climate groups, and can't possibly stand up in the courtsBut who can be surprised at this pointNext question: would it effect #climate #journalism #nonprofits as well?

Erik Hoffner (@erikhoffner.bsky.social) 2025-04-17T16:06:15.176Z

Last year, the United States sold more educational services to the rest of the world than it sold in natural gas and coal combined.wapo.st/4luJyph

Catherine Rampell (@crampell.bsky.social) 2025-04-15T15:29:11.057Z

"Instead, the flight served as a kind of perverse funeral for the America that once enabled both scientific advancement and feminist progress."Acurate.

Andra Garner (@andrajgarner.bsky.social) 2025-04-18T03:19:53.880Z

Scientists using the James Webb Space Telescope have obtained what they call the strongest signs of possible life beyond our solar system, detecting in an alien planet's atmosphere the chemical fingerprints of gases produced only by biological processes reut.rs/43XJ7Oe

Reuters (@reuters.com) 2025-04-17T02:32:28.123Z

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