Dear Diary. We know that climate change is producing overall warmer air that can hold more moisture planet wide. The United Kingdom has had a mild spell of weather with major flooding being a consequence last week. The northeastern U.S. finally had its first significant snow of the season yesterday after experiencing a very mild winter so far:
Snowfall reports received as of 100 pm Sun Jan 7th. Highest totals so far by state:
— NWS Eastern Region (@NWSEastern) January 7, 2024
NY Milton 18"
MA Haverhill 13.5"
VT Orange 13"
ME E. Wakefield 13"
NH Plaistow 13"
NJ Wantage 12.6"
PA Paupack 12.4"
CT Norfolk 12"
MD Frostburg 7.1"
VA Hightown 7"
WV Snowshoe 7"
RI Foster 6.1" pic.twitter.com/blOo54bIG7
Don’t forget that the United States had its warmest December on record. Now a major winter storm dubbed Finn by The Weather Channel will send warmth with record moisture content northeast over territory that has recently received its first significant snow, setting stage for another flooding disaster:
Remember some of the snow from this weekends storm will be added to this equation inland as it melts with more of an early week rain event to follow. https://t.co/MMHteX0hEV
— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) January 6, 2024
A concerning scenario on Tuesday across New England, with models suggesting pockets of 3-5” rainfall over fresh snowpack, saturated soils, and a powerful low level jet opening the door for damaging winds. This will be a highly impactful storm system. pic.twitter.com/33rMvcniL6
— John Homenuk (@jhomenuk) January 8, 2024
A MODERATE risk is in effect in our Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook. More details: https://t.co/FQU5sbmsxo pic.twitter.com/ltAQw6tjnd
— NWS Weather Prediction Center (@NWSWPC) January 8, 2024
I am growing concerned about widespread power outages for millions of people on Tuesday and Wednesday. Trees and power lines will not be a match for southeasterly wind gusts of 50-70 mph. Western and northern New York, in particular, do not often get such strong southeasterly… pic.twitter.com/7eCvQLpPMx
— Brian Donegan (@WxBrianD) January 8, 2024
I’ll be putting reports on Northeast flooding and power outages tomorrow in my weather section, which is always posted after my climate change news of the day section daily. Look for those.
As far as recent United Kingdom flooding goes, here is a good summary from the Guardian:
Carbon dioxide emissions -> Global warming -> Increase in UK temperatures -> More intense UK rainfall -> Higher risk of flooding pic.twitter.com/dIt0l6IR4L
— Ed Hawkins (@ed_hawkins) January 8, 2024
UK floods – and deaths – will keep rising without proper defences and conservation
Helena Horton Environment reporter
Global climate breakdown is behind the increasingly stormy weather but domestic solutions are essential
Friday January 5th
A home is surrounded by flood water from the River Severn in Ironbridge. Photograph: Carl Recine/Reuters
Large areas of England are submerged under murky flood water, with homes damaged, farm crops rotting, and rail routes and roads unusable.
The UK is a rainy country, and some parts of it are quite used to regular floods, but the situation is worsening. Global climate breakdown caused by the burning of fossil fuels is causing more unpredictable and extreme weather events and the domestic infrastructure is underfunded and cannot cope sufficiently.
The practical consequences of increased flooding and a lack of investment in defences include rising numbers of people being stuck in homes they cannot insure, let alone sell, businesses suffering in the autumn and winter seasons, food production facing devastating hits, transport routes becoming unusable at times. And more people will die.
This week, Storm Henk followed Agnes, Babet and Debi, which came earlier in the winter and caused destruction of their own. The heavy rain comes at a time when the country is already sodden, with rivers and soils unable to take any more water.
The Environment Agency in England has advised people in flood warning areas to turn off gas, water and electricity supplies, move possessions upstairs, and move family, pets and cars to safety. This could be a warning heard by increasing numbers of people in future years.
Hannah Cloke, a professor of hydrology at the University of Reading, said: “Storm after storm this autumn and winter has made Britain a sopping wet sponge and there is nowhere for any extra rain to go. All that extra water is running straight off the landscape and our rivers are swelling up like the beautiful monsters they can be.
“Mild, warmer winters, heavier downpours of rain, and storms that hit us week after week are all examples of the impacts of climate change that are increasingly affecting the UK right now. This should be a reminder of the need to adapt our cities and infrastructure to deal with this hotter, more hazardous climate. It shows a small taste of the enormous costs we are building up in the years ahead if we fail to bring down emissions fast enough.”
This winter it was revealed by the National Audit Office that the number of properties to receive better protection from flooding by 2027 has been cut by 40%, and 500 of 2,000 new flood defence projects have been abandoned. The government claims the cuts are unavoidable due to high inflation, but it is likely to be more costly to rebuild flood-devastated areas than to protect them in the first place.
Temporary flood defences in place in Bewdley, Worcestershire, in October last year. Photograph: Andrew Fox/The Guardian
Guardian research has found that more than 4,000 of England’s vital flood defences are so damaged they are almost useless. The number of damaged flood defences has increased across all regions in the past five years.
The answer is not just found in concrete defences and sandbags. There is increasing evidence that the way rivers have been straightened and deepened, and their banks stripped of vegetation, has caused water to flow down to the towns and cities below, worsening the flooding. Stripping nutrients from the soil means it is less able to hold water. Restoring river habitats and creating new floodplains would both help nature and reduce flooding.
The rest of January is forecast to be more settled but clear skies should not bring complacency – the next downpours will return soon enough.
Here are more “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks, as well as any extreme precipitation reports:
The cold is advancing in EUROPE.
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 8, 2024
Very low temperatures in European Russia and Scandinavia locally below -30C.
Still stubborny mild in the last warm bulwark with minimum temperatures not dropping below 17C in some Greek islands and Turkish coastal areas. pic.twitter.com/5yNwJPb3X9
Australia again between cool and rainy conditions in the Southeast (some rainfall records were broken) and harsh heat in the Northwest.
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 8, 2024
47.8C today at Port Hedland is the new 2024 world highest temperature so far (but remind that 49.5C was hit on 31 December in Roebourne). https://t.co/fSbyUQhtNU
In the second day of this new Southe American heat wave,Paraguay had minimum temperatures up to 30C and Argentina maximums up to 44C. We can expect a further increase specially in night temperatures next 2 days with nights up to 33. https://t.co/fXmg1LR9Ho
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 8, 2024
Record of highest minimum/hottest night again in MICRONESIA where Chuuk didn't drop below 83F/28C tying the record which was set on 1 January.
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 8, 2024
Records are being smashed allover the tropics in all Continents, every day only to be rebeaten later… pic.twitter.com/1eyjYZYhJ7
More Records in PHILIPPINES
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 8, 2024
36.0C at San Jose is its hottest January day on record, while Dipolog didn't drop below 27C,hottest January night.
In the past 5/6 months hundreds of records have been smashed in the Philippines every single day.
This should be the "cool season" . https://t.co/XZwvREc2e9
Philippines call…VIETNAM answers
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 8, 2024
Extremely hot nights in the middle of the "cold season":
Record high MINIMUM temperature of 27.9C at Huyen Tran in the Spratly Islands
8 stations didn't drop below 25C
Thousands of records have been falling throughout Oceania and Asia these days pic.twitter.com/8mXkyw8yzl
In Helsinki Kaisaniemi, the first seven days of January ranked as the third coldest on record.
— Mika Rantanen (@mikarantane) January 8, 2024
Only 1987 and 2003 had a colder start to the year. Interestingly, these years were also El Niño years. pic.twitter.com/uIlnalWb3p
Bitter cold and a potential winter storm in the East Mid-January https://t.co/UMw8lZcKJV pic.twitter.com/h0t35Wcc9P
— NWS Climate Prediction Center (@NWSCPC) January 8, 2024
Next Tuesday morning:
— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) January 8, 2024
GFS 12z updated temperature anomalies now sinking to 50°F below normal (for mid-January) centered upon Kentucky.
The Arctic blast blows through Texas into the Gulf of Mexico w/extended period of sub-freezing temperatures. pic.twitter.com/Z0SyirTti0
Here is more brand-new December and 2023 climatology:
December 2023 in #Bolivia was another record hot month:six record hottest months in a row !
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 8, 2024
Temperature anomalies were little bit less brutal compared to November but still exceptional and mostly between +2C and +3C above average.
Tmax/Tmin graphs by Senhami. pic.twitter.com/qsqcn2laid
December 2023 in #Poland was warm and had a temperature anomaly of +1.84C above normal.(left map).
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 8, 2024
2023 as a whole had a temperature anomaly of +1.40C and was the 2nd warmest on record after 2019. (right map).
Maps are courtesy of @PogodaMeteo pic.twitter.com/MLIW1th3Zz
December 2023 in Fiji had a temperature anomaly of +0.58C above normal.
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) January 8, 2024
It was a very dry month with nearly the whole country with rainfall deficits [see rainfall anomaly map below courtesy of Fiji Meteorological Service]. pic.twitter.com/PvTHp74CaB
Here is More Climate and News from Monday:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity. In most instances click on the pictures of each tweet to see each article. The most noteworthy items will be listed first.)
Tornadoes, high winds, blizzard conditions, coastal and river flooding, and more: What's been an underwhelming winter is turning wild this week across much of the United States. @CC_Yale https://t.co/xsz282LoN7
— Bob Henson (@bhensonweather) January 8, 2024
#ClimateCrisis: “When our children and grandchildren look back at the history of human-made #ClimateChange, this year and next will be seen as the turning point at which the futility of governments in dealing with climate change was finally exposed" https://t.co/2rOgn2GA52
— Prof. Peter Strachan (@ProfStrachan) January 8, 2024
Efforts to keep global heating to 1.5C will effectively be smashed within months, top ex-Nasa scientist says https://t.co/ZKZxSObNrG
— Guardian Environment (@guardianeco) January 8, 2024
Carbon dioxide (CO₂) averaged about 422 ppm in December 2023
— Zack Labe (@ZLabe) January 8, 2024
10 years ago December averaged about 397 ppm
Preliminary data (@NOAA_ESRL): https://t.co/81JQavZVWZ pic.twitter.com/W2YodSdtOx
Changes in January temperatures in the #Arctic by decade…
— Zack Labe (@ZLabe) January 8, 2024
[Data from @CopernicusECMWF ERA5 reanalysis] pic.twitter.com/YKoZhWFkfJ
Breaking News! Code UFB!!!
— Prof. Eliot Jacobson (@EliotJacobson) January 8, 2024
Yesterday saw a new record standard deviation for global sea surface temperatures, a full 6.10σ above the 1982-2011 mean, beating the previous record of 6.08σ set on Nov. 24, 2023.
The Golden Globe award for 'most overheated planet' goes to Earth. pic.twitter.com/EVvvkWD1ay
My annual update of sea level observations and trends at Virginia Key near #Miami:
— Brian McNoldy (@BMcNoldy) January 8, 2024
The 2023 annual average water level was the highest on record, even higher than in 2022 (18.6-yr LNC removed). The trend is upward at an average rate of ~2.6 inches or 6.6 cm per decade. [1/4] pic.twitter.com/OjKtgeoPsJ
Another look at the extraordinary global sea surface temperature anomaly currently taking place.
— Prof. Eliot Jacobson (@EliotJacobson) January 8, 2024
This is a graph of the number of standard deviations from the 1982-2011 mean for each day, 1982-present. Altogether, there are 15,336 data points plotted, and yesteday's was highest. pic.twitter.com/hCCOeMClX8
The January NMME update suggests that oceanic La Niña conditions will be strengthening during the Atlantic hurricane season 🌀
— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) January 8, 2024
The tropical Atlantic is also forecast to be warmer than average.
These drivers would greatly increase the odds for an active season.@hurricanetrack pic.twitter.com/VyMNJrzcxm
760 dead zones in the #oceans covering a 10th of the open #sea & growing. The warming of the waters has led to decreased oxygen levels, causing numerous species to relocate to more hospitable areas in one of the largest migrations involving billions of creatures. #climate pic.twitter.com/Pciqknkdlp
— Peter Dynes (@PGDynes) January 8, 2024
More from the Weather Department:
Be weather aware in the Gulf Coastal states! Winter Storm #Finn will bring Snow across the Plains & MW, it will spawn severe weather in the South!
— Alex Wallace (@TWCAlexWallace) January 8, 2024
Impacts: Tornadoes, Damaging Wind Gusts that could be 75 mph+ & heavy rain!!!
We've got it covered on the @weatherchannel. pic.twitter.com/l2vQY5XM5u
A severe weather event begins today across southeast Texas and will continue into the Gulf Coast states late tonight and the Carolina coast by Tuesday afternoon.
— NWS Storm Prediction Center (@NWSSPC) January 8, 2024
-Damaging wind gusts and strong tornadoes are the primary threat.
-Overnight significant severe weather likely. pic.twitter.com/Nlz8eXEhif
Getting real concerned about major coastal flooding & damaging wind gusts on Tuesday night. Having a 95-100kt low-level jet with SSE flow over Long Island & NYC is… not ideal. pic.twitter.com/tq6ztCmWfU
— Tomer Burg (@burgwx) January 8, 2024
Big heads up! This is called the significant tornado parameter, essentially the risk of seeing a tornado with ~100mph winds. Can’t say I’ve ever seen it this high for such a widespread area. Be prepared tomorrow from 2pm-7pm in the Bay Area from NW to SE. @WFLA pic.twitter.com/DiZvioH8Lp
— Jeff Berardelli (@WeatherProf) January 8, 2024
Great upper air analysis right now, via College of Dupage weather page, complete with the deformation zone across back across western KS. #blizzard pic.twitter.com/e7p4U4xwAi
— Tom Niziol (@TomNiziol) January 8, 2024
#Snow #Winter 1/8/24 This is why we don't trust snow maps past a couple of days. Last week the GFS showed 40" for St Louis today/tomorrow. The actual forecast? Little or no snow accumulation. This is why we encourage you to not share long range snow maps. Click bait! pic.twitter.com/ZJmcK0phta
— Beau Dodson (@BeauDodson) January 8, 2024
An updated Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook has been issued. https://t.co/VBxTZCpCic pic.twitter.com/UIbNe5WTfx
— NWS Weather Prediction Center (@NWSWPC) January 8, 2024
A second weakening of the stratospheric polar vortex next weekend may yet bring a major sudden stratospheric warming (easterly winds at 10 hPa 60°N in midwinter). pic.twitter.com/TNihuiixhh
— Dr Simon Lee (@SimonLeeWx) January 8, 2024
Today’s News on Sustainable Energy, Traditional Polluting Energy from Fossil Fuel, and the Green Revolution:
The red-state campaign against EVs is picking up steam. Kentucky has now implemented multiple taxes on EVs –they are now taxed far more than gas cars. https://t.co/p63qiFcirP
— David Roberts (@drvolts) January 5, 2024
Analysis: UK electricity from fossil fuels drops to lowest level since 1957 | @DrSimEvans @VernerViisas
— Carbon Brief (@CarbonBrief) January 8, 2024
Read here: https://t.co/tSLbR68PHB pic.twitter.com/IgShXqSB9m
Shame of #Norway pushing for massive deep sea mining with mammoth excavators – each around 15 metres long, 4 metres wide, and 270 tonnes – to cut and grind mineral-laden rocks from the seabed that will destroy vital eco systems in once pristine deep sea .https://t.co/lput7EB9Sb
— GO GREEN (@ECOWARRIORSS) January 8, 2024
‘Greener, cheaper, much warmer’ – #heatpump owners laud their new system
— Prof. Peter Strachan (@ProfStrachan) January 8, 2024
"Report finds users even in Victorian properties and older rural homes are noticing cheaper bills and warmer homes"#ClimateCrisis #RenewableEnergy #ClimateSolutions
https://t.co/9F13dedHZ6
More on the Environment and Nature:
“If the bees disappear off the surface of the globe then man would only have four years of life left. No more bees, no more pollination, no more plants, no more animals, no more man.” #SaveTheBees #ActOnClimate #climateemergency #Climate #nature #GreenNewDeal #biodiversity pic.twitter.com/VJM6LBJn3B
— Mike Hudema (@MikeHudema) January 8, 2024
The devastating trail super trawlers leave behind
— GO GREEN (@ECOWARRIORSS) January 8, 2024
Huge Factory ships that stay at sea from months consuming the ocean of life
It’s estimated that over 300,000 small whales, dolphins and porpoises die from entanglement in fishing nets every year.https://t.co/NQMJPrkulV pic.twitter.com/zo89u938tB
Night thoughts
— Green is a mission (@Greenisamissio1) January 8, 2024
When the sun burns, there is no difference between human and animal, everyone gladly accepts the shade of a tree.💚🌿🌱☘️🌲🌳🍀💚 pic.twitter.com/kFuLtroH2a
More on Other Science and the Beauty of Earth and this Universe:
The NWS Lake Charles office just experienced a brief round of large hail. This stone is about two inches across. Let us know if you are experiencing hail and what size. pic.twitter.com/TW3RscrNl7
— NWS Lake Charles (@NWSLakeCharles) January 8, 2024
And another day on the journey of life is history, wishing my beloved and much appreciated fellow inhabitants of planet Earth a relaxing good evening and a blessed night with a dear greeting from my beloved home. May God bless you❤️💙💚🌿🌱☘️🌲🌳🍀💚 pic.twitter.com/sP7ZDyIBDi
— Green is a mission (@Greenisamissio1) January 8, 2024