The main purpose of this ongoing blog will be to track planetary extreme, or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials)😉
Main Topic: New York City Drowns
Dear Diary. Climate change, as has been demonstrated time and time again by attribution studies, has enhanced rainfall events across the globe. Recently a medicane named Daniel brought devastating rains to Greece and Libya because of added Mediterranean heat that translated into extra atmospheric energy producing flooding rainfall.
Today it was New York City’s turn to experience the wrath of a system that brought flooding rain to Southeast New York State, at least partially due to record warm Atlantic waters. The system that brought the flooding was well forecast by meteorological models:
The potential for historic flooding tomorrow – perhaps 1-in-100 year rain event – in or around NYC is growing. Flash flooding likely. Here’s a combined future radar followed by rainfall total forecast from the GRAF model. Here’s a thread… 1/ pic.twitter.com/TRo8SN43Sn
— Jeff Berardelli (@WeatherProf) September 29, 2023
Although not as devastating as what happened across the Mediterranean area, today’s New York event should make everyone aware of the potential of further planetary warming, waking us all up from any peaceful dream that our environment is O.K. And the rainfall experienced by New York wasn’t even from an organized tropical system. By the way, since 2016 I’ve called for the naming of potential flooding events to better focus the public on these threats. It will be interesting to see attribution studies from this unnamed system:
If you are not following epicflooding in the New York City area, here is my discussion of why it happened, the records and how the Government Shutdown could make things worse. Cites @BhatiaKieran too. #NYCFlooding #GovernmentShutdown https://t.co/2oHflNqrnb
— Dr. Marshall Shepherd (my record is my blue check) (@DrShepherd2013) September 29, 2023
Apparently the NWS station at JFK airport, set up in 1948, has just set its one-day rainfall record.
— Bill McKibben (@billmckibben) September 29, 2023
It's a new, wet world out there. https://t.co/PFQVaRvG25
Training over same area + intense rainfall rates + impervious surface + Infrastructure engineered for last centuries rainfall intensities = Bad Situation https://t.co/oENN6g2ZDM
— Dr. Marshall Shepherd (my record is my blue check) (@DrShepherd2013) September 29, 2023
Max rainfall in the NYC area, esp. Brooklyn and Queens has been from 6 to just over 8" of rainfall (in Park Slope 2 stations 8"+). So far it is just shy of a 1-in-100 year 24 hour rainfall event but by day's end a few stations may break that threshold. pic.twitter.com/N8F8KTvcbH
— Jeff Berardelli (@WeatherProf) September 29, 2023
This is in the Gowanus neighborhood of Brooklyn, an area that includes the @EPA Superfund site, the Gowanus Canal, which I observed this morning as a dark brown, highly contaminated mess. Sewage overflows blend in with rain water… https://t.co/sMYmhQWA0n
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) September 29, 2023
BREAKING: Major #flooding in #NYC as exceptional rain totals continue to grow:
— Matthew Cappucci (@MatthewCappucci) September 29, 2023
Brooklyn: 6.66 inches
Ozone Park: 5.72 inches
Central Park: 5.25 inches
Valley Stream, Long Island: 5.20 inches
Sheepshead Bay: 5.01 inches
Manhattan: 4.27 inches
Potent "inverted trough" continues. https://t.co/HVAWKeOrcO
With 5.09" of rain at #NYC Central Park since Midnight, today is the 8th rainiest day in over 56,000+ recorded daily rainfall totals – 154 years. Another 1-3" is possible before midnight. @NWSNewYorkNY @NBCNews pic.twitter.com/OYvWi0E7z1
— Bill Karins 💧 (@BillKarins) September 29, 2023
This is your weather on climate steroids#ClimateCrisis #OurFragileMoment https://t.co/B4ywbfm8Xh
— Prof Michael E. Mann (@MichaelEMann) September 29, 2023
New York's JFK Airport has received nearly 8 inches of rain… its wettest day ever recorded, surpassing the previous mark set during Hurricane Irene.
— Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) September 29, 2023
More on the flooding in NYC area: https://t.co/PErtKF1shu https://t.co/GFgzjrmRWE
Crazy but not unexpected. Hourly rainfall record broken 3 times in 2 years. It’s not complicated. Warmer air holds more moisture. https://t.co/e5m22rCLGO
— Jeff Berardelli (@WeatherProf) September 29, 2023
🧵Let's check in on where we're at in #NYC as of about 2PM. Peak rainfall as observed by the @nysmesonet is up to 7.21" (!) in #Brooklyn, with about 6" in #Manhattan, #Queens, and the #Bronx. #nycwx #nywx pic.twitter.com/5EOm5Uy4Lj
— Nick P Bassill (@NickPBassill) September 29, 2023
went to get coffee an hour ago, v wet but sidewalk was perfectly walkable.
— youngpatrice (@theyoungpatrice) September 29, 2023
20 min ago…NOT so much. BK drains are simply overwhelmed with the rate of rain that’s been falling. #brooklyn #nyc #flooding pic.twitter.com/ZnVdT1m1P0
The flood footage coming out of New York City is the latest example of aging infrastructure built for a climate that no longer exists. The spoken urgency for infrastructure modernization needs to be matched by action.
— Steve Bowen (@SteveBowenWx) September 29, 2023
As #NYCFlooding happens. #govtshutdown could halt National Flood Insurance Programhttps://t.co/QMN08NVbkY
— Dr. Marshall Shepherd (my record is my blue check) (@DrShepherd2013) September 29, 2023
Here are more details from the New York Times:
Flooding in New York‘Life-Threatening Rainfall Event’ in New York as City Combats Flooding
Gov. Kathy Hochul declared a state of emergency and urged people to stay off roads during what one official described as “the wettest day we’ve had since Hurricane Ida.”
Sept. 29, 2023, 2:04 p.m.
Michael Wilson and Hurubie Meko
More rain is expected throughout the afternoon. Here is the latest.
Heavy rainfall pounded New York City and the surrounding region on Friday, bringing flash floods, shutting down entire subway lines, turning major roadways into lakes and sending children to the upper floors of flooding schoolhouses. Gov. Kathy Hochul declared a state of emergency, urging New Yorkers to stay home and singling out those who live in basements to brace for the worst.
Ms. Hochul, speaking at a news conference, described the storm as a “life-threatening rainfall event.” She was joined by Mayor Eric Adams, who warned New Yorkers: “This is a dangerous weather condition and it is not over.”
The National Weather Service issued a “considerable” flash-flood warning for Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens — a level of warning reserved for only extreme and rare rainfall events. The warning was extended several hours into Friday afternoon, with up to four more inches of rain possible. Additional warnings were in effect for the Bronx, Staten Island and Jersey City, N.J.
Cascading waterfalls all but shut down subway service in much of the city, with even major hubs like Barclays Center halting service during the morning rush. Trains were rerouted with little warning.
“I have no idea what’s happening,” one subway conductor said as her Q train moved onto the E line. “I don’t know where we’re going.”
Commuters ventured home on foot through scenes of chaos and upheaval.
Water gushed into brownstone basements in Park Slope. In Prospect Park, the landscape was altered by new creeks. The streets in Windsor Terrace, a neighborhood built on the slant of a hill, were engulfed in minutes in currents dotted with whitecaps, just as schools were opening their doors. Boys and girls slogged through deep water on 11th Avenue to reach their elementary school classes while neighbors with rakes tried to clear storm drains of dense fallen leaves.
“No children are in danger as far as we know,” the governor said.
Central Park was nearly empty, with waist-high flooding beneath otherwise picturesque arched bridges. A man in a drenched business suit leaned on a fence by the Great Lawn, and removed his boots one at a time to empty them of pools of water.
In Prospect Heights, Brooklyn, a large tree fell, pulling its roots up through a sidewalk and cleaving a parked Nissan.
On ABC, Ms. Hochul urged residents who live in flood zones to take extra precautions, two years after Hurricane Ida caused basement floods that killed 11 people in Queens. Many of the apartments, which are often rented to immigrants or others desperate for an affordable place to live, are not allowed to be rented legally and do not have adequate means of escape in a flood.
“Plan your escape route,” she said. “Don’t wait until water is over your knees before you leave. Don’t wait until it’s too late.”
As of 1 p.m, 5.43 inches of rain had fallen in Central Park since Thursday night, according to the weather service, 5.22 inches of it since midnight. Nearly half a foot of rain had already fallen in Brooklyn, forecasters with the weather service reported.
The rain on Friday followed days of rainfall earlier in the week. It is now the second-wettest September in New York City history, according to National Weather Service statistics: More than a foot of rain — 13.95 inches — has fallen this month, the most in more than 140 years, when the city logged 16.85 inches in September 1882.
The storm created havoc for the busiest streets and highways, flooding parts of the F.D.R. Drive and closing down the Belt Parkway. Many flights were canceled or delayed at Kennedy International Airport and La Guardia.
“This is a 20-hour event,” Ms. Hochul said on NBC around 10 a.m. “Twenty hours from now, this will still be an event.”
Claire Fahy, Mihir Zaveri, Jonah E. Bromwich, Emma Fitzsimmons, Luis Ferré-Sadurní, Judson Jones, Patrick McGeehan, Ginia Bellafante, Ana Ley, Andy Newman and Andrew Keh contributed reporting.
Sept. 29, 2023, 2:15 p.m.
Flights were delayed or canceled at airports in the New York region.
Heavy rain and dangerous flash flooding delayed and canceled flights on Friday at La Guardia and Kennedy Airports, with the number of grounded flights also mounting at other airports in the Northeast. Wait times crept up to nearly an hour at Newark Liberty International Airport and Boston Logan International Airport.
At Kennedy, the average delay for outbound flights is more than three hours. And the extreme weather hasn’t just kept flights on the ground. At La Guardia, floodwaters began rising in Terminal A, forcing it to close. Terminal A handles, on average, fewer than 10 percent of La Guardia’s flights, said Amanda Kwan, a spokeswoman for the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, which operates the area’s airports.
WOW – incredible flooding inside Terminal A at #LGA #nbc4ny pic.twitter.com/xCB4Je3is4
— Steven Bognar (@Bogs4NY) September 29, 2023
The diminished operations at the area’s airports are not more pronounced then they would be on a typical stormy day, said Ian Petchenik, a spokesman for Flightradar24, a flight-tracking company. But this could change if flights are grounded for a prolonged period, he said.
The airspace in and around metro New York is the busiest and most complex in the country, according to the Port Authority. About 30 percent of flights in the United States pass through New York area airports at some point each day, Mr. Petchenik said.
Passengers can expect “rippling impact and cancellations through the rest of today,” said Michael McCormick, a professor at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University and a former control tower operator for the Federal Aviation Administration.
“The adage is, the way New York goes, so does the system,” he added.
Much More:
Here are some other “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks, as well as any extreme precipitation reports:
I think it's safe to say that Europe will see its warmest September on record.
— Mika Rantanen (@mikarantane) September 29, 2023
Even the ECMWF seasonal forecast at the beginning of the month slightly underestimated the heat, although the pattern was otherwise correct. pic.twitter.com/AJhsc5rxVJ
Europe is about living one of the most extreme events in history:thousands of October records will be trounced in Spain,Portugal,France,Benelux,Germany,Switzerland,Austria,…
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) September 29, 2023
Today 38.9C at El Granado,Spain,38.3C Alcacer do Sal,Portugal,35.5C Argeliers,France
It's just starting pic.twitter.com/uvh234Hpt4
This is your weather on climate steroids#ClimateCrisis #OurFragileMoment https://t.co/B4ywbfm8Xh
— Prof Michael E. Mann (@MichaelEMann) September 29, 2023
More record heat in Southern Africa:
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) September 29, 2023
Yesterday Majunga in Madagascar rose to 37.9C.
Kenya is close to its national record high for September too with temperatures up to 38C at Lodwar and Mandera
South Africa will have cold and hot spells alternating:>40C in West coming next week pic.twitter.com/nYla4xncOO
Extraordinary in Australia with dozens records every single day
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) September 29, 2023
TODAY
Highest Tmin
24 Meekatharra
19.6 Norseman
Highest Tmax
38.5 Meekatharra
36.8 Southern Cross
37.9 Kalgoorlie
38.7 Norseman
37.5 Salmon Gums
37.9 Wiluna
37.6 Laverton
38.3 Leonora
37.9 Leinster
38.1 Newman https://t.co/CpQDaHwhHY
More September records from manual stations set in #Australia in this endless heat wave .
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) September 29, 2023
Some have close or more than 100 years of data: https://t.co/Z0ZMIlrp5u
South America Heat Wave is now concentrated in the Amazons and in the Andine regions.
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) September 28, 2023
More monthly records to add these days
BRAZIL
40.3 Montes Claros
39.6 Governador Valadares
39.3 Altamira all time record tied
PERU
39.7 Tarapoto
26.3 Cusco 3300m asl
SURINAME
37 Zanderj AP pic.twitter.com/0u8tiIF41n
My monthly climate change indicator update…
— Zack Labe (@ZLabe) September 30, 2023
Yes, I am afraid this will bring more extreme heatwaves and more flash floods.
Graphic available at https://t.co/53ZaRhYqC0 pic.twitter.com/K1F3Cxm5Qh
More record heat in Southern Africa:
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) September 29, 2023
Yesterday Majunga in Madagascar rose to 37.9C.
Kenya is close to its national record high for September too with temperatures up to 38C at Lodwar and Mandera
South Africa will have cold and hot spells alternating:>40C in West coming next week pic.twitter.com/nYla4xncOO
A new heat dome is developing in Central US
— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) September 28, 2023
Temperatures are reaching 100F in Oklahoma and upper 90s in Kansas,with the heat set to expand and strengthen into the first days of October
Millions of Americans will need the AC in the first week of October:some records might fall. pic.twitter.com/7ZP2svo4kb
Here is more climate and weather news from Friday:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity. In most instances click on the pictures of each tweet to see each article. The most noteworthy items will be listed first.)
How rejecting science fuels climate change: “It's the rejection of evidence, of reality. And, once we lose that, we are truly lost. And, if we can't fix it…we have no hope of addressing the climate crisis.” @MichaelEMann @MatthewRozsa https://t.co/e4HZecQTuQ
— Rocky Kistner (@therockyfiles) September 29, 2023
Why is there no place for new fossil fuel infrastructure to stay below 1.5°C (& 1.7°C)?
— Glen Peters (@Peters_Glen) September 29, 2023
Because the CO2 emissions from existing infrastructure exceeds a carbon budget for 1.5° & 1.7°C under normal operating conditions.
New fact sheet on carbon budgets: https://t.co/snlrzR4l5t pic.twitter.com/mSvNH8QKOM
It's like whack-a-mole, you know it's happening somewhere, it just takes a moment to find it.
— Prof. Eliot Jacobson (@EliotJacobson) September 29, 2023
And you should be kind to moles anyway. pic.twitter.com/Y1cqOwOxTn
Next week I will be in Alaska poking into the state of permafrost. Here is my biggest discovery from this time last year – this site had Yedoma permafrost for many 1000s of years and its disappearance in the upper few meters of soil caught me off guard. #ClimateCrisis pic.twitter.com/btIm2MwKh9
— Dr. Merritt Turetsky (@queenofpeat) September 29, 2023
Analysis: Which countries are historically responsible for climate change? | @drsimevans @tomoprater #CBarchive
— Carbon Brief (@CarbonBrief) September 30, 2023
Read: https://t.co/76O6r9AdkD pic.twitter.com/OpBiD6x1Sz
Today’s News on Sustainable, Traditional Polluting Energy from Fossil Fuel, and the Green Revolution:
Construction of Spain’s first hybrid wind-solar plant completed
— Mark Z. Jacobson (@mzjacobson) September 29, 2023
69 MW of wind, 74 MW of solar PV
Combining W+S reduces transmission needs, land needs, and variability of combined electricity productionhttps://t.co/bmTVQZSSTl @Inceptive_Mind
In addition to over 5.2 GW of batteries on the main grid, California has 0.884 GW of batteries inside of 77,000 homes and businesses (average of 11.48 kW each system) operating on a daily basis.
— Mark Z. Jacobson (@mzjacobson) September 29, 2023
– So a total of of ~6.1 GW of batteries in the state.https://t.co/0Topqt5YRm https://t.co/1jYn5zrYuV
#ClimateFriday Reading #EnergyTransition "I don’t know a day in history prior to the 2020s when any one technology was being installed at a rate of 1 GW per day." It’s the #solar economy stupid: the #cleanenergy economy is coming… https://t.co/SHmTQ1Y2sE
— Silicon Valley North (@CCLSVN) September 29, 2023
More from the Weather Department:
A sneaky low pressure system will move into CA from NW Fri into Sat, bringing some showers (mainly mountains & SoCal coast, but also scattered around elsewhere). Dusting of early snow is likely in Sierra! Then, next week, much warmer/drier weather returns as ridge builds. #CAwx pic.twitter.com/fxbkBSgUV4
— Dr. Daniel Swain (@Weather_West) September 29, 2023
Below normal temperatures are favored for most of the East during early to mid-October leading to the potential for the first frost of the season for some areas. https://t.co/OmuELOiqSU pic.twitter.com/IvdZ7PjVUD
— NWS Climate Prediction Center (@NWSCPC) September 29, 2023
More snow in the east? "A strengthening El Niño could help make for a winter that is wet and stormy for California and Florida, mild and dry from the Northwest to the Great Lakes, and snowy at times across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast." https://t.co/mdkxi2BwGZ @ssdance
— Rocky Kistner (@therockyfiles) September 29, 2023
A robust El Niño is developing but how does the temperature of the surface of the tropical Pacific, thousands of miles away, change rain, snow, and temperature patterns over North America? Read the latest ENSO blog for more! https://t.co/DWJHHyfRpD pic.twitter.com/PNFdDStqYK
— NOAA Climate.gov (@NOAAClimate) September 29, 2023
More on the Environment:
A reminder that just 20 companies gift us more than half of all single-use plastic waste. The top 20 include ExxonMobil, Dow, Sinopec, LyondellBasell, Reliance Industries, Braskem, Total and Formosa Plastics
— Assaad Razzouk (@AssaadRazzouk) September 29, 2023
All are shamelessly members of the “Alliance to End Plastic Waste” pic.twitter.com/hvhOCvBtpe
It’s Time …https://t.co/i1x24Jym2i
— David Ullrich (@DavidUllrich202) September 29, 2023
NYC 3 months apart. The climate crisis will manifest in hundreds of ways and we need to be ready pic.twitter.com/4cJDmp7C2W
— Xiye Bastida (@xiyebastida) September 29, 2023
Shocking photos reveal the on-going destruction vital #oldgrowth forests in British Columbia. These forests are our shield against the climate crisis.
— Mike Hudema (@MikeHudema) September 29, 2023
Mo time to wait. Protect the Irreplaceable. #ActOnClimate #climate #biodiversity @bcndp #bcpoli Pics via @AncientForestBC pic.twitter.com/JC09zFCxjM
Mass death of Amazonian dolphins prompts fears for vulnerable species https://t.co/2KYQ4ulIRj
— Guardian Environment (@guardianeco) September 29, 2023
We deserve a working government—not Congressional Republicans who are willing to risk economic chaos, furloughed employees, national park closures, and more for their own self-serving agendas.https://t.co/okBDZ4iWCG
— Climate Power (@ClimatePower) September 29, 2023
One Tree is bad enough but
— GO GREEN (@ECOWARRIORSS) September 29, 2023
15 Billion trees are cut down each year due to deforestation.
If stacked, they would reach the moon and back almost 6 times!
Famous Sycamore Gap tree at Hadrian’s Wall found cut down https://t.co/eoaOtUMqIZ
More on Other Science and the Beauty of Earth and this Universe:
Night thoughts
— Green is a mission (@Greenisamissio1) September 29, 2023
I am fascinated again and again by the beauty and power with which nature presents itself to us. This is Sequoia National Park in California, USA.💚🌿☘️🌳🌲🍀💚 pic.twitter.com/N7pPOXsTPN
On the trail this morning in #Provo Canyon. Beautiful. This is peak time.#moose #fall #colors #leaves #trees #fallcolcors #provocanyon #mountains #hiking #utah #utwx #weather #morning #photography #nature #utphoto #wildlife #exploreutahvalley @utahisawesomeofficial @provocity pic.twitter.com/0EanV2Md3d
— workingitoutnow (@workingitoutnow) September 29, 2023