Extreme Temperature Diary- Friday May 1, 2026/Main Topic: More Proof That Global Heating Is Upsetting Natural Rhythms

It really does look more like mid-May than late April over much of the Central Great Plains from eastern CO to the Mississippi. In Boulder, lilac blooms that normally pop out in May have already come and gone.

Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2026-04-28T13:53:29.778Z

The Guardian view on Japan’s cherry blossom: when spring slips out of time | Editorial | The Guardian

OpinionClimate crisis

The Guardian view on Japan’s cherry blossom: when spring slips out of time

Editorial

A 1,200-year dataset shows the ‘peak bloom’ is arriving earlier. Global heating is unsettling nature’s rhythms – and their cultural meaning

Apicture posted on social media last April by Prof Yasuyuki Aono of a spreadsheet, with its blank row for 2026, carries a quiet poignancy. Prof Aono died before he got to fill in this year’s entry for when the cherry blossom fully bloomed in Kyoto. The academic had spent decades reconstructing dates of flowering that go back to the ninth century. His work illuminated how a botanical event long associated with the Japanese idea of mono no aware – a sadness at the passing of things – is shifting because of the climate crisis.

The “peak bloom” now occurs around two weeks earlier than in previous centuries. In the 1820s full bloom arrived in mid-April. In 2023 the full-flowering date was 25 March. An earlier blooming indicates warmer springs – and Prof Aono’s data provides a warning signal that Japan’s “sakura front” comes sooner each year.

But this change is more than just a biological response to rising temperatures. In Japan, it threatens to disrupt what the seasons mean. Springtime arrives with hanami – weeks of picnics and petals – as the blossom sweeps north from Okinawa to Hokkaido in a blaze of pink and white.

The timing matters beyond the aesthetic. Japan’s tourism industry relies on the $9bn a year generated by cherry blossom season. Such is the craze in the country that a town near Mount Fuji cancelled this year’s festivities because it was being overrun by visitors in search of “Instagrammable” spots.

Prof Aono’s work suggested that March temperatures in Kyoto have risen by several degrees since the early 19th century – enough to shift peak bloom by weeks rather than days. His records suggest that this century is much hotter than previous ones. The pattern is not unique to Japan. Since 1921, the US has recorded peak bloom dates for the cherry trees Japan had given as a gift to Washington a century ago. In both cases, it has advanced by about a week.

Another researcher will now maintain and update the records. Prof Aono learned classical Japanese script to read historical documents and reconstructed centuries of bloom dates. A millennium of book-keeping sounds permanent. But it depends on decades of effort by individuals whose lives are finite.

The information ultimately rests on a 1939 effort to compile a chronology: the seamless 1,200‑year dataset began as a painstaking act of archival recovery. By 1956 a Japanese meteorologistHidetoshi Arakawa, had made an intellectual leap. Writing about Kyoto’s cherry blossoms, he argued that the dates of their flowering were more than cultural markers of spring: they were climate records. By the late 1960s researchers had expanded the dataset and used it to analyse long‑term trends.

To the Japanese, the flowering cherry has always been more than a plant and its significance has been woven into the fabric of their history. In the 10th-century masterpiece The Tale of Genji, arguably the world’s first novel, there’s a whole chapter on the cherry-blossom festival staged in the imperial palace. Nine centuries later the Meiji restoration of rapid industrialisation promoted it as a symbol of both modernity and loyalty to the emperor. Disputes over the blossom’s origin periodically burst open in east Asia. The stakes could not be higher. Earlier blooms due to global heating risk breaking the natural rhythms that give meaning to sakura’s fleeting beauty.

The Nov-Apr 2025-26 was the warmest Nov-Apr on record (since 1895-96). A very large portion of the western U.S. had their single warmest Nov-Apr compared to all other Nov-Apr periods. 🔥🔥🔥

Climatologist49 (@climatologist49.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T18:34:40.502Z

Map showing where March 2026 was warmer than April 2026 according to Prism climate data.

Climatologist49 (@climatologist49.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T17:45:32.866Z

April 2026 was the warmest on record for a large portion of Ohio River basin and the central Appalachians using Prism climate data. Overall, it was about the 8th warmest April using this dataset.

Climatologist49 (@climatologist49.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T17:28:58.690Z

Great thread from @hausfath.bsky.social on the demise of the high-end emissions scenarios (RCP 8.5 and SSP 5-8.5) that are now well beyond 2020s-era "business as usual."Things aren't evolving as badly as we once though they might, but we're still in a situation fraught with all kinds of hazards.

Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T16:05:07.938Z

Landmark climate meeting in Santa Marta, Colombia, where nearly 60 countries gathered to work out how to end the production and use of planet-heating fossil fuels.www.theguardian.com/environment/…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T09:44:25.249Z

Climate disinformation is not just a political problem – it is a coordinated global campaign undermining democracy and blocking action on a planetary threat, @JulianCribb writes. #auspol #climate #disinformation #climatecrisis

Pearls and Irritations (@johnmenadue.com) 2026-04-30T23:15:24.161951+00:00

"Climate extremes and urbanization drive flood tipping points at the city–river interface" | New article in @nature.com PJ Natural Hazards by a team I'm part of at @upenn.edu, led by Dingyu Xuan, @dougjerolmack.bsky.social, Hugo Ulloa & others: www.nature.com/articles/s44…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-04-30T21:32:25.851Z

Reform UK’s pledge to gut existing climate and green policies would cause 500,000 jobs losses, rising to more than 1.4 million people put out of work by 2040, www.edie.net/reforms-anti…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T09:24:32.396Z

Is #SAF or “Sustainable” Aviation Fuel really a #climate saviour? Or just a greedy #greenwashing lie about #palmoil #deforestation? 🤮🌴🔥 Cut through the BS with this article by Open Democracy #Boycottpalmoil #Boycott4Wildlife @palmoildetect.bsky.social

Palm Oil Detectives | #Boycottpalmoil #Boycott4Wildlife (@palmoildetect.bsky.social) 2026-04-30T00:14:19.442Z

Just realized we never posted this @nature.com Communications article from last year. Was honored to join @lijingcheng.bsky.social & colleagues on this interesting project: www.nature.com/articles/s41…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-04-30T19:46:17.031Z

We’re delighted to welcome climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe to ICARUS for a seminar on translating climate projections into effective adaptation and resilience strategies.📅 Tuesday 5 May, 11am📍 ICARUS Seminar Room, Laraghbryan House, Maynooth University

ICARUS Maynooth (@icarus-maynooth.bsky.social) 2026-04-29T10:33:29.222Z

The current state of the climate crisis — Al Gore, opening of ⁦‪#ClimateReality‬⁩ conference

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T15:20:53.781Z

🎥 Facing #Climate Anxiety: Turning Fear Into #ClimateActionmore info 📖 tinyurl.com/C-anxietyPL RP 🩷💚💙@iamstillwithher.bsky.social @rdvines.bsky.social @barbi24.bsky.social @jdmchicago.bsky.social @jfordemocracy.bsky.social @katy50.bsky.social @nreveillee.bsky.social @dailyspark.bsky.social

My Zero Carbon #ClimateAction (@myzerocarbon.org) 2026-05-01T12:42:58.489Z

Is summer in the East cancelled? It's complicated.

Climatologist49 (@climatologist49.bsky.social) 2026-04-30T22:18:00.870Z

New research with coauthors @michaelemann.bsky.social and @mackenzieweaver.bsky.social shows that Hurricane Ida wasn’t a once-in-a-century anomaly in Philadelphia, but a preview of how climate change, urbanization, and aging infrastructure are rewriting flood riskpenntoday.upenn.edu/news/when-sc…

Mann Research Group (@mannresearch.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T12:34:50.754Z

Floridians be Schvitz-ing!Before the cool front, and rain rolls in, super sultry air will make for some feels like temps near 100° for the first – of many – times this summer. The good news… 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-04-30T17:11:14.415Z

In early May, a "Rex blocking" configuration will develop, allowing the PacNW to warm to well above average levels and California to cool back toward (but not below) seasonal averages. Additional mainly mountain showers are possible during this period. #CAwx

Daniel Swain (@weatherwest.bsky.social) 2026-04-28T20:00:49.000Z

'Immense irony' as Iran war fuels 'boom' in renewable power – UN climate chief news.sky.com/story/immens…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T09:50:00.393Z

Solar panels fitted every three minutes in UK since Iran conflict. 27,000 solar power installations in March, the highest monthly total for 14 years. Applications for heat pump grants also jumped to its second highest monthly level on record.www.thetimes.com/uk/environme…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T09:42:25.900Z

Renewables growth cut Spain’s electricity bills by 24.2% over the past two years. Spain and Portugal are 53% less exposed to gas price volatility than they were three years agowww.pv-magazine.com/2026/04/30/r…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T09:16:43.585Z

Australia surge in home battery installations continues to defy all expectations, reaching more than 360,000 in the 10 months since the program was launched, and installation rates of more than 1,500 a day ahead of the rebate changes. reneweconomy.com.au/as-home-batt…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T09:40:15.950Z

In 2025, solar became the EU’s top power source, wind and solar becoming the bedrock of European energy self-reliance. Power generation from renewables in Europe has reached a new record of 384.9 TWh.

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T10:30:19.244Z

Absurdity of the expectation that these Florida reactors will run safely under climate change conditions of increasingly fierce hurricanes, storm surge and sea level rise apparent in the photo of St. Lucie NPP.www.nucnet.org/news/us-nrc-…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T09:48:34.226Z

New deep dive from me into the anti-science movement, it's structure, tactics, and impact on science and society.Some data analysis, unique testimonies, new infographics and also a first attempt at outlining broadly-agreed upon actions how to fight back.1/open.substack.com/pub/protagon…

Philipp Markolin (@philippmarkolin.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T16:00:04.058Z

My co-author @peterhotezmdphd.bsky.social & I spoke about #ScienceUnderSiege on the #TerrenceMcNally podcast: www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnl-…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T12:43:28.387Z

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *