Extreme Temperature Diary- Tuesday September 15th, 2026/Main Topic: ‘Recovery Becomes Self-Propelling’: Five Positive Tipping Points That Can Save the World

The main purpose of this ongoing blog will be to track planetary extreme, or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials).😜

Here is a new feature for this blog, which I will add daily. This is the latest inciteful Green News Report from my friends Desi Doyen and Brad Friedman at Progressive Voices. Hit ‘continue reading,’ listen, then hit return to see my daily topics:

Green News Report

Episode: 9/15/2026 — More info…

Landmark new research from The Earthshot Prize and the University of Exeter has revealed 51 solutions that can trigger “rapid and transformative change” to repair the planet over the next five years. www.euronews.com/2026/09/12/r…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-09-14T08:44:15.177Z

‘Recovery becomes self-propelling’: Five positive tipping points that can save the world | Euronews

By Liam Gilliver

“For too long a sense has prevailed that solutions to the climate and nature are out of reach. This new research explodes that myth once and for all.”

The world risks irreversible damage as our reliance on planet-heating fossil fuels pushes ecosystems towards catastrophic climate tipping points.

A recent report from the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) warned that global temperature rise will exceed 1.5°C, likely within the next few years, overshooting the limit set out in the legally binding Paris climate agreement.

This would accelerate much of the environmental degradation the natural world is already experiencing, from shrinking ice sheets to rising sea levels and “unprecedented dieback” of coral reefs and rainforests.

The UNEP says that there are “no good outcomes if we remain above 1.5°C” and that governments must focus on making the overshoot as small and short as possible.

However, landmark new research from The Earthshot Prize and the University of Exeter has revealed 51 solutions that can trigger “rapid and transformative change” to repair the planet over the next five years. Out of these 51 solutions, five priority clusters – or ‘Earthshots’ – were identified.

Following the hottest August on record – tied with July 2023 – and a strong El Niño developing across the Pacific, researchers say that the study provides a “new, unifying agenda for positive action”.

“To reverse damage to our ecosystems before it’s too late, we need to unlock positive tipping points where progress builds on itself, costs fall with scale and recovery becomes self-propelling,” says Professor Tim Lenton, chair in climate change and earth system science at the University of Exeter.

Clean energy as a ‘master cascade’

Renewable energy such as solar and wind has already crossed positive tipping points in many markets – and is essential to end reliance on fossil fuels.

Last year, solar and wind accounted for a record 30 per cent of EU electricity, overtaking fossil power for the first time on record. During this time, EU solar generation hit a record 369TWh, up 20 per cent from 2025.

By 2030, solar power alone is projected to reduce EU emissions by 154 million tonnes of CO2-equivalent per year. This is the equivalent of the total greenhouse gas emissions of the Netherlands in 2023.

“Because clean power unlocks electric mobility, heat pumps, clean industry and clean air simultaneously, this is the highest-leverage transition across all five Earthshots,” the report says.

“The binding constraints are now grid expansion, permitting reform and the clean energy investment gap in the Global South.”

Related

Despite hosting 60 per cent of the world’s best solar resources, Africa receives less than two per cent of global clean energy investment.

Some of the continent’s largest economies, such as South Africa, Morocco and Nigeria, are already accelerating plans to build more domestic solar manufacturing capacity to reduce dependence on Chinese imports that currently dominate the global market.

Morocco has doubled production to around one gigawatt a year. South Africa maintains a similar capacity, while Egypt has gigawatt-scale projects coming online.

“A few years ago, local solar manufacturing was barely on the agenda anywhere in Africa,” Benjamin Clarke, policy director at the Africa Solar Industry Association, tells news agency AP.

“It is now becoming a recognised pillar of industrial policy and green economic development.”

Clean cooking and clean household energy

Despite the clean energy boom, around 2.1 billion people still rely on solid fuels for cooking.

This is the largest source of indoor air pollution and a major source of ‘black carbon’, commonly known as soot.

“Clean cooking is close to a tipping point in several markets as pay-as-you-go solar and clean cooking businesses scale across East and Southern Africa,” the report states.

“In Latin America and parts of Asia, the liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) transition is substantially complete, bringing health benefits to millions.”

How marine protected areas are becoming ‘self-reinforcing’

Researchers highlight that well-designed and well-enforced ocean conservation has produced “visible recovery” of fish stocks and biodiversity within recent years.

“As communities have reaped the benefits of marine conservation, protection areas have expanded and progress accelerated,” the report states.

“In turn, food security for coastal populations and climate resilience has strengthened with examples including the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park in Australia.”

Earlier this year, the highly anticipated High Seas Treaty came into force, marking a “historic milestone” for global ocean conservation.

The High Seas is often used to describe all areas beyond national jurisdiction, including the seafloor and water column (the vertical section of water from the surface to the bottom). This equates to international waters that cover more than two-thirds of our ocean – almost 50 per cent of the planet’s surface area.

Once considered barren and desolate, the High Seas are now regarded by scientists as one of the largest reservoirs of biodiversity on Earth. They play an important role in regulating the climate, supporting “crucial” carbon and water cycles.

However, human activity poses a growing problem for the High Seas. The High Seas Alliance (HSA) warns that destructive fishing practices such as bottom trawling and illegal fishing are harming High Seas marine life, along with issues such as plastic and chemical pollution, seabed mining and ocean acidification from global warming.

The Treaty now means that nations will be empowered to establish a connected network of High Seas marine protected areas (MPAs) – which can be adopted by a vote when consensus cannot be reached. This helps prevent a single nation from blocking MPAs being established.

It also supports developing countries through capacity building and the transfer of marine technology so that they are better empowered to develop, implement, monitor and manage future High Seas MPAs.

The ‘gatekeepers’ for tropical deforestation

Multiple studies have identified that rising global demand for meat, particularly beef, as a key force behind the destruction of the Amazon rainforest.

Research from the University of Manchester earlier this year, for example, found that up to 80 per cent of cleared forest land is converted into cattle pasture, while gaps in supply chain oversight allow deforestation to continue.

Related

The ‘Positive Tipping Points’ report warns that concentrated global supply chains for beef, soy (which is often used to feed cattle), palm oil, timber, cocoa and coffee make a small number of buyers and financiers the “gatekeepers for tropical deforestation”.

However, legislation like the EU Deforestation Regulation, which “guarantees that the products EU citizens consume do not contribute to deforestation or forest degradation worldwide”, could make a significant difference – especially if it triggers a market-wide shift across other major importers such as China, the UK and the US.

How can positive tipping points be achieved?

Researchers stress that creating the right conditions for a solution area to tip is critical, outlining three prerequisites that are needed across all potential Earthshots. These are affordability, accessibility and attractiveness.

The report also states that the five Earthshots are “deeply interconnected” and often share the same conditions, infrastructure and risks within a single system.

For example, the boom in clean electricity could accelerate positive tipping points across all five Earthshots, while barriers such as a lack of investment in the Global South could stall progress in the regions that need it most.

“For too long a sense has prevailed that solutions to the climate and nature [crises] are out of reach. This new research explodes that myth once and for all,” says Jason Knauf, CEO of The Earthshot Prize.

“This pivotal research gives us reasons for optimism. This is a blueprint for turning ambition into action to place our planet on a path of rapid repair.”

Read more

Tourists on the Mont-Blanc massif mountains from the Aiguille du Midi, in Chamonix, France, Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026.

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Earth News

El Niño to be ‘very strong’ and last until February, UN warns

World’s top 20 private equity firms produce more greenhouse gases a year than most countries, report findsFirms manage $7.3tn in assets and could afford to transition away from fossil fuels yet invest in natural gas and coal-fired plants to power datacenterswww.theguardian.com/us-news/2026…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T13:20:30.874Z

Criminal.www.theguardian.com/environment/…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T08:27:14.421Z

US ‘super-emitters’ of planet heating methane identified by satellite analysis.Energy Transfer, whose CEO is a major Trump donor, named as biggest single methane producer in new rankings.www.theguardian.com/environment/…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T08:41:02.398Z

This Chart is striking. Strongest El Nino’s on record VS the forecasts from our best seasonal models. Historically the strongest El Nino’s dating back 170 years peaked with a monthly ocean anomaly in the mid-high 2’s. Now 9 of 10 of our national models have 4°C + for late fall. #elnino 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-09-14T13:27:35.483Z

Ocean anomalies up to +14°F! While El Niño drives global weather patterns, its biggest impacts are arguably local in #Peru, #Ecuador and the #Galápagos Islands. The extreme warmth along the coast is disrupting one of the most productive ocean ecosystems on Earth. 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-09-13T20:06:13.486Z

We’ve pushed the climate to a higher-energy state where more heat and moisture are available to power stronger storms. Thus, the future is bound to hold some unpleasant surprises for the behavior of Atlantic hurricanes. I cover the worst-case scenarios:yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/09/10-w…

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T12:44:35.029Z

Tuesday (9/15) at 9am on @kalxberkeley.bsky.social: Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social, climate scientist @ucanr.edu, talks about What Californians Can Expect from the ‘Super’ El Nino

Pam Kan-Rice (@ucanrpam.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T00:18:07.220Z

Join me Monday, Sep 21 at 7pm for “To Explore is to Lead: More leadership insights from the Climate Vanguard”. As part of #ClimateWeekNYC, this event will provide leadership insights from the vanguard of climate research and sustainability.For more information: www.explorers.org/calendar-of-…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-09-14T23:29:04.974Z

'Unprecedented numbers': UK Solar industry on track to smash rooftop record www.businessgreen.com/4535700/ via @businessgreen

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T09:35:31.908Z

Key Scottish #renewables developer on track to invest £1 billion-plus#Scotland www.scotsman.com/business/key…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T09:37:42.456Z

Who not to trust.Concerns have emerged among government officials that Chubu Electric’s manipulation of #Japan nuclear corp seismic ground motion data could reignite public doubts about nuclear power. “Distrust could spread to other utilities and #nuclear plants."www.asahi.com/ajw/articles…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T09:30:22.357Z

#climate impact on nuclear.A 900-megawatt #nuclear reactor on the French coast came off the grid at four in the afternoon and a second one overnight, both shut by hand before returning jellyfish could pack the seawater screens and trip them.www.autonocion.com/us/reactors-…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T09:27:59.639Z

Nearly four and a half years after #Russia’s full-scale invasion of #Ukraine, July offered fresh evidence of how difficult it remains to disentangle Russia from the Western #nuclear industry. bellona.org/news/nuclear…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T09:09:26.615Z

Join PCSSM and our events partner University of Colorado Boulder SPIKE Center for Sustainability Education on 9/20 or 9/22 during NYC Climate Week! Registration info can be found on the events websites: web.sas.upenn.edu/pcssm/events/#climate #nycclimateweek@michaelemann.bsky.social

Penn Center for Science, Sustainability & the Media (@penncssm.bsky.social) 2026-09-15T13:49:05.929Z

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