Tuesday January 1st… Dear Diary. The main purpose of this ongoing post will be to track United States extreme or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials)😊.
Some Processed 2018 Climatology Summaries
Happy New Year Everyone! Today’s post will be very fluid because I will be scouring social media, adding 2018 climate summaries as they come across my radar. You might want to check this post later during the day to see how much more I have added. To start let’s look at what I specialize in, record count data from the National Center For Environmental Information site. We have a big caveat to start off 2019 with. Due to the U.S. government shutdown all climate sites cannot be accessed, which may become a big problem for various organizations relying on climate data should the shutdown persist well into the new year. I was able to glean record count data through 12/22/18 so the following tables are pretty much complete except for December 2018:
The following chart shows all counts of set daily high maxes and daily low minimums set across the United States:
For this data set all monthly ratios of > 10 to 1 DHMX to DLMN or > 10 to 1 DLMN to DHMX are in bold type. The rankings are for the lower 48 states with the warmest ranking since 1895 of average temperatures being 124 and 1 being the coldest as of 2018. Blue colors represent cold months and red warm. Those months with counts close to a 1 to 1 ratio of highs to lows are colored black. Boldly colored months, such as May 2018, have ratios of more than 10 to 1 daily record highs to lows or lows to highs, and are either historically hot or cold. November 2018 had a well below 1 to 1 ratio of record DHMX to DLMN individual counts, so the color I used for this month was blue. NCEI has processed November data across the country, determining that the lower 48 had its 27th coldest month since 1895, also added to the chart. The number 27 falls lower than the mid range (+ or – 10 from 62) or (1-41, 52-72, 73-124), so is also colored blue. December 2018 appears to be a a relatively warm month, and I would not be surprised to learn eventually that it came in as one of the top 20 warmest Decembers.
How does 2018 stack up with the rest of the years for this decade? Here is me 2010s decadal chart:
While the U.S. had another warm year 2018 falls far short of a near record warm 2016 mainly due to a cold April and November as shown on the “Record Scoreboard” chart. Remember that the warmth from 2016 was mostly induced from a near record warm El Nino. Global warming, as we know, surges in fits and spurts with some years not being as warm as recent prior years, but always trending hotter due to carbon pollution. How do the 2010s fit in with prior decades? Take a look:
Both nationally and globally the 2010s with one more year to go are still on track to be even warmer than the 2000s, the warmest decade in human history.
What about daily record high minimums and low maximums? Regrettably I did not update these files before the government outage prevented me from adding December data, but you can see overall trends for 2018:
The only difference between this Record Scoreboard and the first is that ratios of more or less than 10 to 1 are not in bold type. Here is what we see with the other two decadal charts:
Count trends with daily high mins/low maxes are very similar to daily high maxes/low mins. The year 2016 was the warmest year of this decade, so far. No matter how one slices and dices climate data the overall trend is for more warmth across the planet. My heart aches to know that this added warmth due to carbon pollution will cause much havoc during the next couple of decades, much more relatively than what has been experienced during the first two decades of the 21st century.
Looks like France had its hottest year on record. This is a big deal:
🌡️Année 2018 la plus chaude en France
Tmoy : 13,9°C (arrondi de 13,93)
anomalie /1981-2010 : +1,4°C (entre +1,37 et +1,38)
battant de 0,18°C les +1,2°C de 2014Jan +3,4
Fev -2,2
Mar -0,5
Avr +2,7
Mai +1,3
Jun +1,7
Jul +2,4
Aou +1,7
Sep +1,7
Oct +0,9
Nov +1,1
Dec +2,0 à +2,1— Etienne Kapikian (@EKMeteo) January 1, 2019
……………………………………………………………….
Both #Arctic and #Antarctic sea ice extents ended 2018 at more than 2 standard deviations below the climatological average. Time to track 2019! pic.twitter.com/MPyxBes23G
— Zack Labe (@ZLabe) January 1, 2019
Some meteorological stats for 2018 in #Halifax: Overall it was warm, rainy and snowy, with a record number of days above 25°C! About twice as many record highs as record lows. #NSwx #NovaScotia pic.twitter.com/J3baCAoD5p
— Patrick Duplessis (@Pat_wx) January 1, 2019
Poland also comes in as warmest on record for 2018:
🌡️2018 serait aussi l'année la plus chaude jamais observée en #Pologne🇵🇱 d'après un bilan préliminaire réalisé par @PogodaMeteo : anomalie proche de +1,58°C /moy 1981-2010, très légèrement devant le précédent record de 2015 (+1,53°C), données depuis 1781.https://t.co/F8mTw36Px6 pic.twitter.com/Mup07wWybQ
— Etienne Kapikian (@EKMeteo) January 1, 2019
We can now add Germany to the list:
2018 – ein außergewöhnliches Wetterjahr mit vielen Rekorden! Es präsentierte sich als das wärmste und sonnigste Jahr seit Beginn regelmäßiger Aufzeichnungen. Ausführliche Informationen dazu in der aktuellen #DWD – #Pressemitteilung: /Fr https://t.co/f3j8IYvk2F pic.twitter.com/8G3RGsoGhM
— DWD (@DWD_presse) December 28, 2018
And Austria:
2018 mit großer Wahrscheinlichkeit wärmstes Jahr der Messgeschichte: In der vorläufigen Jahresauswertung liegt 2018 um 1,8 °C über dem vieljährigen Durchschnitt und ist das wärmste Jahr in der 252-jährigen Messgeschichte Österreichs. https://t.co/eySZUTaHYf pic.twitter.com/tx0UyPRG6k
— zamg.at (@ZAMG_AT) December 20, 2018
For December 2018:
December 2018 Europe temperature anomalies
source : https://t.co/7RE8YQ2uoI pic.twitter.com/T6ZgGcvBSn— Etienne Kapikian (@EKMeteo) January 2, 2019
Yep. It was another warm year. Shocker, I know. 😲 pic.twitter.com/WZX4IBg1x1
— Mike Bettes (@mikebettes) January 2, 2019
Anchorage used to have 3-6 days per year with a min temp colder than -15°F. We're now gone 10 years without a day that cold – twice as long as the next longest streak. If you are wondering, no station moves and no change in urbanization in decades. @DaveSnider @AlaskaWx pic.twitter.com/i8FjqS4mrs
— Brian Brettschneider (@Climatologist49) January 4, 2019
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Here is other climate and weather news from Wednesday:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity.)
EARTH IN THE BALANCE
7 things to watch in 2019 as Trump goes to war w Dems over environment (AGAIN) https://t.co/K66bn9koYN via @thinkprogress & Granlund@GulliAz @ClimateGuardia @climateguyw @Bellatrixx2020 @WeatherProf @SteveFM20 @mrdolcethecat @itsJeffTiedrich @bjcreigh pic.twitter.com/uqNnUlCnQT
— Allan Margolin (@AllanMargolin) January 1, 2019
Sharing Stories
"This island was on the brink of disaster. Then, they planted thousands of trees."
"Though small, the island is an example of how a community can successfully adapt to the growing challenges created by #ClimateChange"
https://t.co/zNkTVtwgw7 @NatGeo— Prof Peter Strachan (@ProfStrachan) January 1, 2019
Thanks @PaulKrugman for this final must-read @NYTimes climate change commentary before 2019 rings in: "Hope for a Green New Year" https://t.co/SPCY95VLha …
— Michael E. Mann (@MichaelEMann) January 1, 2019
In the U.S., a greater percentage of winter precipitation is falling as rain, with potentially severe consequences across the country wherever there is a winter sports economy https://t.co/8cH1aJkjmi
— Climate Central (@ClimateCentral) January 1, 2019
Spoiled it with that word "natural".
But yup, bet it's common for a species to self destruct.
Galaxy May Be Littered With Dead Aliens Blindsided By Natural Climate Change via @forbes https://t.co/PKZeQxaPJO— Nell, wizard of the rainforest🌳🌳🌳 (@BeamMeUpScotee) January 1, 2019
Will Exxon Greenlight This Huge LNG Project? | https://t.co/U4meg7mHfD https://t.co/GfuTiU27Oo #oilprice
— Frances Sinclair (@francessinclai5) January 1, 2019
Nice mention for #MetsUnite!! In the face of what has largely been a climate change media blackout in the in U.S., more than 100 meteorologists wore matching ties during their summer solstice broadcasts to demonstrate awareness and solidarity. https://t.co/JzkvabvNm2
— Jeff Berardelli (@WeatherProf) January 1, 2019
It's just got that El Nino look pic.twitter.com/fGoquTqpEy
— Greg Postel (@GregPostel) January 2, 2019
Well here we go. 2019 is off to a warm start in some areas. Here are the year’s first “ETs:”
Record highs reached for New Year's Day: Jacksonville reached 83 degrees (previous record: 81 in 1967). Alma, GA has reached 82, breaking their prior record of 80 (1985) and the 80 at St. Simons Island beats their prior record of 79 (1989) #flwx #gawx #jaxwx pic.twitter.com/MLeJqVqb7y
— NWS Jacksonville (@NWSJacksonville) January 1, 2019
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The Climate Guy