Extreme Temperature Diary- January 13th, 2019/ Topic: Third Week Of January for U.S.- Stormy With Typical January Temperatures

guyonclimate_mi5tor

Sunday January 13th… Dear Diary. The main purpose of this ongoing post will be to track United States extreme or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials)😊. 

Third Week Of January For U.S.- Stormy With Typical January Temperatures

If you are a weather watcher like I am tying temperatures and storms to climate change you will notice that occasionally weather becomes what is expected for the season, forecasting only about a week out in time. The third week of January for the United States will be one of those times. Climatologically the third week of January is the heart of winter, usually the coldest across most locations in the Northern Hemisphere with the potential for some ferocious storms, and this time around the U.S. will see what typically I was forecasting with regulatory for most of the late 20th century. By next Sunday I’m sure that some climate change denialists will be barking about cold and high snow amounts in some areas, if they are not doing so already in the wake of The Weather Channel’s named “Gia.”

So, how about this doing this. Let’s look at this “typical” weather pattern to see what usually occurs during January, picking my brain that has been forecasting for 37 years since 1982.

By Monday Gia will be winding down off the mid-Atlantic Coast:

A series of storms will bring more precipitation to all areas of the West Coast, which is what usually occurs this time of the year. Monday will be the driest day across the lower 48 states this coming week. 

Temperatures will also be near average on Monday, although above average by a few degrees across the northern tier of states:

By mid-week the West will be pummeled with heavy precipitation, but I have seen this pattern a lot in January:

A not so impressive arctic high will chill the Northeast. Mild and mostly dry conditions will persist from the Rockies eastward.  

By week’s end the storm that was pummeling the West will have moved past the Rockies into the Plains and Midwest.  I’m quite sure that The Weather Channel will want to name this system:

By next Sunday the coldest air of the season so far will probably make its way into the Southeast in the wake of the storm. Again, nothing here is really out of the ordinary calling a proverbial spade a spade:

I don’t expect many reports of  extreme  temperatures or “ETS” at all in the coming week.

Want to see what a typical 500 millibar pattern looks like in January? Here you go:

 

A long wave ridge will build along the West Coast with a trough of moderately low 500 millibar heights digging into the Southeast ushering typically cold, but not extraordinarily cold, air into the Southeast, unless the trough deepens much more sharply than is forecast today.

Due to climate change I’m quite sure that some atypical weather patterns will develop going into the early spring. Beyond a few locations establishing some precipitation records, just don’t look to the U.S. for signs of climate change this week.

And the following 4th week of January? We will see:

…………………………………………………………………………………………….

Here is more weather and climate change from Sunday:

(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have  put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity.) 

 

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The Climate Guy

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