Sunday January 13th… Dear Diary. The main purpose of this ongoing post will be to track United States extreme or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials)😊.
Third Week Of January For U.S.- Stormy With Typical January Temperatures
If you are a weather watcher like I am tying temperatures and storms to climate change you will notice that occasionally weather becomes what is expected for the season, forecasting only about a week out in time. The third week of January for the United States will be one of those times. Climatologically the third week of January is the heart of winter, usually the coldest across most locations in the Northern Hemisphere with the potential for some ferocious storms, and this time around the U.S. will see what typically I was forecasting with regulatory for most of the late 20th century. By next Sunday I’m sure that some climate change denialists will be barking about cold and high snow amounts in some areas, if they are not doing so already in the wake of The Weather Channel’s named “Gia.”
So, how about this doing this. Let’s look at this “typical” weather pattern to see what usually occurs during January, picking my brain that has been forecasting for 37 years since 1982.
By Monday Gia will be winding down off the mid-Atlantic Coast:
A series of storms will bring more precipitation to all areas of the West Coast, which is what usually occurs this time of the year. Monday will be the driest day across the lower 48 states this coming week.
Temperatures will also be near average on Monday, although above average by a few degrees across the northern tier of states:
By mid-week the West will be pummeled with heavy precipitation, but I have seen this pattern a lot in January:
A not so impressive arctic high will chill the Northeast. Mild and mostly dry conditions will persist from the Rockies eastward.
By week’s end the storm that was pummeling the West will have moved past the Rockies into the Plains and Midwest. I’m quite sure that The Weather Channel will want to name this system:
By next Sunday the coldest air of the season so far will probably make its way into the Southeast in the wake of the storm. Again, nothing here is really out of the ordinary calling a proverbial spade a spade:
I don’t expect many reports of extreme temperatures or “ETS” at all in the coming week.
Want to see what a typical 500 millibar pattern looks like in January? Here you go:
A long wave ridge will build along the West Coast with a trough of moderately low 500 millibar heights digging into the Southeast ushering typically cold, but not extraordinarily cold, air into the Southeast, unless the trough deepens much more sharply than is forecast today.
Due to climate change I’m quite sure that some atypical weather patterns will develop going into the early spring. Beyond a few locations establishing some precipitation records, just don’t look to the U.S. for signs of climate change this week.
And the following 4th week of January? We will see:
— The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) January 13, 2019
The EPS is progressively dropping the east Canada vortex further south & closer to the United States in the medium range. If similar adjustments continue to occur in weeks 2 & 3, it will certainly give many flashbacks to the 2013-14 & 2014-15 "#PolarVortex" in late Jan/early Feb pic.twitter.com/l8qP5BMFfX
— Eric Webb (@webberweather) January 13, 2019
Here is more weather and climate change from Sunday:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity.)
Desperate surge in #OilandGas companies using injunctions to block protesters
— Prof Peter Strachan (@ProfStrachan) January 13, 2019
— Sarah Perk-Kirk (@sarahinscience) January 13, 2019
Severe #heatwave conditions for large parts of #SouthAustralia. 39 today in Adelaide, 43 in Renmark, and a scorching 47 in Oodnadatta. Temperatures peaking on Tuesday, but remaining hot to very hot until a stronger cool change on Friday. Stay safe in the heat @SAHealth @CFSAlerts pic.twitter.com/DebdxKmENs
— Bureau of Meteorology, South Australia (@BOM_SA) January 13, 2019
Climate Change Is an Existential Crisis—It Should Be the Top Political Issue, Too #auspol #qldpol #Drought #Heatwave #ExtinctionRebellion #ClimateStrike #StopAdani https://t.co/bt2XBLcXoq pic.twitter.com/IfzitYGMz9
— John Pratt (@Jackthelad1947) January 13, 2019
Extremely thick snow in Leutasch, Olympiaregion Seefeld, Austria on Jan 11th. Thanks to Elias Walser for the report! pic.twitter.com/V5Cp3gKKYZ
— severe-weather.EU (@severeweatherEU) January 13, 2019
— John Morales (@JohnMoralesNBC6) January 13, 2019
At Reagan National, it's been snowing for 25 straight hours and it's currently coming down as hard it has for the entire storm!
Visibility is low, and roads are slick! Stay in if you can.
Our latest updates here: https://t.co/2kxkRLOuzm
— Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) January 13, 2019
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The Climate Guy