Saturday January 12th… Dear Diary. The main purpose of this ongoing post will be to track United States extreme or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials)😊.
More Warnings From The Oceans
The worst global warning sign in my recollection came from the planet’s oceans this week. Think of both the atmosphere and oceans as one tremendous fluid layer encompassing the Earth’s surface. The radiation imbalance by carbon pollution is storing more heat in the “fluid skin” of the Earth, but from year to year in the atmosphere, at least recently, not all years are subsequently warmer than prior ones. The year 2018 will come in as 4th warmest on record since 1880 for both the combined ocean’s surface and land areas. We have learned, however, that 2018 will get top billing for the planet’s oceans. Today’s post will focus on more work and findings by Zeke Hausfather, who made this new announcement.
First, as I’ve been stating from time to time on this blog, the oceans store much more heat than the atmosphere:
Around 93% of the additional heat trapped by greenhouse gases in the atmosphere ends up being absorbed by the oceans. Ocean heat content is a critical measure of climate change, and shows the warming signal much more clearly than the more noisy surface record. [2/6] pic.twitter.com/We6vi2hL83
— Zeke Hausfather (@hausfath) January 10, 2019
Now we learn that each subsequent year since 2016 has seen record heat content:
Let’s refer to this recently published Inside Climate News article:
Quoting:
A new study published Thursday strengthens the consensus that the warming of the world’s oceans is accelerating.
It’s a trend that climate models have long predicted, but it had been difficult to confirm until recently.
The findings are vindication of the scientific community’s work so far and lend greater weight to the projections for warming through the end of this century, said Gavin Schmidt, a leading climate scientist at Columbia University who was not involved in the study.
From the article here is the main graphic:
More from Zeke:
The folks at @axios did a great job creating their own visualization of the modeled and observed ocean heat content changes we analyzed in our new Science perspective. @afreedma https://t.co/Mkv9UknB2J pic.twitter.com/Djg9PZIpZh
— Zeke Hausfather (@hausfath) January 11, 2019
We can now say with confidence now that 2018 will be the warmest year on record for the Earth's oceans, beating the second-place year (2017) by a comfortable margin. [6/6] pic.twitter.com/BV2kJolUx2
— Zeke Hausfather (@hausfath) January 10, 2019
The broader point I was trying to make is that unlike in the case of surface temperature, ocean heat content has increased fairly smoothly, with no decadal-scale slowdowns or "hiatuses". You can see this clearly in the Cheng et al data, for example: pic.twitter.com/lFfULK4qcU
— Zeke Hausfather (@hausfath) January 10, 2019
The last stunning chart should make any contrarian pause.
Think of that 93% heat content in the Earth’s oceans as a big ammunition dump. The more energy stored in the oceans the greater chances for bigger explosions at the ocean’s surface such as what occurred with Sandy in 2012 and Michael in 2018. It’s going to literally take centuries for natural forces to defuse this dump by redistributing that heat energy even if we stop carbon pollution worldwide today. We don’t have any more time to stop adding to the planetary system’s “heat ammunition dump” to prevent bigger explosions.
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Here is some more weather and climate news from Saturday:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity.)
#EV +#Wind #Energy
With a Twist!#Environment#RenewableEnergy#Sustainability#ActOnClimate #Tech#Innovation @enricomolinari@L_DeWeaver @Israelwithlove@Totalrecoverys1@climateguyw@TimGuinee@KellieRoseWick@leahyparks@TradomGlobal@i4haroldpic.twitter.com/y0duZEP5u7— Arik Ring (@arikring) January 12, 2019
There’s a new standard in politics: No. More. Fossil. Fuel. Money.
Today in Manchester, NH, @ewarren signed the #NoFossilFuelMoney pledge.
Presidential candidates should all take note. This is the first step to a #GreenNewDeal. pic.twitter.com/Sq9V6bFMkQ
— Sunrise Movement 🌅 (@sunrisemvmt) January 12, 2019
#RenewableEnergy shift 'could change global distribution of power'
“#Renewables will be a powerful vehicle of democratisation because they make it possible to decentralise the energy supply, empower citizens, local communities & cities”
https://t.co/d9MzW6xvDg @TheNationalUAE— Prof Peter Strachan (@ProfStrachan) January 12, 2019
"Demand for air travel is surging just when our window to limit catastrophic global warming is closing"#ActOnClimate #ClimateChange #Science https://t.co/oiBGiO4eBy
— Paul Dawson on Climate Change (@PaulEDawson) January 12, 2019
Bye-bye natural gas:
New Research: Lithium-ion batteries will be the cheapest way to store electricity by 2050https://t.co/Va3ZqLtgTb
— Mark Z. Jacobson (@mzjacobson) January 12, 2019
Here’s your @weatherchannel team covering Winter Storm #Gia! Not photographed are the dozens and dozens of people in the field with us and behind the scenes at TWC HQ making this coverage work. It takes an army. My teams begins live coverage from #Roanoke, VA Saturday 5PM-10PM/ET pic.twitter.com/RR2K0GKVlr
— Justin Michaels (@JMichaelsNews) January 12, 2019
Just goes to show that in mid-winter you can still get a big snow storm (#Gia) in a warmer than average atmosphere across the United States. pic.twitter.com/Dn9Q5m3pZx
— Guy Walton (@climateguyw) January 12, 2019
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The Climate Guy