Monday September 2nd… Dear Diary. The main purpose of this ongoing blog will be to track United States extreme or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials).😉
Tracking Dorian Day Six (Bahamas Devastated/Southeast Under Siege)
*No matter what happens with Dorian tropical rainforest fires are more of a concern for the long term health of the planet.*
Today I’m going to start you guys off with a tweet with lots of new information:
What I’m thinking now is that Dorian, after weakening considerably today down to a lower end CAT4, will start to move northwest, paralleling the Florida coast very much like Matthew in 2016. Damage coming from Dorian will be similar to that of Matthew, but the two big question marks remaining are how close will the system get to the Carolinas and points northward, and how strong will the thing be when it gets up there?
I can’t disagree at all with NHC as I am writing this post. As far as meteorologists go we are very dependent upon global models with the European having the best historic track among them. Our forecasts have pretty much mirrored the European, which made the initial mistake of tracking Dorian into Florida, but is now, I’m 90% sure, giving us a correct prognosis. NHC made the same coarse correction also.
Now I’m going to write a paragraph about how badly Florida could have been affected and why Floridians need to think about slowly pulling back from the coast. Eek! Florida has had an exceptionally close call. We do have an answer to my 250 billion dollar question from yesterday…Dorian’s tab, as far as Florida goes, won’t be that high. Think, though, what would happen if a CAT 5 hurricane of Dorian’s caliber were to move from the south inland just south of Miami, then rake most of Florida’s east coast with about half of its eyewall coming inland. As we know just from 2018 and 2019 from Michael and Dorian, such a scenario is physically possible, and I would say likely in the next 25 years. Also, like Andrew in 1992, CAT 5 storms will crisscross the state in an east-west fashion, an even more likely scenario. Now multiply these scenarios with sea level rise and you get my drift (as in driftwood).😉
Now that I have had my soapbox moment it’s time to present news coming from Dorian.
So, without further ado here are many more notes on Dorian that will be saved for posterity. I’ll be constantly updating these as the day progresses. As usual, newest notes and videos will be listed first:
Here is more climate and weather news from Labor Day:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity. In most instances click on the pictures of each tweet to see each article.)
Here is one big ET from Labor Day:
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Guy Walton- “The Climate Guy”