The main purpose of this ongoing blog will be to track planetary extreme, or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials).😉
Main Topic: Summary of the 5th U.S. Climate Assessment
Dear Diary. Yesterday the 5th U.S. Climate Assessment dropped. I’m seeing no surprises in that there is mostly bad news with urgency written within the report. We have simply got to put our fossil fuel house in order before this decade is out. Alarmingly, which does tie into the 5th assessment report, as expected worldwide October 2023 was by far the warmest October on record. We’ll delve into that for tomorrow’s main topic.
I came across this well written summary of the 5th U.S. Climate Assessment report from the Verge, which I am sharing for our main topic of the day:
Latest US climate assessment shows the extreme toll taken by climate change
The most comprehensive national assessment of climate change yet shows how dramatically climate costs are rising in the US, especially for the most vulnerable Americans.
By Justine Calma, a science reporter covering the environment, climate, and energy with a decade of experience. She is also the host of the Hell or High Water podcast.
Nov 14, 2023, 5:00 AM EST
Homes and businesses in Lahaina, Maui, are in ruins on August 16th, 2023, after a devastating wildfire swept through town. Photo by Robert Gauthier / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images
Climate disasters are costing the US billions of dollars a year, and the damage isn’t spread out evenly, according to a new national climate assessment.
The assessment, produced about every four years, lays out the toll climate change is taking across every region in the United States. This is the fifth one — but for the first time, this year’s report includes chapters dedicated to economic impact and social inequities. As floods, fires, heatwaves, and other calamities tied to climate change intensify, households pay the price with higher costs and worsening environmental injustices.
As floods, fires, heatwaves, and other calamities tied to climate change intensify, households pay the price with higher costs and worsening environmental injustices
Climate change has created circumstances that the planet hasn’t seen for thousands of years, the report says. Global temperatures have risen faster over the past half-century than they have in at least 2,000 years. That’s led to all sorts of new threats, like the 2021 heatwave that killed more than 1,400 people in the typically temperate Pacific Northwest. And old problems get much bigger, like droughts sucking the Southwest dry. Drought in the Western US is currently more severe than it’s ever been in at least 1,200 years. Since 1980, drought and heatwaves alone have caused more than $320 billion in damages.
Extreme weather disasters make up some of the most devastating displays of climate change and are becoming way more common — and more costly. Back in the 1980s, a billion-dollar disaster hit the US once every four months on average (a figure that’s adjusted for inflation). Now, the US has to cope with one every three weeks. Those extreme events come with $150 billion in losses every year, according to the assessment. That’s a “conservative estimate that does not account for loss of life, healthcare-related costs, or damages to ecosystem services,” the report says.
There are also more insidious ways climate change takes a bite out of the US economy. Consumers have to shell out more money for food and other goods as prices reflect damages caused by climate change. In the Midwest, pests, diseases, and whiplash between wet and dry conditions linked to climate change threaten corn and apple harvests. And climate change has already supercharged 18 major fishery disasters in Alaska “that were especially damaging for coastal Indigenous Peoples, subsistence fishers, and rural communities,” according to the report.
None of these challenges are happening in a vacuum. Like pollution, climate disasters disproportionately affect Americans of color, low-income households, and other groups that have been historically marginalized. While 20 to 40 percent of small businesses that shutter after a natural disaster never open their doors again, those owned by women, people of color, and veterans are even more likely to close for good.
Flood losses are expected to balloon much faster in communities with a higher proportion of Black residents
Flood losses are expected to balloon much faster in communities with a higher proportion of Black residents. Census tracts where at least 20 percent of the population is Black are projected to see average annual losses from floods rise at a rate twice as fast as other census tracks where less than 1 percent of the population is Black. It’s partly a symptom of racist housing policies like redlining that have left certain communities without the infrastructure and resources to cope with hazards brought on by climate change. Formerly redlined neighborhoods can also be around 12 degrees hotter than surrounding areas because of fewer green spaces and more paved surfaces that trap heat.
All of these risks grow as long as the US, the world’s biggest oil and gas producer, and other countries keep running on fossil fuels. The world has warmed by a little more than 1 degree Celsius since the Industrial Revolution, and the report says 2 degrees of warming would more than double the economic toll from climate change.
The US isn’t taking action fast enough to stop that outcome, the report shows. Planet-heating pollution in the US has only fallen by an average of about 1 percent annually since 2005. It needs to drop by more than 6 percent per year to meet the goals of the Paris climate agreement, which commits countries to keeping global warming below 2 degrees Celsius.
Here are more “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks, as well as any extreme precipitation reports:
37.7C today at Sao Paulo,Brazil.— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 15, 2023
Monthly record beaten again and 0.1C from the all time high which can fall either in the next 2 days
The capital Brasilia with 34.7C also had its hottest November day on records
Hold on: It's not over by any means and the worst has yet to come. https://t.co/lRWoddTvFK
BREAKING: Rio de Janeiro hits a record 42.5°C with high humidity making it feel like 58.5°C and yet state-corporate media remain silent on scientists' pleas for immediate economic system change for survival as rapid mass extinction accelerates.https://t.co/xWMOg4R7z4— Ben See (@ClimateBen) November 15, 2023
Extreme heat setting records across numerous countries in South America. Many notable records are falling.— Scott Duncan (@ScottDuncanWX) November 15, 2023
São Paulo in Brazil 🇧🇷 hit +37.7°C on 13 November (new monthly record for November).
Mariscal Estigarribia in Paraguay 🇵🇾 had an overnight minimum of +34.0°C and… pic.twitter.com/QYItnVhGGU
SOUTH AMERICA HEAT WAVE— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 14, 2023
Today 43.3C in Brazil at Corumbà with dozens of monthly records smashed and few all time.
ALL TIME HIGHS
31.0 Campos do Jordao
43.4 Puerto Suarez (Bolivia)
Main November records
37.3 Aguas Emendadas D.F. https://t.co/9gzKpI3oA1
Extraordinary heat in Corsica,France.— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 15, 2023
A hot morning in Corsica with 27.4C at 7am under fohn effect.
It's far warmer than what you would expect in summer at the same time. https://t.co/3UEp2ZMYDV
Scorching heat in Africa.— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 14, 2023
MOROCCO with exceptional temperatures up to 36C
In the Southern Hemisphere never ending record heat in SOUTH AFRICA
Hot berg winds and Monthly Records on the coast in Cape Town with 39.8C, 40.7C at Lambert Bay and 41.3C at Koingnaas.
It'll get worse. pic.twitter.com/O10pjW6iZV
Here is some more new October 2023 climatology:
Lots of heat records to report again for October, which was the hottest October globally at the surface, and in the upper atmosphere. Our latest monthly summary here:https://t.co/SEiJo6MR02— Jeff Masters (@DrJeffMasters) November 15, 2023
Just in:— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 15, 2023
October 2023 Globally, according to NASA, had a temperature anomaly of +0.72C vs 1991-2020 (+1.34C vs 1951-1980) and by far the warmest October on record +0.25C above October 2015.
Compared to the called pre-industrial 1880-1900 baseline the spread is +1.48C pic.twitter.com/cKk1tSjBJ3
October 2023 Globally, according to NOAA was also by far the warmest on records.— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 15, 2023
Asia and South America had their warmest October, Europe and North America their 2nd warmest.
Antarctica,Scandinavia and Patagonia were colder than average,along few other isolated spots. https://t.co/ePLdVGEHZ4
October 2023 in #Portugal had an average temperature of 18.96C,+2.42C above the 1981-2010 (+2.2C vs 1991-2020) and was the 2nd warmest on record.— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 15, 2023
42 records were broken during a harsh heat wave in the beginning of the month.
See Record of High Maxes and High Tmins by IPMA 👎 pic.twitter.com/YO3qTdxcwk
October 2023 in #Taiwan had an average temperature of 23.22C,+0.45C above normal— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 15, 2023
For the Yushan Peak it was the first colder than average month since November 2021
It was a very rainy month with % of normal rainfall ranging from 92.2% to 652.2%.(right map)
Percentiles maps by CWB pic.twitter.com/O2J0YFuMJ4
Here is More Climate and Weather News from Wednesday:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity. In most instances click on the pictures of each tweet to see each article. The most noteworthy items will be listed first.)
12-month running average global temperature is now the highest on record. Not just the recent record, but likely over the last 100,000 years. pic.twitter.com/BhI5VKzoCm— Brian Brettschneider (@Climatologist49) November 15, 2023
More than 99% chance of 2023 as warmest year on record, says @NOAA.— World Meteorological Organization (@WMO) November 15, 2023
Jan-Oct record warm.
October ocean surface temperatures record high for 7th straight month.
Antarctic sea ice record low for 6th straight month.
WMO #StateofClimate 2023 report will be released at #COP28 pic.twitter.com/bnlwCPdIZe
With the October data now available, the 2023 annual mean is clearly going to be a record in GISTEMP, (This will be true for all the surface station based products and AIRSv7. Not quite as clear for the MSU/AMSU data products…). pic.twitter.com/XNv3LhFxBI— Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) November 15, 2023
Brazil's precipitation the last 4 months has been terrible. Nearly half the country had their driest Jul-Oct in the last 50 years. There's also a strong downward trend. Deforestation greatly reduces moisture available for tropical thunderstorms. pic.twitter.com/ncOcPhKrQp— Brian Brettschneider (@Climatologist49) November 14, 2023
We have the technologies we need to tackle the climate crisis. Clean electric technologies like solar and wind, plus heat pumps, batteries and EVs. So why aren't we moving faster? Every day we procrastinate, fossil fuel companies profit. Great to talk with @vausecnn @CNNintel. pic.twitter.com/HhEjyLT07o— Dr. Leah C. Stokes (@leahstokes) November 15, 2023
The collapse of the AMOC won’t just cool Europe. It will cause major disruptions to breadbasket regions where wheat, corn, and rice are grown. https://t.co/cpetpoderB— Deirdre Des Jardins💧🔥💨 (@flowinguphill) November 15, 2023
It has been clear for years now that global elite are quite willing to sacrifice life on Earth for a few more years of unsustainable economic growth— GO GREEN (@ECOWARRIORSS) November 15, 2023
There are no second chances – Earth will burn as
Climate-heating gases reach record highs, UN reports https://t.co/2j95oB421V
CLIMATE-HEATING GASES REACH RECORD HIGHS UN REPORTS— Bill McGuire (@ProfBillMcGuire) November 15, 2023
"no end in sight to rising trend"
Very hard not to think that we are f*ckedhttps://t.co/aPJt2rRKmQ
The GFS forecast is for a near record anomaly for the global 2-meter surface temperature to occur over the next few days. Today our little planet has a global fever of 1.79°C above the 1850-1900 IPCC baseline.— Prof. Eliot Jacobson (@EliotJacobson) November 15, 2023
Will we breach 2.0°C in the next five days? I'm taking the under. pic.twitter.com/DuLIVIbJf7
"Lancet report: Heat stress wiped out equivalent of 4% of Africa’s GDP in 2022"— Dr. Genevieve Guenther (@DoctorVive) November 15, 2023
Folks, fossil fuels do NOT help poorer countries develop. That ship has sailed.https://t.co/4evkIk98Gz
"No place is safe" from climate change, but it's all relative, and Michigan is getting hit relatively less than most of the US. And… the Great Lakes hold >80% of North America's surface fresh water. Just saying…https://t.co/OFcVPIUeaJ— Jonathan Overpeck (@GreatLakesPeck) November 15, 2023
🎙️The British Establishment is A Cult: My BBC Interview— Roger Hallam (@RogerHallamCS21) November 15, 2023
"If warming reaches or exceeds 2 degrees Centigrade (Celsius), mainly richer humans will be responsible for killing roughly 1 billion mainly poorer humans.”
It's Time to Turn #Climate Angst into #ClimateAction! See my new op-ed with Katharine Hayhoe @KHayhoe @HoustonChron. As #NCA5 shows, the impacts of climate disruption are everywhere, but so is action. Parents: let's fix this for our kids! @joinsciencemoms https://t.co/sH0Rbfd0gf— Susan Joy Hassol, Climate Communication (@ClimateComms) November 15, 2023
On point, as always— Prof. Peter Strachan (@ProfStrachan) November 15, 2023
Prof @MichaelEMann: Yes, we can still stop the worst effects of #ClimateChange. Here's why.
"There is still time to preserve our 'fragile moment', but the window of opportunity is narrowing."#ClimateCrisis #ActNow #COP28
Today’s News on Sustainable Energy, Traditional Polluting Energy from Fossil Fuel, and the Green Revolution:
This is what a country that was (even vaguely) serious about climate change would do. It points to one of the many things not talked about in the U.S.: the urgent need for better public transportation: Denmark is proposing a ‘green tax’ on all flights. https://t.co/PnGmzPmw38— Elizabeth Kolbert (@ElizKolbert) November 15, 2023
"the end of a liveable climate" :— Ben See (@ClimateBen) November 15, 2023
'projections indicate global energy consumption INCREASES through 2050, outpacing efficiency gains and driving CONTINUED EMISSIONS GROWTH.'
Change this Extinction Economy now while it's still too late. 🧵 https://t.co/LgYokCziO9 pic.twitter.com/Gh33YRynBd
The full discussion I had with @NickGBreeze is now at: https://t.co/3r2oWQk79Q— Kevin Anderson (@KevinClimate) November 15, 2023
Issues raised include: Big Oil's hijacking of #COP28; cognitive dissonance within 'experts'; weak & ill-equipped political leadership; the role of civil society & the potential for a velvet revolution.
"There is nothing 'game-changing' about giving fossil fuel companies more influence at global climate talks. The strategy is merely a repackaging of a decades-long status quo that has resulted in ever-increasing global emissions." https://t.co/3aBNQaSgSE— Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf 🌏 🦣 (@rahmstorf) November 15, 2023
Switching to #RenewableEnergy could save trillions of dollars and help address the #ClimateCrisis— Prof. Peter Strachan (@ProfStrachan) November 14, 2023
"Switching from #FossilFuels to renewable energy could save the world as much as $12tn (£10.2tn) by 2050, an Oxford University study says"#Renewableshttps://t.co/pl8pXaYmXU
More from the Weather Department:
*RARE WAKE LOW* is responsible for the strong wind event this evening in Southwest Florida with gusts near 60 mph. Note the sharp pressure drop / change at SWFL Int'l Airport. A similar event occurred locally nearly 20 years ago, documented by @NWSMiami. More:… pic.twitter.com/XRLyiFpaVG— Matt Devitt (@MattDevittWX) November 16, 2023
Miami tonight… pic.twitter.com/DwIUfEEw6Y— Mike's Weather Page (@tropicalupdate) November 16, 2023
5 to 8 inches already fell in 48 hours ending early this morning in #FortLauderdale & parts of metro #Broward County. 2-4" in northern #Miami-Dade. If we get another 8+ inches of rain today #flooding (yet again) will be ugly, especially at hi tide. Rain measurements via @CoCoRaHS pic.twitter.com/Hg7dzHNuiF— John Morales (@JohnMoralesTV) November 15, 2023
I hadn’t posted a loop of the South Florida rain yet as many others have already done so… but this evolution with yet another meso low forming is absolutely wild: pic.twitter.com/uwm7pcabTc— Tomer Burg (@burgwx) November 16, 2023
NEW: Fort Lauderdale will officially log its wettest year on record today.— Matthew Cappucci (@MatthewCappucci) November 15, 2023
A total of 101 inches has fallen so far this year. They just need 1.36 inches to beat the record from 1947.
Some parts of the city got 6 inches overnight. Another 4-8 is coming.https://t.co/bidc64dftM
WPC has a moderate risk of flooding today from the Palm Beaches south. HEAVY RAIN rates at times will cause problems today in south Florida. Amazing how the rich get richer in the rain department with the driest area on the west coast of Florida, remaining mostly dry.… pic.twitter.com/nYRSZMcu2v— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) November 15, 2023
Beautiful cyclone-anticyclone pair over the eastern Pacific today. Strong northerly stream of air in the "pitching machine zone" sandwiched between these two counter rotating pressure systems. #CAwx pic.twitter.com/DnrpmkWAzU— Neil Lareau (@nplareau) November 15, 2023
Great photo of asperitas clouds (asperatus undulatus).— Matthew Cappucci (@MatthewCappucci) November 15, 2023
Picture the atmosphere "settling" like undisturbed salad dressing. It organizes by layers of density (invisible in atmosphere).
Somewhere distant, a disturbance is causing interfering ripples in those stratified layers. https://t.co/6BWFbx6NCG
More on the Environment and Nature:
Simultaneous or back-to-back climate events are straining communities, ecosystems, sectors, and emergency management resources. Examples of such compound events are featured throughout #NCA5 along with adaptations that offer co-benefits. More here-> Focus on #compoundevents (1/5) pic.twitter.com/STLHcB2Hs9— Dr. Deepti Singh (@ClimateChirper) November 15, 2023
'Investors are stepping up pressure on companies to end the production and use of hazardous “forever chemicals” amid concerns over increasing litigation and regulatory scrutiny.'— Brian McHugh 🌏🏳️🌈 (@BrianMcHugh2011) November 15, 2023
A promising step here#PFAShttps://t.co/tg2bckLxDC
More on Other Science and the Beauty of Earth and this Universe:
White moose wading into a stream in Sweden— Science girl (@gunsnrosesgirl3) November 15, 2023
📹 Hans Nilsson
The sky in Florida divided into two parts— Science girl (@gunsnrosesgirl3) November 15, 2023