Extreme Temperature Diary- Monday February 2, 2026/ Main Topic: Contrarians Could Write the Next National Climate Assessment

Quick history of #climate denial

Hugo (@nonviolence.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T17:33:37.564Z

Today from @scottpwaldman.bsky.social, who reveals that the Trump admin has tapped Judith Curry, & potentially other authors of the DOE's recent misinformation-filled climate report, to helm the next NCA. Other authors could include Ryan Maue + Grok. Yup, that Grok. www.eenews.net/articles/its…

Chelsea Harvey (@chelseaeharvey.bsky.social) 2025-12-22T13:53:20.082Z

It’s the gold standard of US climate research. Contrarians could write the next one. – E&E News by POLITICO

It’s the gold standard of US climate research. Contrarians could write the next one.

By Scott Waldman | 12/22/2025

Researchers who have downplayed the threat of global warming have been asked to author the next National Climate Assessment.

The Trump administration has invited a small group of climate contrarians to help write the next installment of the National Climate Assessment, the nation’s preeminent report on global warming, says one of the researchers involved.

The move would advance efforts by the White House to inject widely disputed ideas about climate change into the federal government’s official appraisal of global warming. And it would almost certainly provoke a response from the hundreds of mainstream climate scientists who have worked for years on the National Climate Assessment.

Judith Curry, a former climatologist at the Georgia Institute of Technology, is one of the climate contrarians in line for the new assignment. Earlier this year, Curry joined with four like-minded researchers to produce a separate report for Energy Secretary Chris Wright that downplayed the threat of global warming and called into question the basic tenets of climate science.

Now Curry says that same team — known as the Climate Working Group — has been asked to write the next installment of the National Climate Assessment, or NCA, a congressionally mandated report that comes out every few years and outlines the many ways that global warming is expected to impact the United States and its people.

“The Climate Working Group has been contacted about the NCA,” said Curry, who added that she was open to the idea. “Personally, I would work with whoever’s in charge to get a reasonable outline and get reasonable authors.”

Curry said she expected all five members of the Climate Working Group to work on the National Climate Assessment.

Three of the other authors did not respond to requests for comment from POLITICO’s E&E News. The fourth, Canadian economist Ross McKitrick, said late Sunday that he had not yet been contacted about working on the assessment but declined to comment as to whether he would participate in the next version.

Curry also said that the Trump administration was looking to revive the U.S. Global Change Research Program, the initiative in charge of producing the National Climate Assessment. Earlier this year, the Trump administration dismantled the program and dismissed hundreds of scientists who were already at work on the sixth version of the National Climate Assessment.

Curry said the new effort is starting to take shape. She said the Trump administration already has interviewed candidates for the U.S. Global Change Research Program, and she expected the administration would name a new program chief as soon as next month.

“I think in January, we should have a director of the USGCRP in place,” she said.

The White House did not respond to requests for comment from E&E News. Nor did the Energy Department nor the Office of Management and Budget.

But there’s at least one other sign the Trump administration is looking to write a new version of the National Climate Assessment.

Ryan Maue, who served as chief scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration during the first Trump administration, said last week on the social media site X that he was working on the new climate report.

He described it as a “volunteer effort” and said it would be “mostly completed before end of 2025.”

Maue did not respond to requests for comment from E&E News. But he wrote on X that he was enlisting artificial intelligence to help with the latest National Climate Assessment. He cited the Gemini 3 Pro program as well as Grok, an AI chatbot developed by xAI, the artificial intelligence company led by tech tycoon Elon Musk.

Grok in the past has downplayed the danger of global warming when compared with other AI programs.

The Trump administration’s push to revive the National Climate Assessment and resurrect the U.S. Global Change Research Program adds a new twist to the complicated history of the long-running research effort.

The program was created by Congress in 1990 and signed into law by Republican President George H.W. Bush. Its most visible product is the National Climate Assessment, which comes out roughly every four years and is used to help shape environmental rules, legislation and infrastructure projects.

Five installments of the National Climate Assessment have been published since 2000. The reports explore more than just climate change — they also examine land productivity, water resources, fisheries, ecosystems and the atmosphere.

But earlier this year, the Trump administration fired the federal employees who work for the research program — and it was effectively shuttered. The administration also deleted interactive webpages for the first five versions of the National Climate Assessment and then buried the documents on government websites.

The moves prompted a sharp outcry from the scientific community in part because the National Climate Assessment has earned a reputation for top-notch research. The document includes hundreds of peer-reviewed studies to inform its conclusions, and it relies on the work of hundreds of scientists to write its contents and review its findings.

In contrast, the Energy Department report written by Curry and her colleagues involved a much smaller group of researchers.

Her four co-authors were: McKitrick; Steven Koonin, a former chief scientist for BP who also served as an undersecretary at the Energy Department during the Obama administration; as well as John Christy and Roy Spencer, atmospheric scientists at the University of Alabama, Huntsville.

One climate scientist said the size of that group was indicative of how far the team members’ views fall outside the scientific consensus.

“Serious experts agree and action (on climate change) is needed as soon as possible,” said Katharine Hayhoe, a climate scientist at Texas Tech University who has served as a lead author on multiple versions of the National Climate Assessment.

If the Trump administration wants “people who are not going to tell them those truths,” she added, “those are the only people they have.”

The Energy Department report written by Curry and the rest of the Climate Working Group has been roundly criticized by climate scientists for its reliance on cherry-picked data and its omission of research that disproved its claims.

Scientists whose work was cited in the report said their research was distorted and manipulated. Dozens of scientists produced a 450-page report challenging its claims, and the National Academies offered its own rebuttal of the report as well.

Hayhoe said it’s critical the United States and its leaders get a clear-eyed view of climate change and its impacts.

“This is a matter of safety, security, well being, resilience and preparation for a better future for everyone,” she said. “Regardless of where they live and regardless of how they vote.”

Dozens of records again this morning. To give you an idea of how impressive this cold air outbreak is in our warmed climate, Miami has once again set a record low – 2 days in a row. But until yesterday Miami had not seen a record low in atleast 6 years. (Maybe longer, I didn’t check). 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T12:33:01.554Z

Arctic in Disarry!! It’s been the story of the winter so far. Warm-Blocky Arctic displacing cold airmasses southward. It’s how a rapidly warming Arctic – at a rate 4X the global average – and record low Arctic sea ice – helps enhance the patterns that lead to mid-latitude cold air outbreaks… 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T00:29:35.843Z

Prof Mark Jacobsen : Updated 'Still No Miracles Needed'#nuclear #renewables #climate www.cambridge.org/core/books/s…web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/j…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T13:27:03.848Z

Fossil fuel firms may have to pay for climate damage under proposed UN tax #Climate

Climate Tracker (@climate.skyfleet.blue) 2026-02-01T12:28:49.097Z

Torrential winter rains arriving in UK 20 years earlier than #climate models project.www.theguardian.com/news/ng-inte…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:47:05.001Z

Au revoir coastal #nuclear."We can't keep defending coastlines for the next 20, 30, 40 years. Unless we start casting the whole coast in concrete, we have to start retreating." www.bbc.co.uk/news/article…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:16:01.144Z

This was one of my favorite #AGU25 talks this year

Kelly Hereid (@kellyhereid.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T11:37:52.515Z

Nice to start the week with publication of a co-authored review on #Justice Issues in #Climate Policy led by @mmbuchs.bsky.social. What are the sustainable #welfare and #JustTransitions literatures saying, e.g., on capitalism and growth? Check it out:wires.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/…

Max Koch (@maxkoch.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T07:43:30.056Z

Calls for #climate action often emphasize the need to reduce harm (e.g. by eating less #meat). A more productive approach may be to encourage people to do more good (e.g. by eating more #plantbased), i.e. to encourage desired behaviors rather than discourage undesired ones: doi.org/10.3389/fcom…

Alexander J. Stein (@ajstein.bsky.social) 2026-02-01T13:34:23.320Z

“ Our power went out at 4:40 Sunday morning. By then the ice was already thick on the trees. My husband and I lay in bed and listened in the sudden silence as tree branch after tree branch cracked, gave way, and hit the ground.”

Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T16:05:14.445Z

Another long duration #freeze for our farmers tonight. 8-12 hours of sub freezing conditions for most, near or north of Lake O. #florida #cold

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-02-01T20:43:27.282Z

Renewable Evolution.english.elpais.com/climate/2026…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:03:39.222Z

"The center of gravity in global #climate outcomes has already shifted […] to how China powers its economy. If the structural changes underway in #China take root, they will influence global #emissions trajectories more than any other single national decision." www.forbes.com/sites/kensil…

John Morales (@johnmoralestv.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T11:45:34.761Z

Let's do this.www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtQ9…

Technology Connections (@techconnectify.bsky.social) 2026-01-30T17:27:07.154Z

UK record new offshore wind finance agreed – £3.4 billion private investment.8.4GW – enough to keep lights on in 12 million homes. Directly generating 7,000 new jobs.www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:11:56.982Z

Battery prices plunge 60% in two years, changing face of grid and the nature of contracts. reneweconomy.com.au/battery-pric…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:13:12.012Z

New Pumped Hydro Energy Storage System Needs No Mountains. cleantechnica.com/2026/02/01/n…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:14:06.063Z

Factcheck: What it really costs to heat a home in the UK with a heat pump www.carbonbrief.org/factcheck-wh…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:42:13.687Z

Average #nuclear plant has 102.5% cost overrun, 35-month delay.Average #solar 2.2% cost underrun and only 1 month delay.www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:22:07.220Z

" #Scotland generates more capacity from #renewables than we consume – and this surplus is only going to grow as we continue to see more investment in wind, solar, tidal and energy storage."www.thenational.scot/news/2581338…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T09:46:32.538Z

#Wind and #solar plants worldwide currently generate 70% more electricity than #nuclear reactors.Nuclear “irrelevant” on the global market – 5.4 GW increase nuclear capacity offset by 100 times the combined new capacity of 565 GW of wind and solar.www.worldnuclearreport.org/Ministry-of-…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T09:52:37.014Z

Almost insurmountable difficulties achieving adequate safety case for geological storage of plutonium-rich spent fuel.Geological #nuclear waste 'disposal' (GDF) is not 'closing the fuel cycle' – GDF is storage, not disposal. GDF not a justification for new nuclear.papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers….

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:54:30.946Z

The only remaining US-Russia #nuclear treaty expires this week. Could a new arms race soon accelerate? theconversation.com/the-only-rem…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T10:06:06.721Z

I'll be speaking about my new book #ScienceUnderSiege (co-authored with @peterhotezmdphd.bsky.social) at @johnshopkinssph.bsky.social on Friday Feb 13: publichealth.jhu.edu/events/2026/…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-02-02T15:19:13.654Z

More snow high, less low, still skimpy. Both sides of Rock Crk. Canyon Beartooth Plateau S side, Hellroaring on N. All this easily evident 14K run Hellroaring Rd. 2200m to 2680m then back. Real snowpack 20cm + starting 2500m, in this warmest ever recorded winter. #climate #running #dogs #montana

Michael Richmond (@beartoothskier.bsky.social) 2026-02-01T00:22:17.598Z

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