Extreme Temperature Diary- Wednesday July 29th, 2026/Main Topic: Caribbean Bears Brunt of £43bn Climate-Fueled Damage to Developing Islands

Blink and you might have missed it, but #Genevieve briefly hit Cat 5 strength off Mexico's Pacific coast. It's still a Cat 4 powerhouse set to slowly spin down offshore. Meanwhile, a weakening #Fausto will push big swells and gusty winds toward Hawaii. yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/gene…

Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2026-07-27T18:18:43.823Z

Caribbean bears brunt of £43bn climate-fuelled damage to developing islands | Caribbean | The Guardian

Caribbean

Caribbean bears brunt of £43bn climate-fuelled damage to developing islands

Findings can inform conversations about global climate reparations and financing for mitigations, researchers say

Natricia Duncan in Kingston

Prefer the Guardian on Google

Caribbean nations suffered $53.2bn (£40bn) of damage from climate-fuelled disasters between 2000 and 2024, research into the cost of the climate crisis to developing small islands has found.

The figure is more than 90% of the total $57bn in economic damage caused by floods, storms and drought across 39 developing island nations in the Caribbean, the Pacific, the Atlantic, the Indian Ocean and the South China Sea, according to a study by development thinktank ODI Global.

ODI Global also estimates the climate crisis caused more than 190 deaths a year over the 25-year period studied.

The research is important for conversations about global climate reparations, the report’s author, Emily Wilkinson, said.

The Caribbean has been pursuing climate justice after bearing the brunt of the crisis, which is primarily caused by high carbon emitters outside the region.

Several Caribbean countries provided evidence to the international court of justice, the world’s top UN court, in a case that ended last year with a landmark advisory opinion that could mean states are ordered to pay compensation if they fail to tackle fossil fuels and prevent harm to the climate system.

Wilkinson said: “There have always been hurricanes, heavy rainfall, drought and temperature extremes, historically, but it’s really important to be able to say what percentage of that kind of strength or intensity is actually due to increasing global temperatures.

“Climate scientists do these attribution studies and they’re really important for when we start to think about responsibilities for the impacts of climate change, compensation and climate reparation.

“[They] tell you what kind of proportion of the intensity of the event is due to climate change. We’ve taken it a step further by doing an additional calculation, which is a fraction of attributable risk, to work out what percentage of the damage that’s been reported can be attributed to climate change.”

Mud, debris, furniture and people’s belongings piled up outside homes
The aftermath of Hurricane Melissa, which hit Jamaica in October 2025 and which experts say was supercharged by global heating. Photograph: Ina Sotirova/The Guardian

Published on Wednesday, the report also highlights the devastating impact of Hurricane Melissa, which tore through Jamaica in October 2025 with winds of 185mph (298 km/h), the strongest ever recorded in the country.

Experts say the storm was supercharged by global heating. The report attributes $9.7bn – about 80% of the $12.2bn of the government’s calculated damage and losses – directly to the climate crisis. This figure is almost half of the country’s total economy and far above commitments to the UN’s loss and damage fund to help climate vulnerable countries recover from disasters.

For Jamaica, it was the second year in a row that brutal storms caused widespread damage, after 2024’s Hurricane Beryl. Thousands of people were left without homes, livelihoods, communication services and basic utilities such as water and power.

As climate losses escalate, ODI says that international financing for climate crisis mitigation and adaptation is moving in the wrong direction as some wealthy nations cut contributions.

Government agencies and service providers in countries such as Jamaica have had to rethink their operations.

In May, Jamaica’s government passed the National Reconstruction and Resilience Authority Act to speed up post-disaster rebuilding and improve resilience, and last month its prime minister, Andrew Holness, promised to invest in cleaner and cheaper renewable sources such as solar.

For Marcelo Cataldo, the chief executive of Digicel Group, one of the Caribbean’s leading internet and telecoms providers, the worsening climate shocks mean the company needs to rethink how it powers its network.

A partly destroyed building with a missing roof and exposed walls
A building destroyed by Hurricane Beryl, which swept through Jamaica in 2024. People were left without homes and basic utilities such as water and power. Photograph: Ina Sotirova/The Guardian

Digicel has responded by accelerating a major shift to solar energy. The company has partnered with the American renewable energy company Caban Energy to roll out solar‑powered telecom sites in Jamaica and Barbados, with plans to expand to 15 of its 25 markets.

Digicel says their solar systems can generate 15,000MWh of clean energy a year, enough to power 10,000 Caribbean homes. They also avoid approximately 200,000 litres of diesel use annually and cut emissions by 16,457 tonnes of CO₂e – equivalent to removing 3,600 cars from the road.

Solar, Cataldo says, is not just more environmentally friendly but also more resilient, allowing communication systems to remain online for longer if a storm knocks out power.

“We know that in a big hurricane … the infrastructure of the electricity company will affect us and all the other industries. Having solar is an outstanding alternative to return the service faster to our customers,” Cataldo said.

Wilkinson said switching to solar is one solution Caribbean nations could consider to improve resilience, but “they will need to overcome high upfront costs and address issues such as intermittency, storage and grid stability”.

For Cataldo, the solution is partnerships with companies such as Caban Energy. “This is the kind of collaboration needed to accelerate the energy transition for our region,” he added.

ODI Global’s findings suggest that such adaptations will become increasingly necessary. According to the report, under a 1.5C warming scenario, storms alone could cause a further $49bn in climate‑attributable losses across small island developing nations by 2050. At 2C, that rises to $51bn.

New post out on Weather West on the upcoming intense, double-peaked heatwave event in the Pacific Southwest. What are the (indirect) links to Hurricane Genevieve? (Substantial.) And also: will California see an uptick in wildfire activity? (Probably yes.)

Daniel Swain (@weatherwest.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T01:26:53.000Z

Down to the wire in Denver as well as nationally. Denver's July avg thru 7/28 is 78.8F, well ahead of all other months on record except for July 2012 (78.9F). Forecast thru Fri is ever so slightly milder. So most likely July will be Denver's second-hottest month in 155 years of recordkeeping.

Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T17:35:39.000Z

More than half of England officially in drought, the Environment Agency saysEngland received just 7% of expected rainfall in July and only 1% in the south.Notably, the news report makes no explicit mention of climate change. Come on, @bbcnewsunofficial.bsky.social www.bbc.co.uk/news/article…

Ian Hall (@ianhall.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T12:06:52.941Z

🔥 A simple analysis on the European Fires. The temperature and relative humidity departures from normal are astonishing. Since late May France and Spain have a 2-Month temperature anomaly of +10-15°C (up to 27°F) -and- a relative humidity anomaly of approx -25%! 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T16:14:12.255Z

"Senate Rejects Canada Wildfire Sanctions as Scientists Point to Climate, Not Ottawa" by Earl Bensen for #TechTimes: www.techtimes.com/articles/322…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T16:01:23.872Z

"The Fire This Time" | @pkrugman.bsky.social on wildfires, climate crisis & the assault on climate scientists "for being right"www.youtube.com/watch?v=cwyi…p.s. yes, there's a shout out for yours trulyp.s. #2 fun fact–I grew up just down the street from Robert Frost's home in Amherst MA

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T13:21:32.907Z

Can't say I'm surprised at these (nonetheless important) findings from @profsanderlinden.bsky.social & colleagues.From The #NewClimateWar:

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-07-28T20:09:29.848Z

On The Climate Brink, @zekehausfather.com and I revisit the warmth of the 1930s. This seems to be one of the most important denier arguments out there.www.theclimatebrink.com/p/raw-data-w…

Andrew Dessler (@andrewdessler.com) 2026-07-27T18:25:08.190Z

Do not adjust your screens: Daily Telegraph, purveyor of hard-core #climate denial, has temporarily noticed reality. Don’t panic: normal service on behalf of its energy industry sponsors will be resumed shortly.

John Gibbons 🇵🇸 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 (@thinkorswim.bsky.social) 2026-07-27T06:38:07.333Z

‼️ 1000-Year Rain Event In New YorkThe rain falling in the #Hudson Valley has peaked near the 1-in-1000 year recurrence interval. That means the chance of this happening is .1% in any given year. Flash Flood Warnings ongoing for life-threatening flooding… 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T15:06:02.550Z

Folks it’s busy! A very amplified weather pattern brings the planet’s biggest heat dome to the US West, while forcing very stormy weather to Florida and the #Gulf Coast, #smoke carried 2500 miles from Oregon to #Florida, not to mention unprecedented fires in #Europe!

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T13:06:33.117Z

Stormy pattern sets up shop across Florida into next week! A very amplified jet stream pattern – almost winter-like without the cold air, sorry🙃. This map is NOAA 7-day rain- pretty significant from Sarasota & Tampa Bay northward starting tonight. Coastal locations could see several inches of rain.

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T12:28:56.233Z

Blink and you might have missed it, but #Genevieve briefly hit Cat 5 strength off Mexico's Pacific coast. It's still a Cat 4 powerhouse set to slowly spin down offshore. Meanwhile, a weakening #Fausto will push big swells and gusty winds toward Hawaii. yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/gene…

Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2026-07-27T18:18:43.823Z

Re-upping this six year old article.For no particular reason…#ScienceUnderSiegewww.newsweek.com/climate-scie…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-07-29T15:53:14.132Z

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