Extreme Temperature Diary Saturday May 30th, 2026/Main Topic: Hottest Year Ever Recorded Set to Arrive Before 2030, Warns New UN Report

Hottest Year Ever Recorded Set to Arrive by 2030, Warns New UN Report | Common Dreams

Hottest Year Ever Recorded Set to Arrive by 2030, Warns New UN Report

The lead author of the new report noted that predicted weather patterns could mean the record is shattered as soon as next year.

Brad Reed

Global temperates are likely to hit their highest average level ever within the next four years, according to a report published Thursday by the United Nations’ World Meteorological Organization.

Overall, WMO’s report projects an 86% chance that the world will experience its warmest year ever between 2026 and 2030, with a 91% chance that “the global mean near-surface temperature will temporarily exceed 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 average levels for at least one year between 2026 and 2030.”

Exceeding temperatures from the pre-industrial average by 1.5°C “risks unleashing ever more severe climate change impacts and extreme weather, and decreases adaptation option,” the report notes.

Leon Hermanson, lead author of the report, said there’s a good chance that 2027 will break all-time temperature records set in 2024 given that meteorologists are predicting an El Niño weather pattern to develop this summer and continue through the end of this year.

One particularly troubling finding in the report is that “Arctic temperatures over the next five extended northern hemisphere winters (November-March) are predicted to be 2.8°C above average temperatures for 1991-2020, an anomaly more than three and half times that of global mean temperature anomaly over the same period.”

These higher Arctic temperatures mean likely further reductions in ice in the Barents Sea, Bering Sea, and Sea of Okhotsk, the report warns.

Simon Stiell, executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, said in a Thursday interview with The Guardian that Europe’s current heatwave is a preview of what’s to come the longer the global climate crisis goes unaddressed.

“Protecting human lives, businesses and economies from extreme heat and the many other soaring costs of climate change is core business for every nation,” said Stiell, “and it starts with kicking the fossil fuel addiction much faster.”

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Brad Reed

Brad Reed is a staff writer for Common Dreams.

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The Western European heatwave was so deviant for May it’s almost impossible to count all the records. Here’s a last 7-day review of all the records neared, tied, and broken. The pink are all-time May records! #heatwave #Europe

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-05-29T20:04:52.396Z

Climate Spiral 1880 – Present• Monthly Global Surface Temperature anomalies, °C.• Combines Sea Surface Temp (SST) with Land Surface Air Temp (LSAT).• Updated May 19, 2026.1/2NASA SVSVisualizer: @marksubbarao.bsky.socialScientist: @climateofgavin.bsky.socialLearn: svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5190/

Ken Davis (@wayfarer-wanderer.bsky.social) 2026-05-22T21:01:59.280Z

I’m a climate scientist. Let me fix this headline.“Nearly a century ago, scientists showed that burning fossil fuels warms the planet.Today, we know human emissions account for over 100% of the warming.Yet dark money and disinformation still work to keep Americans addicted to fossil fuels.”

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2026-05-30T14:04:04.570Z

New: Climate change literacy has not budged in years. Largely the result of a huge coordinated disinformation campaign. The science is crystal clear: ALL of the warming is due to humans… 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-05-29T23:17:57.402Z

48% of those with a postgraduate degree say this, compared with 29% of those with a high school diploma or less education.”www.pewresearch.org/science/2026…

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-05-29T23:24:56.109Z

1/ A long-ish thread 🧵on the vital difference between power & agency in #climate action.A new paper proposes: locate your agency, pull your levers.Useful, but it leaves out power, & so leaves out strategy.

Dr. Aaron Thierry (@thierryaaron.bsky.social) 2026-05-30T11:29:56.080Z

And for those who are questioning my reference to “nearly a century” – it is referring to the paper published by Guy Callendar in 1937.To get the full story of the amazing cast of characters who contributed to fundamental understanding of climate science since the early 1800s, watch:

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2026-05-30T14:37:07.649Z

"Knowledge, once learned, cannot be taken away," Federal funds may completely disappear… but "it's not going to take away the truth, and we have that knowledge now, and we will continue on our path to protect what's out there."www.npr.org/2026/05/18/n…Via @katharinehayhoe.com ‘s newsletter.

LaurelJStandley.bsky.social 🌳🌎 (@laureljstandley.bsky.social) 2026-05-30T15:02:03.884Z

Lastly, and most importantly, if you’re wondering what we can do about it? My pinned post has the answer: a list of six science-based ways that individual individuals can meaningfully contribute to catalyzing societal change at the scale we need.

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2026-05-30T14:41:35.648Z

On Jun 10 and11, join the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law & Columbia Cliamte School in-person or virtually for 2nd Attribution Science & Climate Law Conference to examine the evolving field of climate change attribution science and its implications. ➡️ Learn more/register: https://bit.ly/4nSXNpu

Columbia Climate School (@climate.columbia.edu) 2026-05-27T21:52:02.548110035Z

Early look at pan-Arctic temperature departures for May 2026 courtesy @khaustein.bsky.social. European Arctic very warm relative to normal. Well below normal in Eastern Siberia and most of Alaska and the Bering Strait region at least a bit cooler than normal. #Arctic #Climate #Spring2026.

Rick Thoman (@alaskawx.bsky.social) 2026-05-29T22:32:07.512Z

Watch as a very odd and amplified pattern Omega Block pattern torments forecasters and everyone in its way for the next two weeks! Winter 🥶 in summer in the Northeast! Tropical moisture poised for #Florida but instead shoved into the western Gulf!… 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-05-30T13:08:42.167Z

Thankfully most nations are recognising #renewables are the future and abandoning fossil fuels. Only those with financial ties continue to argue for them, the fact Blair is one of them tells us who he works for.www.theguardian.com/environment/…

(@kaybell27.bsky.social) 2026-05-30T05:46:07.368Z

South Africa has seen a major rise in low-cost renewable energy innovations specifically designed to support off-grid and rural communities. One of the most creative solutions involves repurposing old, discarded satellite dishes into highly efficient solar concentrators. #ActOnClimate #Renewables

(@alexvonwitzleben.bsky.social) 2026-05-27T16:36:32.278Z

Dunkelflaute (no wind or sun) — only approximately 3.5% of European annual electricity consumption.pure.tudelft.nl/ws/portalfil…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-29T10:47:38.092Z

Energy Resilience coming to Bonnie Doon#ausnews #vicnews #mansfield #renewables #energy #offgrid #science #technology #future

Geelan Mitchell Media (@victoriannews.com.au) 2026-05-30T06:17:23Z

Local area grids with community owned batteries are my dream 👼Imagine investing your super in infrastructure that benefits your grandchildren.Monopoly utilities fight back hard. Watch First Nations Clean Energy Network as communities across remote Australia find the work-arounds.#renewables

Barbara Pedersen (@barbie4science.bsky.social) 2026-05-26T23:54:03.764Z

I wrote something about creativity in science. Why would one write such a thing? That's the first question the piece addresses. There's general reasons, and then there's my current weird personal quest… deepconvection.substack.com/p/creativity…

Adam Sobel (@adamsobel.bsky.social) 2026-05-28T13:29:05.275Z

Comprehensive analysis: Climate and environmental impact of nuclear power.openumwelt.de/entities/pub…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-30T15:45:04.612Z

Almost a minute to midnight: Cambridge helps launch open course on nuclear weapons as global tensions rise www.cam.ac.uk/research/new…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-05-30T08:09:59.886Z

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