The main purpose of this ongoing blog will be to track planetary extreme, or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials).😉
Main Topic: Major Heatwave “Astarot” Strikes Europe
Dear Diary. The eastern and southern United States has been suffering through a heatwave this week, yet this episode did not quite reach my major CAT3 criteria, mainly due to a concentrated absence of National Weather Service heat advisories, so it did not get my first dragon name of Apophis. I’m reserving this name for a U.S. heatwave that will probably occur later this summer. An ongoing heatwave that does deserve a dragon name that definitely achieved major CAT3 status is one in Europe. Let’s dub this one “Astarot,” which means the leading one or the chief of dragons.
It appears that Astarot peaked on Friday looking at the heat dome in association with the thing:
Here is a description of heat in association with Astarot via the Washington Post:
Historic May heat shatters records in Southern and Central Europe
By Kasha Patel May 20, 2022
Temperatures analyzed by the European model Friday afternoon were up to 36 degrees (20 Celsius) above normal in parts of southern Europe. (Weatherbell)
A brutal blast of record-breaking heat has spread over southern and central Europe, shattering May records from Portugal to Germany. Some of the most extreme heat is focusing in Portugal, Spain and France.10 steps you can take to lower your carbon footprint
The record-setting temperatures are occurring at the same time exceptional heat scorches the eastern United States. The concurrent heat waves on two continents underscore the effects of human-caused climate change, which boosts the frequency, intensity and duration of such events.
Maximiliano Herrera, a climatologist who monitors weather extremes worldwide, tweeted that Friday was a “[h]istoric day in Europe with dozens of monthly records [set].”
Europe’s hottest weather Friday concentrated in Portugal and Spain. In southern Spain, the temperature surged as high as 107 degrees (41.8 Celsius) Friday and hotter weather was projected on Saturday. Seville climbed to 105.4 degrees (40.8 Celsius) Friday, tying its highest May temperature on record.
A man rests under the sun with the old quarter of the city of Toledo in the background, central Spain on Thursday. (Ismael Herrero/EPA-EFE/REX/Shutterstock)
Spain’s State Meteorological Agency described the temperatures as “typical of summer and exceptionally high for these dates.”
Record-setting temperatures also pushed into France, Switzerland, Liechtenstein, Austria and Germany, according to Herrera.
France posted its 38th consecutive day of above-normal temperatures Friday. Forecasters with Météo-France, the country’s weather service, predict it will see its hottest May on record, even hotter than some Julys in the 1950s and 1960s.
“The earliness of the heat is outstanding,” Robert Vautard, director of the Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace in Paris, said in an email. “These temperatures are even high above normal for July or August.”
Meanwhile, much cooler air is pouring into northern Europe. The clash between the excessive heat in southern Europe and the cooler air settling in from the north triggered an outbreak of severe thunderstorms in Germany on Friday. Social media posts showed a large, destructive tornado striking the western German town of Lippstadt. The Associated Press reported heavy damage.
Scores of records have fallen in southern Europe since midweek. On Thursday, the city of Jaén in southern Spain hit a new monthly high of 101.7 degrees (38.7 Celsius). Then on Friday, temperatures in the city soared even higher to 106.2 (41.2 Celsius) to eclipse its record set the day before.
Nighttime temperatures have also been unusually warm. The city of Cuenca posted its warmest low temperature for May: 67.1 degrees (19.5 Celsius).
Nighttime temperatures in Spain are forecast to hover near or above 68 degrees (20 Celsius) into the weekend. High temperatures at night are of particular concern for vulnerable groups without air conditioning because of the physical accumulation of heat stress without adequate nighttime cooling.
High temperature records for May have also piled up in France. On Wednesday, monthly highs were established in the towns of Albi at 92.7 degrees (33.7 Celsius), Toulouse at 92.1 degrees (33.4 Celsius) and Montélimar at 92.8 degrees (33.8 Celsius).
On Friday, Strasbourg climbed to 94.3 (34.6 Celsius) degrees, and was among many locations in France to set new May records.
The heat in France, paired with potentially record dry conditions, is straining the country’s wheat crop. As of May 16, 73 percent of soft wheat was in good or very condition — lower than this time last year. Low yields in France, the European Union’s largest grain producer, will add stress to the global grain supply, which has already been affected by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
A photograph taken on Wednesday shows fields in the Chabaniere countryside near Lyon, France. (Jean-Philippe Ksiazek/AFP/Getty Images)
In Germany, numerous locations set May records Friday, with widespread highs over 86 degrees (30 Celsius) in the south.
The extreme heat has been caused by a hot, dry air mass from North Africa swelling over the region, along with strong sunshine. Herrera tweeted that Morocco posted its highest May temperature on record Friday, with a high temperature of 114.3 degrees (45.7 Celsius) in Sidi Slimane, a small city in the northwest part of the country.
The excessively hot temperatures have been intensified by elevated concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere from fossil fuel burning, Vautard said.
“Several heat wave studies have shown that all recent heat waves analyzed in Western Europe using our statistical and physical tools bear the signature of climate change,” said Vautard, who researchers the role climate change plays in extreme weather events. “There is little doubt that this heat wave escapes the general rule that it has been fueled by climate change.”
Spain and France have warmed around 3.2 degrees (1.8 Celsius) and 3.6 degrees (2.0 Celsius), respectively, since the preindustrial era, much higher than the global average.
In Spain, most of the increases occurred in recent decades, too. In just the past 60 years, the country has warmed by 1.3 Celsius, according to a 2020 executive report by the meteorological agency.
Data from the agency also show heat waves (elevated temperatures of at least three days’ duration) have doubled per decade. From 2010 to 2020, around 24 heat waves were recorded compared to only 10 to 12 in previous decades. Summer also arrives about a month earlier than it did 40 years ago, Rubén del Campo with the State Meteorological Agency told AP News.
Vautard said that “the probability of extreme heatwaves worldwide would about double” if the globe warmed 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) compared to pre-industrial levels. The planet has already warmed roughly 1.1 degrees Celsius (2 degrees Fahrenheit).
“The number of hot days is going to continue its increase in the future until climate warming is stabilized, which would occur only if greenhouse gas emissions stop,” he said.
Temperature difference from normal Sunday afternoon over Europe as projected by the European model. (WeatherBell)
As cool air from Russia pushes southwestward through Europe, central parts of the continent will see relief from the heat on Saturday and Sunday, while the heat nears its peak over the Iberian Peninsula and southern France. It will take until early next week for the heat to relent some in southwest Europe.
Jason Samenow contributed to this report.
Other takes on Astarot:
Here are some more European “ET” notes posted since Friday:
Here are other “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks:
Here is more climate and weather news from Saturday:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity. In most instances click on the pictures of each tweet to see each article. The most noteworthy items will be listed first.)
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Guy Walton “The Climate Guy”