Extreme Temperature Diary- Sunday October 29th, 2023/Main Topic: Watching the Caribbean for a Destructive Hurricane

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The main purpose of this ongoing blog will be to track planetary extreme, or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials).😉

Main Topic: Watching the Caribbean for a Destructive Hurricane

Dear Diary. In the world of weather forecasting there are no guarantees, but logically knowing that thermodynamics in nature go toward some sort of equilibrium, something might want to give in the Carribean:

Indeed, the Carribean is much warmer than average with the most latent heat at this time of the year going into November on record:

It’s no wonder that we are seeing records such as this:

This is not to write that a forming hurricane will be a given somewhere in the Carribean during November. Even if one does, a hurricane may not move far north enough to affect the United States. Even so, the GFS keeps insisting that a hurricane will form in the Carribean that will use up some of that excess thermal energy during November. Other models do not,

Here is the latest Penn State ensemble plot indicating that several individual model runs forecast a developed tropical system during early November. I’m using a plot that goes out to 168 hours because we can’t trust models that go further out in time more from that point:

Notice all the red circles in the Carribean on the above chart. Those are an indication of potential trouble down the road. Also:

In light of what happened to Acapulco from Otis, we need to keep a watchful eye on the Carribean. Any hurricane could spell big trouble for the east coast of Central America, Cuba, Hispaniola, or even Florida. Hopefully, excess heat across the Carribean won’t result in a developing tropical cyclone, at least not for the rest of 2023. I’ll be posting updates of any undesired Caribbean tropical developments.

Here are some “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks, as well as any extreme precipitation reports:

Here is More Climate and Weather News from Sunday:

(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity. In most instances click on the pictures of each tweet to see each article. The most noteworthy items will be listed first.)

Today’s News on Sustainable, Traditional Polluting Energy from Fossil Fuel, and the Green Revolution:

More from the Weather Department:

More on the Environment and Nature:

More on Other Science and the Beauty of Earth and this Universe:

If you like these posts and my work on record temperature ratios, please contribute via my PayPal widget on this site. Thanks in advance for any support. 

Guy Walton… “The Climate Guy”

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