The main purpose of this ongoing blog will be to track planetary extreme, or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials).😉
Main Topic: Record Warmth Overtakes a Good Chunk of the U.S. This Week
Dear Diary. Yesterday we delved into astounding record warmth taking place since the start of the month across most of Asia, in particularly the Far East. Today we will look at climate change related record November heat occurring this week across the United States for our main subject. This is coming off our first record cold snap that happened from the last week of October into the first few days of November in which hundreds of Daily records were set. While not quite as historic in nature, there will be some outstanding reports coming from this warm spell.
There is a heat dome in association with record warmth this week. Here we see it at its zenith on Wednesday:
🌡️ Above-average temps are forecast to continue across much of the Central and Eastern U.S. through Wednesday, then a cold front will cool temps down from west to east later this week. High temps will reach the 80s in parts of the Plains and MS Valley, about 15-25° above average. pic.twitter.com/WS5DjwnW4w— NWS Weather Prediction Center (@NWSWPC) November 7, 2023
‘Off the charts’: Earth’s vital signs are going haywire | WFLA https://t.co/IEHCBXlrhy— Paul Beckwith (@PaulHBeckwith) November 7, 2023
Since we are in November, we won’t see a life-threatening heat wave from this heat dome, but many records will be set since readings will get into the 80s and 90s, mainly where ground is dry from a long-term drought that has been expanding across the South. Yes, we do have a positive feedback situation here where drought breeds heat and vice a versa. Here are more details from the Washington Post:
Unusually warm weather — which is setting dozens of records — is affecting the central and eastern U.S. this week. It follows the hottest October on record for the planet by a large margin.— Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) November 7, 2023
After planet’s hottest October, U.S. temperatures are spiking in November
Dozens of record highs in the 80s and even 90s are predicted in parts of the central and eastern U.S. through Thursday
November 7, 2023 at 1:12 p.m. EST
Temperature departures from average, as forecast Tuesday by the National Weather Service. (WeatherBell)
November is feeling more like September across much of the southern and eastern United States, with temperatures running well above average from the Rockies to the Eastern Seaboard. Unseasonable warmth looks to carry toward Thanksgiving, the lengthy spate of mildness coming on the heels of the Earth’s warmest October on record, according to data from European and Japanese research centers.
The data shows October came in at about 3 degrees (1.7 Celsius) above the long-term average or about 0.7 degrees (0.4 Celsius) above the next warmest year, and the planet has all but secured its warmest year on record.
Even though November started with a chill across the Lower 48 states — in sharp contrast to Asia, where it’s been exceptionally warm — the script has flipped this week.
Myriad records are in jeopardy on Tuesday, with highs expected to peak in the mid-90s in parts of Texas and above 80 degrees in the Tennessee Valley. More records are likely Wednesday across the Midwest and lower Appalachians before the heat shifts toward the Interstate 95 corridor on Thursday.
Thereafter, a slight cool-down is expected into the weekend before another warm-up overtakes the Plains into the start of the next workweek. The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center, moreover, is predicting a high likelihood of above-average temperatures over much of the central and eastern Lower 48 during the next two weeks.
The Climate Prediction Center’s forecast of where temperatures are likely to be above or below average through mid-November. (Pivotal Weather)
Records that have fallen so far
On Monday, the heat was building over the Plains and Midwest. Here’s a sampling of some of the records set:
- Lubbock, Tex., hit 88 degrees, breaking the previous record of 85 set in 1975.
- Childress, Tex., hit91 degrees, breaking the previous record of 87 set in 1945.
- Evansville, Ind., hit 78 degrees, tying the record of 78 set both in 1915 and 1916.
- Little Rock hit 83 degrees, breaking the previous record of 81 set in 1915. The average high temperature is 65 degrees.
- Nashville hit 79 degrees, which also ties a record set in 1915. The average high temperature is also 65 degrees.
Predicted high temperatures on Tuesday from the National Weather Service. Boxed values are predicted records. (WeatherBell)
On Tuesday, the heat was sliding east, peaking in intensity over the Mississippi Valley. Memphis will flirt with records in the mid 80s, Nashville will probably break a record at 81 degrees and Knoxville should tie a record at 79. In Huntsville, Ala., a record-tying 82 degrees is predicted.
Mid-80s are predicted across Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Arkansas, coming within a degree or two of records.
A few 90s are slated to pepper the map in Texas, like in Abilene, which will likely eclipse the record of 89 set back in 1963; bookkeeping there dates to 1885. Lubbock could tie another record at 89 degrees, and Childress could lurch to 93 — surpassing the previous record by 90 degrees.
In the Panhandle, Amarillo was looking at a high of 86, coming just 8 days after the city reported a morning low of 22 degrees.
Predicted high temperatures on Wednesday from the National Weather Service. Boxed values are predicted records. (WeatherBell)
On Wednesday, the greatest temperature departures from average will shift into the Midwest and Tennessee Valley, with highs ranging 25 to 30 degrees above average along the Ohio River. Nashville will probably set a record at 84, Lexington, Ky., should hit 78, also a record, and St. Louis is forecast to tie a record at 82 degrees. That would be 22 degrees above St. Louis’s average high of 50 degrees.
Mid-80s will be common from Memphis southeastward across the Deep South, with 80s in the Carolinas. Raleigh will flirt with a record at 80 degrees.
Predicted high temperatures on Thursday from the National Weather Service. Boxed values are predicted records. (WeatherBell)
By Thursday, the heat will be primarily relegated to the Mid-Atlantic and interior Southeast. Washington, D.C., could approach 80 degrees, even though the average is closer to 60. If it hits 80, it would mark the fourth latest in the year on record. Charlotte is expected to hit 81, flirting with the record of 82. Columbia, S.C., will peak in the mid-80s. Atlanta could tie a record at 80 degrees; the city’s average high is 66.
The overall pattern
The heat is caused by a dome of mid-level high pressure, or warm, sinking air, which has been slowly pushing across the country. That sinking air squashes cloud cover and allows for sunshine, helping temperatures to soar.
A counterclockwise-spinning surface low pressure system, meanwhile, is traversing the Great Lakes. That’s helping strengthen southerly winds, bolstering temperatures even more.
Since the start of the year, the United States has had 27,255 instances of weather stations setting calendar day record highs, compared to 19,574 record cold maximum temperatures. That’s a ratio of roughly 1.4 to 1. For overnight lows, the warm to cold record ratio is even more dramatic — 2.5 to 1.
This inequity is even more dramatic for monthly and all-time (for any calendar day) records. Consider there have been a total of 178 all-time record highs in the United States this year, but only eight stations with all-time record cold maximum readings. That’s a ratio of 22 to 1.
If it seems like warm weather makes headlines more often than cold weather, it’s because there’s more of it.
In an unchanging world, we’d expect a roughly even balance of warm and cold temperature records. But in an era earmarked by a swiftly-warming atmosphere because of the burning of oil, coal and gas, there’s no more balance. Earth’s climate is skewed hot, and we see it in the daily numbers.
Ian Livingston and Jason Samenow contributed to this report.
By Matthew Cappucci Matthew Cappucci is a meteorologist for Capital Weather Gang. He earned a B.A. in atmospheric sciences from Harvard University in 2019, and has contributed to The Washington Post since he was 18. He is an avid storm chaser and adventurer, and covers all types of weather, climate science, and astronomy. Twitter
Here are more “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks, as well as any extreme precipitation reports:
"Record November heat in Japan"……🇯🇵— Robert Redmayne Hosking 🔥🌍🔥 (@rhosking252) November 8, 2023
Tokyo hit +27.5°C today, marking the hottest November day in almost 150 years of measurement.
Climate collapse continues unabated…….. https://t.co/SIJxHBXUHv
Historic heat wave in #Japan:— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 7, 2023
Dozens more records of November high temperatures were broken today including the capital TOKYO with 27.5C,
Same temperatures for Chiba, 28.0C at Shizuoka, 27.3C at Yokohama.
Nearly 1000 records have fallen in one week of November. https://t.co/wwyIDwW2ak
Extended summer weather in Eastern Mediterranean:— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 6, 2023
37C in Israel,32.8C in Cyprus, in Russia 26C at 700m asl,25C at 1000m.
Very hot nights as well: MIN Temp was 24.1C at Samandira in Turkey.
In Greece November RECORD high tied at Thessaloniki with 27.0C pic.twitter.com/mzLksEt9PX
BOLIVIA is already beating November records— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 7, 2023
40.1 San Borja and 38.4 Cobija, monthly records have been falling every month multiple times in every station.
Insane hot nights in AUSTRALIA
MINIMUM Temp. 32.5C Roebourne the most important record broken.
Hundreds are coming… https://t.co/lC8o6UbVnp
Every day is a record hot day in Thailand:— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 7, 2023
Today hottest November day on records at Phuket and Krabi, two famous southern tourist beach resorts towns:
Thailand has been at record hot levels for 8 months. https://t.co/vYpFCN2IxD
After the early cold, a late warm spell now in Central USA with temperatures up to 96F in California but also 81F as north as Illinois— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 7, 2023
Today some monthly records were broken or tied,the most important
90 Artesia NM tie
87 El Paso TX tie
88 Hereford TX
Tomorrow some more can fall pic.twitter.com/FePw8ZLOjN
Here is some more new October 2023 climatology:
🌡️🌍Mois d'octobre de loin le plus chaud sur la planète (Tmoy 15.3°C, +0.85°C /moy1991-2020, 0.4°C au-dessus d'octobre 2019).— Etienne Kapikian (@EKMeteo) November 8, 2023
De juin à octobre, chaque mois a établi un nouveau record mensuel mondial.📈Année 2023 sur la voie d'un nouveau record mondial.
👉https://t.co/kfoz0zvn5Q https://t.co/ZZje99xpj2 pic.twitter.com/ukTaq7eq4M
October 2023 in #China had an average temperature of 12.0C which is +1.4C above normal and was the 2nd warmest October on records.— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 7, 2023
Precipitations were near normal.
140 monthly records of high temperatures were broken during the month. https://t.co/GI9IAotQmY
October 2023 in India had an average temperature of 26.85C ,+0.83C above normal and was the 5th warmest on record;In South India it was the hottest.— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 7, 2023
Average rainfall was 50.8mm , 33% below normal: it was very dry in the South,wetter in the NW and East [See map by IMD]. pic.twitter.com/fWYjFCDQW5
October 2023 in #Pakistan had an average temperature of 24.59C which is +1.00C above the 1991-2020 normal.— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 7, 2023
37C Barkhan and 36C Zhob tied their monthly heat records.
Average rainfall was 16.11 which is 102% above normal with the central week being unusually wet (see graph by PMD). pic.twitter.com/V6fiLskph6
October 2023 was 2nd warmest in Serbia since 1951. This comes after 3rd warmest September! 🌡️🍂— Milos Milic (@skomimaster) November 7, 2023
Temperature anomaly relative to 1991-2020 was from +2.8°C in Požega, to +4.9°C on Mt Crni Vrh!
It was the warmest on record at 11 stations in Serbia, 2nd warmest at 11 stations. pic.twitter.com/NikwQ2wJPZ
October 2023 in #Croatia was exceptional:— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 7, 2023
Temperature anomalies ranged from +2.9C to +4.5C above the 1991-2020 norm.
In 26 stations out of 28 it was the hottest October on records, in the other 2 the 2nd hottest.
It was very dry except the NW.
Anomalies maps by DHMZ pic.twitter.com/Ni55T881cZ
October 2023 in #Ethiopia was wetter than normal in the South and much drier in the North.— Extreme Temperatures Around The World (@extremetemps) November 7, 2023
Soil moisture is wetter than normal in the South but Northern/Eastern areas are still with drought.
See maps by Ethiopia Meteorological Service pic.twitter.com/QQrd4mFRZW
Last month observed particularly large temperature anomalies across portions of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago and Beaufort Sea. Some areas exceeded temperature anomalies of 10°C above the 1981-2010 reference period.— Zack Labe (@ZLabe) November 7, 2023
Data from @CopernicusECMWF ERA5 reanalysis. pic.twitter.com/ClYi19YUkM
October 2023 wasn't just the warmest October on record, it was the moistest on record too…— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) November 7, 2023
You have probably heard about October 2023 being the warmest October on record by a wide margin, but what about atmospheric moisture? 💧
A warmer world is a moister world and that's… pic.twitter.com/J3rK1Y2NVB
Here is More Climate and Weather News from Tuesday:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity. In most instances click on the pictures of each tweet to see each article. The most noteworthy items will be listed first.)
The hottest year on record will most certainly be 2023 – "It is important to understand that wet-bulb temperatures of 95°F (35°C) are not conditions we can just get used to… Human bodies have fundamental physiological limits."— Peter Dynes (@PGDynes) November 6, 2023
– Dr. Peter Reiners pic.twitter.com/tECqiTk6W1
This year's El Niño related Amazon drought has been worsened by deforestation. This could become Earth's first climate tipping point, well ahead of ice-sheet loss, activated by large scale forest die-back.https://t.co/rksaGRI9NV— Prof Nick Cowern (@NickCowern) November 7, 2023
“The Amazon cannot endure unless cows are replaced by trees, dust by plants, and smoke by rain.” https://t.co/FQAgwuJXnd— Greenpeace International (@Greenpeace) November 6, 2023
After including the latest October CO₂ data from NOAA, net-zero is now forecast for 2076 with CO₂ peaking at around 485 ppm.— Prof. Eliot Jacobson (@EliotJacobson) November 7, 2023
Some of them look at this as a sign of progress. pic.twitter.com/bZ3NkH5Bsw
Should health professionals call out fossil fuels CEOs for their denial and deceptions that are devastating human and planetary health? Yes! Our latest study shows we should. https://t.co/tZBkOKKoBE @docsforclimate @GCHAlliance @ph_alliance @LisaPatelMD @CUGHnews @jekotcher— Ed Maibach (@MaibachEd) November 7, 2023
Australia braces as El Nino intensifies bushfires; October 2023 was hottest on record; Michigan enacts sweeping climate environmental package; Biden unveils nation's largest investment in rail infrastructure in 50 years…— Brad Friedman (🟦) (@TheBradBlog) November 7, 2023
Our new @GreenNewwsReport
LISTEN: https://t.co/Ujf4fXIWkW pic.twitter.com/MSbnO22hOT
“The role of US military power in keeping the world safe for capitalist [fossil fuel] extraction can’t be overstated”— Ben See (@ClimateBen) November 6, 2023
The US military is the world’s largest institutional greenhouse gas emitter and the single largest institutional consumer of fossil fuel.'https://t.co/3MDdmYEbwT
50-Year change in the fraction of November precipitation falling as snow. A few areas of blue, large areas of dark brown. pic.twitter.com/T1SinbWaGR— Brian Brettschneider (@Climatologist49) November 7, 2023
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 7, 2023 ~ CC is creating more powerful ocean waves.— Prof. Eliot Jacobson (@EliotJacobson) November 7, 2023
"Our results offer another warning for coastal communities, where increasing ocean wave heights can pound coastlines, damaging infrastructure and eroding the land."https://t.co/2VA4wAcfQU
Methane time bomb is no longer ticking— GO GREEN (@ECOWARRIORSS) November 7, 2023
NASA Flights Link Methane Plumes to Tundra Fires in Western Alaska, where recent wildfires burned into the tundra, altering carbon emissions from the land
There is no #ClimateScam just brutal climate reality https://t.co/5D4zQJTn4f pic.twitter.com/BAbymtXAQa
COP28 should also secure real money for the Loss and Damage Fund which was agreed upon at COP27 and which still sits empty despite increasingly devastating climate events hitting the poorest countries.https://t.co/oF3ouCCx7B— Vanessa Nakate (@vanessa_vash) November 7, 2023
Today’s News on Sustainable, Traditional Polluting Energy from Fossil Fuel, and the Green Revolution:
Thanks to President Biden’s Investing in America agenda, companies have announced tens of thousands of clean energy jobs across the U.S. 👩🏭https://t.co/IttntVg3xF— Secretary Jennifer Granholm (@SecGranholm) November 7, 2023
There's a trillion-dollar market developing for electrification of transport *outside* of automotive — boats, trucks, trains, drones, etc.— David Roberts (@drvolts) November 6, 2023
My prediction: when electrification is done, there will be very little remainder. The biggest planes/ships, maybe.https://t.co/5f6RtfsnLw pic.twitter.com/Vdwa1bmwlE
#TuesdayMorning Reading: #Renewables: "I am seeing no evidence that the study ever took place." Fake study linking whale deaths to wind farms is 'deliberate misinformation' This is in Australia, but the same is likely being done in US. https://t.co/b1gerScM5H via @ABCaustralia— Silicon Valley North (@CCLSVN) November 7, 2023
California has its first 100% renewable power system that can operate totally on its own, separate from the main electric grid. It was installed by PG&E at a preserve in Sonoma County: https://t.co/e2bM9f3Pby via @MaryCallahanB— Sammy Roth (@Sammy_Roth) November 7, 2023
"Africa has enough wind to power itself 250 times over"…….and generate 90 times the #Windpower currently generated by the rest of the world…….— Robert Redmayne Hosking 🔥🌍🔥 (@rhosking252) November 8, 2023
We have the solutions……let's continue to use them….. https://t.co/53UqIdS5N3
More from the Weather Department:
Probably linked to this westerly wind burst and the strengthening El Niño, the forecast for global mean temperature shows an upward spike in the coming days.— Mika Rantanen (@mikarantane) November 7, 2023
Time will tell whether this spike is short-lived, as in October, or longer-lasting, as in September. https://t.co/7gKcCamUDH pic.twitter.com/gtMkxzqef8
Flash drought is intensifying in the Florida Panhandle and the Tri-State area. 24 to 25 days in a row without rainfall…. pic.twitter.com/9eQiinfLh1— David Zierden (@FLClimateCenter) November 7, 2023
El Niño has arrived right before winter! If you live in the Midwest, Great Lakes region, or Missouri River basin, our Regional Climate Centers have just released region-specific El Niño impact summaries to prepare you for winter this year. ❄️ Read more at: https://t.co/ck8D5vadDf pic.twitter.com/W4S8ZnUgR1— NOAA NCEI (@NOAANCEI) November 7, 2023
Soooo, a week from today looks like some agreement with potent progressive Pacific trough for the west coast. Is this the beginning of some change to the mundane?? Eastern ridging will still be dominant so it may take a minute. Time will tell. pic.twitter.com/FJp4lTpj3g— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) November 7, 2023
Overnight ensembles on https://t.co/3cvwpvVJ22 here still teasing western Caribbean low pressure in a week+. So far most turn NE'ish. Nothing official just pointing out. Season technically ends November 30th. We will sea. https://t.co/Hk3pbO7x8H pic.twitter.com/wMBuAqYTZT— Mike's Weather Page (@tropicalupdate) November 7, 2023
🌪️ Watch as a large tornado crosses a road and spins into a village in Bulgaria over the weekend, ripping roofs off over 150 houses, according to local news sources. pic.twitter.com/qpAOU8q2ay— AccuWeather (@accuweather) November 6, 2023
In Africa, a lack of weather stations is making it harder to warn people about upcoming extreme weather events or to determine the role of climate change after the fact, writes @FrediOtto.— Yale Environment 360 (@YaleE360) November 7, 2023
Read more @YaleE360: https://t.co/nAhfIQvhKw pic.twitter.com/nxqyZ3SxFf
Today marks the 10 year anniversary of Super Typhoon #Haiyan (2013), unambiguously the most perfect tropical cyclone in the satellite era. This iconic VIIRS pass by NOAA captured the stunning beauty of this absolute beast – so deep and symmetrical that it is almost suffocating. pic.twitter.com/uM3RaM21xb— Minghao Zhou (@Minghao_Zhou) November 7, 2023
An unusual sight: November hail pelted parts of southern Ontario as thunderstorms moved through the region on Monday. pic.twitter.com/i5SqR2jkmF— AccuWeather (@accuweather) November 7, 2023
Google Earth recently updated their satellite imagery for the Acapulco, Mexico area, laying bare the absolute devastation wrought by Category 5 Hurricane Otis. Truly shocking. pic.twitter.com/oOqC1IC7Yc— Nahel Belgherze (@WxNB_) November 7, 2023
A rare fallstreak hole was spotted over Plymouth, Wisconsin, this week! ☁️☁️🔵☁️☁️— AccuWeather (@accuweather) November 7, 2023
Captured by: _katherine.93/IG pic.twitter.com/GM6hklECws
More on the Environment and Nature:
Climate Change in Antarctica Has Given Rise to Blooming Flowers https://t.co/oIsQFk3xJm— Paul Beckwith (@PaulHBeckwith) November 6, 2023
In Cambodia and Thailand, elephants have learned to stop sugar cane trucks to grab a snack— Science girl (@gunsnrosesgirl3) November 7, 2023
Humans disrupting another Major Earth Cycle natural salt cycle— GO GREEN (@ECOWARRIORSS) November 7, 2023
2.5 billion acres of soil worldwide affected by human-caused salinization, and that salt is finding its way into the air and freshwater threatening drinking water for world's populationhttps://t.co/pQrMrKYH2z
A family of Japanese dwarf flying squirrels— Science girl (@gunsnrosesgirl3) November 7, 2023
More on Other Science and the Beauty of Earth and this Universe:
Lucy, you’ve surprised us again— NASA Solar System (@NASASolarSystem) November 7, 2023
New images from the #LucyMission’s first asteroid flyby show that a satellite, already unexpected, is made of two objects – a contact binary. This is the first time we’ve seen a contact binary orbiting another asteroid. https://t.co/NwQfI6k7qz pic.twitter.com/WTSHNLyr86
Linked to climate change, zoonotic diseases will cause "12 times the number of deaths in 2050, compared with 2020,” researchers say.https://t.co/91CSJiuOUa— Extinction Rebellion Global (@ExtinctionR) November 7, 2023
Good Morning from Daytona Beach Shores via Jenny L!!! Wow! pic.twitter.com/01wt7Oq4oE— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) November 7, 2023
Trees: we eat their fruit, they provide us with shade and they are nature's power plants, from the gas carbon dioxide that we exhale, they make the oxygen that we breathe. But above all, trees are beautiful and worth protecting – and the older they get, the more valuable they are pic.twitter.com/YdMzUmmNQ2— Green is a mission (@Greenisamissio1) November 7, 2023
Night thoughts— Green is a mission (@Greenisamissio1) November 7, 2023
You never stop learning and nature never ceases to surprise me.
All of the approximately 47,000 trees are genetically identical and share the same root system. Covering an area of over 43 hectares, Pando was long considered the largest organism in the world.💚🌳🌲 pic.twitter.com/NgAr7rFc9x