Extreme Temperature Diary- Friday July 4th, 2025/Main Topic: Worldwide Droughts Pushing Tens of Millions Towards Starvation

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jul/02/droughts-worldwide-pushing-tens-millions-starvation-report?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jul/02/droughts-worldwide-pushing-tens-millions-starvation-report?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

Droughts worldwide pushing tens of millions towards starvation, says report

Water shortages hitting crops, energy and health as crisis gathers pace amid climate breakdown

Drought

Fiona Harvey Environment editor

Drought is pushing tens of millions of people to the edge of starvation around the world, in a foretaste of a global crisis that is rapidly deepening with climate breakdown.

More than 90 million people in eastern and southern Africa are facing extreme hunger after record-breaking drought across many areas, ensuing widespread crop failures and the death of livestock. In Somalia, a quarter of the population is now edging towards starvation, and at least a million people have been displaced.

The situation has been years in the making. One-sixth of the population of southern Africa needed food aid last August. In Zimbabwe, last year’s corn crop was down 70% year on year, and 9,000 cattle died.

These examples are just the beginning of a worldwide catastrophe that is gathering pace, according to a report on drought published on Wednesday. In regions across the world, drought and water mismanagement are leading to shortages that are hitting food supplies, energy and public health.

Mark Svoboda, the founding director of the US National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC), and co-author of the report, said: “This is not a dry spell. This is a slow-moving global catastrophe, the worst I’ve ever seen.”

The report, published by the NDMC, the UN Convention to Combat Desertification, and the International Drought Resilience Alliance, examined in detail more than a dozen countries in four main regions: Africa, south-east Asia, Latin America and the Mediterranean. Taking information from governments, scientific institutions and local sources, the authors were able to build a picture of human suffering and economic devastation.

Parched land
Parched land at Cueva de las Niñas reservoir in Gran Canaria, Spain. Photograph: Borja Suárez/Reuters

In Latin America, drought led to a severe drop in water levels in the Panama canal, grounding shipping and drastically reducing trade, and increasing costs. Traffic dropped by more than a third between October 2023 and January 2024.

By early 2024, Morocco had experienced six consecutive years of drought, leading to a 57% water deficit. In Spain, a 50% fall in olive production, driven by a lack of rainfall, has caused olive oil prices to double, while in Turkey land degradation has left 88% of the country at risk of desertification, and demands from agriculture have emptied aquifers. Dangerous sinkholes have opened up as a result of overextraction.

Svoboda said: “The Mediterranean countries represent canaries in the coalmine for all modern economies. The struggles experienced by Spain, Morocco and Turkey to secure water, food and energy under persistent drought offer a preview of water futures under unchecked global warming. No country, regardless of wealth or capacity, can afford to be complacent.”

El Niño weather conditions in the past two years exacerbated the underlying warming trend of the climate, the authors found. “High temperatures and a lack of precipitation had widespread ramifications in 2023 and 2024, such as water supply shortages, low food supplies and power rationing,” they wrote.

The impacts of drought stretch far beyond the borders of stricken countries. The report warned that drought had disrupted the production and supply chains of key crops such as rice, coffee and sugar. In 2023-2024, dry conditions in Thailand and India led to shortages that increased the price of sugar by 9% in the US.

Wednesday’s report follows a series of recent warnings on the world’s water crisis. Fresh water is in sharper demand than ever, but a combination of global heating, which is changing rainfall patterns to make dry areas drier and in others replacing steady rain with more extreme cloudbursts, and the widespread mismanagement and pollution of water resources have left the world on the brink.skip past newsletter promotion

Demand for fresh water will outstrip supply by 40% by the end of this decade, and more than half of the world’s food production will be at risk of failure in the next 25 years, according to the biggest report yet on the state of the world’s water resources, published last autumn.

Separately, a report in March highlighted the “unprecedented” loss of glacier ice, which is threatening the food and water supply of 2 billion people around the world. Last month, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development said the global land area affected by drought had doubled in the last 120 years, and the cost of droughts was also rising sharply. An average drought in 2035 is projected to cost at least 35% more than it would today.

Ibrahim Thiaw, the executive secretary of the UN Convention to Combat Desertification, the global treaty signed in 1992 meant to avoid the worst impacts of drought, said the problem had received too little attention. “Drought is a silent killer. It creeps in, drains resources and devastates lives in slow motion,” he said. “Its scars run deep.”

He added: “Drought is no longer a distant threat. It is here, escalating, and demands urgent global cooperation. When energy, food and water all go at once, societies start to unravel. That’s the new normal we need to be ready for.”

 This article was updated on 3 July 2025 to correct the initialism for the National Drought Mitigation Center; it is NDMC, not NMDC.

I just added a new graphic to my climate indicators page. It shows monthly global mean temperatures from 1950 to present, with shading corresponding to the approximate state of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). I hope it is useful.Follow along at zacklabe.com/climate-chan… (updated monthly).

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🧵 Looking for (polar) climate data visualizations? Start here! 📈📉🧪⚒️🌊+ Polar climate change: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i…+ Global climate change indicators: zacklabe.com/climate-chan…+ #Arctic sea ice extent: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i…+ #Antarctic sea ice: zacklabe.com/antarctic-se…

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Human-caused climate change is making extreme heat waves around the world more likely.Each day you can follow the "Climate Shift Index" to find out how climate change has altered the weather in your area: csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shif…Visualization from @climatecentral.org.

Zack Labe (@zacklabe.com) 2025-07-03T14:13:57.041Z

Correction to the headline here. It's not the reports that have disappeared – it's the globalchange.gov websites themselves.The reports are still available buried in the NOAA archives. NCA5 is here: repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/61…

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Scientists have found evidence that Asia was free of permafrost all the way to the Arctic Ocean when Earth’s average temperature was 4.5˚C warmer than today. The results suggest dominantly permafrost-free conditions across the whole Northern Hemisphere during this time period.

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The Upper Temperature Limit For Human Safety Is Lower Than We Thought #cdnpoli #ClimateChange www.sciencealert.com/the-upper-te…

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When it comes to climate change, the number of amplifying feedback cycles far outweigh the dampening ones. But here's one in the latter category! Eating more meat -> higher GHG emissions -> more climate change -> more meat allergies -> lower GHG emissionsMore by @olliemilman.bsky.social here:

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Follow @drkatemarvel.bsky.social here and check out her new book:

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-07-02T21:58:49.250Z

Still assessing # of killed and missing from catastrophic flash floods in TX Hill Country. From the top elected official in Kerr County, via AP:“we do not have a warning system”“Rest assured, no one knew this kind of flood was coming.”“We have floods all the time.”apnews.com/article/thun…

Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2025-07-04T19:27:57.039Z

Timing couldn’t be worse: a flood wave coursing through one of TX’s most popular holiday destinations on the Fourth of July (and overnight in some places). Potentially a major disaster.www.usatoday.com/story/news/w…

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Invest 92L will likely become a depression or storm this weekend and head into the Carolinas. Heavy rain and rough surf. Not ideal for a Holiday weekend. #Chantal soon?

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Across the Northern Hemisphere tropics, this remains an unusually low-key year. Meanwhile, Trump’s proposed NOAA budget would destroy the basic infrastructure needed to do weather research. New from @bhensonweather.bsky.social & @drjeffmasters.bsky.social yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/07/two-…

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Excellent piece from @zoeschlanger.bsky.social on what Schlanger aptly calls the "miserable cascade of losses for the American hurricane-safety apparatus." Quoted: @drkimwood.bsky.social, @michaelrlowry.bsky.social, @franklinjamesl.bsky.social + Andy Hazelton.www.theatlantic.com/science/arch…

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“Interest has been record-breaking:” Ikea launches its own balcony solar kit onestepoffthegrid.com.au/interest-has…

Peter Gardner (@peterdgardner.bsky.social) 2025-07-02T06:09:19.357Z

This week, I’m delighted to welcome guest editor Dr. Kate Marvel. She's a theoretical physicist turned climate scientist whose brilliance, honesty, and humour shine through everything she writes.Read the full edition of the newsletter at the link below!

Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2025-07-02T21:44:55.708Z

far be it from me to tell scientists how to do their jobs but i feel like there might be value in surveying the <365 hot dogs per year demographic

Molly White (@molly.wiki) 2025-07-03T03:59:49.483Z

Did you know a warmer climate means more hone runs? The science is interesting and simple. Warmer-more humid air is less dense, exerts less drag, and allows the ball to fly farther. As a result, home runs are increasing and are projected to grow by hundreds per season in the future.

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2025-07-04T00:36:46.908Z

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