Extreme Temperature Diary- Thursday July 10th, 2026/Main Topic: The advent of Heatwave ConocoPhillips

Extreme Temperature Diary Monday July 6th, 2026/Main Topic: New Heatwave Will Build in the West then Plains Over the Next Week – Guy On Climate

On 7/9 we now have CAT3 #HeatwaveConocoPhillips in the West, which will become a historic CAT4 next week, setting many all-time records. #HeatwaveBluestone remains a CAT2 across the Southeast down through FL. My criteria: guyonclimate.com/2026/05/11/e @michaelemann.bsky.social @katharinehayhoe.com

Guy Walton…"The Climate Guy" (@climateguyw.bsky.social) 2026-07-09T22:52:36.979Z

‼️ Record Shattering Heat DomeNo exaggeration, this is the real deal. A behemoth Heat Dome embedded in a very amplified jet stream will bake the Northern Tier of States. Montana… checks notes… will reach 110°+ this weekend for actual temperature. Some spots will challenge all-time records… 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-07-09T14:40:43.895Z

Heat dome to break records in drought-hit states; temps could reach 110 – The Washington Post

Heat dome to topple records in drought-stricken Plains and Western states

See where temperatures could reach a rare 110 degrees and amplify fire weather risks.

By Ben Noll

Another heat dome is coming. And it’s about to elevate fire risks and topple temperature records, with heat and/or fire weather alerts in effect for around 33 million people living in stretches of Western and Central states as of early Friday.

This heat dome will first sizzle drought-stricken parts of the Intermountain West this weekend before expanding into the northern Plains and Upper Midwest next week.

The National Weather Service in Salt Lake City, which serves most of Utah, called it “the most significant heat wave thus far this season” in a forecast discussion, writing that monthly temperature records will be challenged this weekend. It’s forecast to reach 106 degrees in Salt Lake City on Sunday, which would tie for the city’s second-highest temperature on record since records began in 1874.

Farther north, temperatures could reach 110 degrees in parts of Idaho, Montana and Wyoming, challenging all-time temperature records in some places, such as Billings, Montana, on Sunday — where it could be hotter than Phoenix.

By Monday, the Dakotas will be underneath the planet’s most powerful heat dome, with temperatures easily eclipsing 100 degrees for many — and potentially pushing toward 110 degrees for some, such as people near Rapid City in South Dakota.

And from Monday to Wednesday, temperatures in the stretch from Denver to Minneapolis are forecast to reach well into the 90s.

These hot, dry and windy conditions are expected to increase fire weather risks across the interior West — where drought conditions are worst — and to a lesser extent, California.

Severe to extreme drought covers many areas that will be scorched by a heat dome this weekend into next week, raising fire weather concerns. (Ben Noll/The Washington Post; USDM)

In a live stream on Thursday, climate scientist Daniel Swain discussed his concerns for lightning-ignited fires. These fires can take a day or two to show themselves, he said, with trees and bushes smoldering “quietly” after being struck by lightning before turning into an active fire once conditions warm up and dry out.

“I would not at all be surprised to see these risk areas expanded or upgraded from elevated to critical,” he said when discussing fire weather outlooks across the Intermountain West through this weekend.

This developing heat dome is the latest in a string of similar events that have recently scorched Europe and the U.S. East Coast.

The formation of this heat dome can be linked to a building El Niño, which is contributing to stormy weather — including a dangerous typhoon — in parts of the Pacific. That has ripple effects on the jet stream. That ribbon of fast-moving air in the upper atmosphere will form a ridge of high pressure in the West and Plains to compensate for unsettled conditions elsewhere.

But climate change is raising the bar on heat dome intensity, which can create more dangerous conditions — especially when combined with excessive humidity levels, which have risen in recent decades, as well as unusually warm nights.

As the core of the heat dome shifts into the Central U.S. next week, some monsoonal moisture will probably flow into the West, increasing the chance for scattered rain and thunderstorm activity.

“By the time we get to mid and late July, there is some good news here, which is that it does look like there are better odds that there is going to be a moister air mass across the West,” Swain added.

I detail the incredible number of heat records set in Europe in my June monthly global climate summary post, yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/june…

Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2026-07-09T16:17:42.018Z

Monthly Global Temp to +2C pre-industrial!? Yup latest NMME (North American Multi Model Ensemble) says it very possible by late winter/spring. Maybe for multiple months. If so, that would be the first time a monthly anomaly hit 2C. Previous monthly record is approx 1.8 (+ -) … 1/

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T17:06:10.600Z

Folks skeptical of human-driven warming like to point to a period of somewhat less rapid warming from 1900-1945. In a new analysis at TCB, I dig into the different factors driving it, and find that humans, natural factors, and variability all played an important role: www.theclimatebrink….

Zeke Hausfather (@zekehausfather.com) 2026-07-09T15:16:59.000Z

The single issue NOT being talked about ENOUGH at the @le-tourdefrance.bsky.social = the HEAT… more challenging than the climbs & front of mind for every team & rider. Starting stages earlier in the day not even being considered. Why? 👉💰cc @davidho.bsky.social @katharinehayhoe.com

Dr. Dawn Wright (@deepseadawn.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T17:22:30.504Z

"EPA Head Lee Zeldin is a Freaking Nightmare" | I spoke with @davefarina.bsky.social of #ProfessorDaveExplains about the Trump administration's assault on clean energy and climate action: www.youtube.com/watch?v=BKg_…

Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T15:23:58.793Z

'French energy officials have shut down another reactor at the Golfech nuclear power plant as a scorching heatwave continues to grip Europe. www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-n…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T10:05:44.107Z

Plenty of good #Climate and Climate adjacent #StarterPacks but how about a good 🧵that makes them all super easy to find and follow? I'm glad I asked. Here you go! #ClimateChange #Renewables #EnergyTransition #CleanEnergy #Advocacy #Activism bsky.app/starter-pack…

Bentley ****TALK CLIMATE**** (@bigclimate.bsky.social) 2024-11-13T04:04:08.296Z

Up to 100 MPH of peak Hurricane Killing Wind Shear forecast in the #Caribbean . Unreal for summer, but this is no ordinary summer. The strongest El Niño on record is flexing its muscle 💪 and overpowering the Atlantic. Anything that tries to develop would be torn to pieces… 1/2

Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T11:37:45.653Z

So much of the (intense) focus on NWS upper air issues has been on impacts on model forecasts – but we collect this data as part of a global effort to ensure high quality data for climate and atmospheric monitoring, and the US is currently not living up to its commitments. tinyurl.com/4ys6daef

Alan Gerard (@wxmanms1.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T02:47:08.643136Z

Build the demand side to reduce Scottish renewable curtailment… www.energyvoice.com/renewables-e…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T10:18:09.098Z

Yet another spasm of posts about fusion achieving some goal, but lacking an honest caveat.The goal of ensuring the end to end process from grid power in to grid power out yields a net power gain, not a massive loss, is still so far off it is irrelevant to addressing man-made global warming.

EssaysConcern (@richarderskine.bsky.social) 2026-07-09T21:24:08.111Z

French nuclear deregulation.global-chance.org/LE-DECRET-SC…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T10:39:39.830Z

Nuclear Power is Now Trump Power…What Could Go Wrong? – CounterPunch.org www.counterpunch.org/2026/07/10/n…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T10:07:17.991Z

Nuclear power costs billions. Here are seven better ways to use that money Scotsman 9th July 2026www.scotsman.com/news/opinion…

Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-07-10T10:03:58.259Z

Join us on July 10 for the next session in our 2026 Climate & Health Equity Webinar Series!@mustafasantiagoali.bsky.social will explore how housing quality, energy efficiency, and health equity intersect, particularly for vulnerable communities.👉 medsocietiesforclimatehealth.org/event/climat…

The Medical Society Consortium on Climate and Health (@docsforclimate.bsky.social) 2026-07-02T16:30:38.881Z

this seems like a big deal (though I'm not qualified to judge). This would be seem to be a very rapid collapse of a claim in a high profile paper.

Gavin Schmidt (@climateofgavin.bsky.social) 2026-07-09T21:02:13.706Z

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