Thursday November 8th… Dear Diary. The main purpose of this ongoing post will be to track United States extreme or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials)😊.
Deadly California Fires Burn Yet Again… More Climate Change Connections
Explosive fires began yesterday in California where once again excessively hot and dry weather from the summer and early fall has culminated to produce conflagrations that will rival if not exceed those of 2017. As of this writing 5 people have been killed at over 240,000 acres have burned in the last two days. After this emergency is over please do what you can to help the people of California. Let’s review how the weather and climate got to today’s place on this post.
A) The Southwest just went through a record warm mid and late summer period drying out fuels… A big climate change signature:
B) The second ingredient needed for the conflagrations was dry vegetation. The dipole western ridge has kept California dry into early November. Here we see a note from Rob Elvington in association with dry fuels:
Hard to convey how extreme fire conditions are right now for the #CampFire. 30-50 mph gusts into record fuels. ERCs are >97th percentile for *all days of the year* in the 1979-2015 data set. #CAfire pic.twitter.com/ta8lFQuWkH
— Rob Elvington (@RobElvington) November 8, 2018
C) Weather wise, all that was needed to spread the fires were high easterly winds induced by surface pressure building over the Great Basin. Santa Ana and other strong winds funneling through mountain passes are quite common in California during the fall well before the era of climate change began in earnest prior to 1980. Here is the chart I used in yesterday’s post showing the weather set up from Thursday:
Note the “packing” of isobars in the Sierra…a clear sign that string easterly winds would be occurring in favored areas Thursday morning.
As of today we see another climate change trend in California. Due to the warming trend most large, deadly fires have occurred since the turn of the century:
14 of California's 20 largest Wildfires have burned since the year 2000. #CampFire #HillFire #WoolseyFire pic.twitter.com/foK2ZLXqKT
— Climate Signals (@ClimateSignals) November 9, 2018
Simple yet revealing plot. #California’s climate PDF has shifted toward warmer & drier conditions since 2000, favoring more extreme #fire conditions.
Yes, 2017 & 2018 are extremes, but also part of the overall shift. Expect this to occur more frequently in the new climate. https://t.co/4RqF6aevTm
— Philippe Papin (@pppapin) November 9, 2018
For the rest of this post I’ll be posting more info on specific fires occurring in California and information links from social media:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity.)
Wow! A firenado at the Campfire near Paradise.
Credits: Laura Anthony#firenado #firedevil #campfire #ButteFire #paradise #california @TomHall @spann @JimCantore pic.twitter.com/ATUX58DNk6
— Buitengebieden (@buitengebieden) November 9, 2018
Another dystopian photo, by @mrdougellin via @troydillinger, of people evacuating #Malibu and #ZumaBeach area, heading south on PCH towards Santa Monica. #WoolseyFire #MalibuFire pic.twitter.com/jDgxmRYel4
— Bradley Allen (@BradleySA) November 9, 2018
SoCal folks: you are facing an exhaustingly long siege of fire weather. After some brief pullback tonight/Sat, conditions are now predicted to be "critical" or worse from Sun thru Tues. https://t.co/kp4aWTuAx4 pic.twitter.com/JysVVnvRPf
— Bob Henson (@bhensonweather) November 9, 2018
Incredible imagery from Landsat 8 Thursday morning of #CampFire. Thoughts go out to #Paradise and all those affected pic.twitter.com/hkKbBSh1qq
— Courtney Obergfell (@ceober4) November 9, 2018
Californians need to realize something:
In coming years, 100s of thousands of Californians will have to abandon their hillside/wooded homes and move to safer zones in the flats.
We either start building vertical for them now, or only those with big bank accounts get to stay. https://t.co/Hik80auLG8
— (((Matthew Lewis))) (@mateosfo) November 9, 2018
Santa Monica beach view of Malibu burning down. pic.twitter.com/R6vMbltP3c
— John Carey (@JohnDijonCarey) November 9, 2018
Paradise ‘pretty much destroyed’ as deadly wildfire rages in Northern California: https://t.co/V8QYLGYclN
— Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) November 9, 2018
Here is some other weather and climate news:
I recently had the chance to work on a relief crew after #HurricaneMichael. In my latest edition of "Tales from a Weathered Man," I relate my admiration for those who are dedicated to this work, and for those who benefit from it. https://t.co/in0mkb4eJk
— Nick Walker (@wxdude) November 10, 2018
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The Climate Guy