The main purpose of this ongoing blog will be to track planetary extreme or record temperatures related to climate change. Any reports I see of ETs will be listed below the main topic of the day. I’ll refer to extreme or record temperatures as ETs (not extraterrestrials)😉
Main Topic: Watching Hurricane Ida Day Three
Dear Diary. I continue to be amazed at how consistent the new and improved American GFS model has been in association with Ida in terms of timing, location at landfall, and strength. The thing has been persistently the same for about 96 hours now, beginning at about the time Ida was organizing in the Caribbean south of Cuba. Although not as good, the HWRF also has been consistent since Thursday. This should be great news for hurricane forecasters in the future and the public depending on forecasts as tropical systems grow worse during a hotter climate crisis future…just to write that all future systems will behave such that they can be better forecast with greater accuracy more than five days in advance.
Now the bad news…our impending doom in Louisiana:
What still has me concerned most is the city of New Orleans, which will be in the right front quadrant of Ida as it makes landfall. If present models are off by just a hair (20-40 miles), New Orleans will see some of the worst winds, gusting in excess of 100 mph. Current thinking is that wind gusts should be below that threshold, so we won’t have another Katrina on our hands due to reinforced levees.
In any case, as usual I will be adding new notes all day long today on Ida, so here we go.
Here are more notes on the Ida. (As usual, the most important latest articles and notes will be at the top of this list, which I will frequently update as Friday progresses.):
Here is more climate and weather news from Saturday:
(As usual, this will be a fluid post in which more information gets added during the day as it crosses my radar, crediting all who have put it on-line. Items will be archived on this site for posterity. In most instances click on the pictures of each tweet to see each article. The most noteworthy items will be listed first.)
Now here are some of today’s articles and notes on the horrid COVID-19 pandemic:
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Guy Walton “The Climate Guy”